Chaos Rankings

Sunday, September 30, 2007

Week 5 Top 24

Rank
Score
Team
Previous Rank
Score Change
11.0LSU (5-0)10.0
20.931578Cinncinati (5-0)40.003285
30.923044Arizona State (5-0)90.030819
40.91831Ohio State (5-0)60.005315
50.908996Connecticut (5-0)100.02064
60.900779Kansas (4-0)3-0.045871
70.89762Kentucky (5-0)160.030738
80.88814California (5-0)170.021647
90.884149Hawaii (5-0)11-0.002667
100.871107Boston College (5-0)12-0.005617
110.850627Purdue (5-0)20-9.25E-4
120.837748South Florida (4-0)230.025336
130.836901USC (4-0)210.01605
140.821803Missouri (4-0)19-0.031956
150.815668Oklahoma (4-1)2-0.154888
160.813522Wisconsin (5-0)22-0.004427
170.791253West Virginia (4-1)7-0.121153
180.783538Florida (4-1)5-0.143391
190.773748Texas Tech (4-1)250.069895
200.768259Oregon (4-1)8-0.137431
210.757517Michigan State (4-1)13-0.116141
220.74372Indiana (4-1)240.039805
230.740311Clemson (4-1)14-0.132324
240.728724Texas A&M (4-1)360.072544

Week 5 Bottom 10

Rank
Score
Team
Previous Rank
Score Change
1110.1948Northern Illinois (1-4)108-0.029708
1120.143265Louisiana Monroe (0-4)111-0.001245
1130.1246Marshall (0-4)1160.05739
1140.116809Louisiana Lafayette (0-5)1140.025572
1150.109227Temple (0-5)1130.017561
1160.089119North Texas (0-4)112-0.027875
1170.084979Utah State (0-5)1170.017962
1180.082897Rice (0-4)1190.058837
1190.078075Notre Dame (0-5)1180.040266
1200.0Florida International (0-5)1200.0

Sunday, September 23, 2007

Week 4 Top 24

Rank
Score
Team
Previous Rank
Score Change
11.0LSU10.0
20.970556Oklahoma20.019662
30.94665Kansas40.022588
40.928293Cinncinati3-0.010862
50.926929Florida50.005632
60.912994Ohio State100.042714
70.912406West Virginia170.052492
80.90569Oregon70.01667
90.892225Arizona State130.027509
100.888355Connecticut140.024884
110.886817Hawaii190.032693
120.876725Boston College160.01668
130.873659Michigan State9-0.001213
140.872635Clemson260.052134
150.869673Texas230.031959
160.866882Kentucky8-0.015903
170.866492California220.022657
180.865402Rutgers6-0.051954
190.853759Missouri200.005381
200.851553Purdue240.016498
210.820851USC290.054149
220.81795Wisconsin270.001333
230.812411South Florida300.055639
240.703914Indiana11-0.164095

Week 4 Bottom 10

Rank
Score
Team
Previous Rank
Score Change
1110.14451Louisiana Monroe1070.060205
1120.116995North Texas1060.001347
1130.091665Temple1110.023701
1140.091236Louisiana Lafayette1090.018055
1150.080611Middle Tennessee State1140.039814
1160.06721Marshall1130.022266
1170.067016Utah State1120.008565
1180.037809Notre Dame1200.037809
1190.02406Rice1170.008217
1200.0Florida International119-0.008003

Monday, September 17, 2007

Week 3 Top 24

Rank
Score
Team
Previous Rank
Score Change
11.0LSU10.0
20.950894Oklahoma30.021784
30.939156Cinncinati160.111275
40.924062Kansas130.086857
50.921297Florida2-0.011884
60.917356Rutgers70.0076
70.88902Oregon290.107654
80.882785Kentucky170.059957
90.874872Michigan State340.119257
100.870279Ohio State5-0.042814
110.868009Indiana380.129302
120.864822Texas Tech150.036698
130.864715Arizona State240.065953
140.863471Connecticut390.127848
150.861069Penn State11-0.009174
160.860045Boston College210.050946
170.859914West Virginia6-0.051598
180.857317Alabama260.064146
190.854123Hawaii9-0.022141
200.848378Missouri200.035871
210.845841Air Force360.102187
220.843834California140.01263
230.837714Texas12-0.013201
240.835054Purdue300.061108

Week 3 Bottom 10

Rank
Score
Team
Previous Rank
Score Change
1110.067964Temple1200.067964
1120.05845Utah State116-0.026222
1130.044943Marshall114-0.10846
1140.040796Middle Tennessee State104-0.162659
1150.040116Syracuse113-0.117821
1160.029645Northern Illinois106-0.166084
1170.015842Rice112-0.146128
1180.012653San Jose State99-0.2388
1190.008003Florida International117-0.072743
1200.0Notre Dame94-0.275239

Monday, September 10, 2007

Losing is Hell...


View Larger Map
In case you were curious, there's a hell in Michigan, and though it's not quite located inside Michigan Stadium in Ann Arbor, it's only about 16 miles Northwest as the crow flies. Notre Dame's substantially farther away, but if the Irish can't get a win on Saturday, it's definitely going to get hotter in South Bend. All of which leads me to reconsider using the phrase "when Hell freezes over," as, based on its geographical location, it certainly freezes over for a substantial portion of the year.

Things to Keep in Mind

  • Next week the rankings will stand by themselves without any preseason stabilization. I've included the unstabilized ranks the last two weeks so you have an idea what kind of jumping around to expect if you team loses or comes up huge.

  • When the Memphis@Arkansas State game is rescheduled and then played, the data will be slotted into week 2, and the data will affect any rankings from that date forward, but I probably won't post retroactively-adjusted rankings for the weeks in between now and then.
  • Week 2 Rankings (Stabilized)


    Rank
    Score
    Team
    Non-Stabilized Rank
    11.000000LSU1
    20.933182Florida12
    30.929110Oklahoma4
    40.922175Wisconsin20
    50.913095Ohio State22
    60.911512West Virginia21
    70.909756Rutgers7
    80.901423Louisville14
    90.876266Hawaii25
    100.870362Georgia Tech3
    110.870244Penn State6
    120.850917Texas30
    130.837204Kansas2
    140.831205California34
    150.828124Texas Tech13
    160.827880Cinncinati5
    170.822829Kentucky9
    180.821658USC41
    190.813735South Florida27
    200.812507Missouri28
    210.809098Boston College32
    220.807821Nebraska26
    230.807227Texas A&M39
    240.798762Arizona State8
    250.795843Clemson37
    260.793171Alabama11
    270.785421UCLA23
    280.782698South Carolina38
    290.781366Oregon19
    300.773947Purdue24
    310.770549Maryland35
    320.764849Pittsburgh33
    330.756035Iowa18
    340.755615Michigan State16
    350.750004Wyoming31
    360.743655Air Force29
    370.740434Ohio40
    380.738707Indiana15
    390.735622Connecticut10
    400.732099Washington17
    410.714796Arkansas43
    420.698346Boise State46
    430.678134Tulsa42
    440.660194Northwestern36
    450.653850BYU51
    460.649370TCU56
    470.589873Auburn69
    480.584884Georgia48
    490.581911UCF44
    500.579461Tennessee52
    510.558478Oregon State72
    520.548553Virginia Tech88
    530.546034Western Kentucky45
    540.539255Oklahoma State53
    550.528857Navy71
    560.522108Southern Miss76
    570.520382East Carolina55
    580.516181Washington State54
    590.512124Florida State58
    600.502865Miami63
    610.496957Ball State47
    620.492312New Mexico50
    630.489255Central Michigan81
    640.485400Minnesota67
    650.479448Kansas State70
    660.476896Arizona68
    670.476149Bowling Green49
    680.464102Akron59
    690.458117UTEP65
    700.442236Vanderbilt60
    710.436391Kent State86
    720.434270SMU85
    730.433548Louisiana Tech61
    740.431631Fresno State66
    750.431461North Carolina74
    760.425823Idaho80
    770.420808Virginia84
    780.413664Florida Atlantic77
    790.410563Houston91
    800.408735Mississippi73
    810.401368Baylor83
    820.396284New Mexico State75
    830.394547UNLV57
    840.384373Buffalo62
    850.380700Illinois64
    860.375200Mississippi State82
    870.369197Wake Forest96
    880.364510Colorado79
    890.362653Army87
    900.352388Miami (Ohio)78
    910.343961Arkansas State89
    920.319267Michigan115
    930.293598Utah101
    940.275239Notre Dame107
    950.270214Nevada104
    960.263648Louisiana Lafayette94
    970.257464Troy99
    980.254977Western Michigan106
    990.251454San Jose State112
    1000.245748Tulane95
    1010.238238Memphis90
    1020.229804Stanford92
    1030.206467North Carolina State103
    1040.203457Middle Tennessee State111
    1050.198313UAB105
    1060.195730Northern Illinois118
    1070.194973Toledo102
    1080.194456Colorado State97
    1090.192167Louisiana Monroe100
    1100.176863San Diego State93
    1110.168672Iowa State116
    1120.161971Rice119
    1130.157938Syracuse108
    1140.153404Marshall110
    1150.149383North Texas113
    1160.084673Utah State98
    1170.080747Florida International120
    1180.039124Duke109
    1190.037675Eastern Michigan117
    1200.000000Temple114

    Damn you, LOTR:ROTK!

    Week 2 rankings are coming, I promise. I got sidetracked yesterday by watching the extended version of Return of the King all afternoon.

    Tuesday, September 04, 2007

    Pride Before A Fall

    I know gloating is dangerous, lest GT play Michigan to Samford's App State next week, but I couldn't help but post this: Notre Dame is dead last in rushing thanks to Jon Tenuta's defensive schemes and a host of stellar athletes. Yes, dead last. Behind even San Diego State and Tulane, who have yet to take the field this season. Georgia Tech's defense held Notre Dame to -9 rushing yards (according to the ESPN box score). Now, in fairness, a lot of the negative plays were QB sacks and not necessarily stuffing the run in the backfield, but still, 9 sacks says a lot. Of course, it's not all one-sided about how great the Jackets defense is, so let's also be sure to note how poor the Irish O-line is. Okay, I'm done gloating; here's hoping it doesn't come back to haunt me.

    Week 1 Rankings (Stabilized)

    Rank
    Score
    Team
    Non-Stabilized Rank
    Score Change
    11.000000Boise State100.000000
    20.955670Wisconsin33-0.027754
    30.951224West Virginia24-0.002775
    40.948994TCU26-0.004756
    50.939190Florida27-0.003947
    60.934496Ohio State42-0.027370
    70.934150LSU20.040933
    80.926630USC38-0.018330
    90.910488BYU56-0.025971
    100.909911Louisville40.044244
    110.905607Hawaii110.036295
    120.905243Oklahoma30.046553
    130.874425Rutgers290.019946
    140.846893Auburn57-0.001201
    150.838449Virginia Tech61-0.007514
    160.828425Penn State10.090676
    170.812018Texas63-0.003535
    180.810318California490.018165
    190.801505Oregon State480.021796
    200.795006Texas A&M510.023183
    210.775667Georgia Tech70.090565
    220.772908Nebraska140.084519
    230.759609Arkansas470.039216
    240.755485Boston College430.042435
    250.754975Texas Tech90.097892
    260.754757Georgia300.065611
    270.753590Clemson580.032683
    280.749078Missouri450.043919
    290.747597South Florida530.041484
    300.744754Navy400.051323
    310.742771Southern Miss440.047377
    320.723770South Carolina620.036510
    330.722110Kentucky230.088280
    340.708393Cinncinati50.123773
    350.705431UCLA190.097810
    360.695132Pittsburgh210.100974
    370.690722Arizona State60.127926
    380.683894Maryland590.059916
    390.679948Alabama80.127946
    400.679801Ohio460.070971
    410.678840Miami250.104767
    420.672468Oregon310.086839
    430.672009Kansas130.125491
    440.670287Tulsa340.085419
    450.666887Purdue370.085637
    460.660460Wyoming180.119736
    470.638089Air Force200.124276
    480.635029Michigan State120.141211
    490.630417Iowa220.126205
    500.614660Kent State540.092654
    510.611700Michigan109-0.283477
    520.589223Indiana160.151770
    530.586712Washington170.150299
    540.583522Wake Forest85-0.227055
    550.579035Akron320.123001
    560.572344Houston94-0.234060
    570.557312Connecticut150.166208
    580.556585Bowling Green360.129514
    590.556560North Carolina520.117502
    600.549694Florida Atlantic280.149960
    610.536868UTEP680.084085
    620.535358Vanderbilt350.138574
    630.530933Tennessee81-0.203675
    640.530869Fresno State390.138670
    650.505245Louisiana Tech600.130373
    660.501668Utah82-0.192189
    670.494620UCF550.139975
    680.484725Northwestern500.147310
    690.484653Mississippi650.121770
    700.482752Notre Dame114-0.243188
    710.471576New Mexico State640.127176
    720.464853Nevada110-0.228940
    730.459472San Jose State115-0.237580
    740.453510Western Michigan100-0.207941
    750.434699Oklahoma State95-0.190853
    760.431286East Carolina75-0.149602
    770.430718Florida State76-0.155881
    780.421004UNLV410.177047
    790.416044Colorado660.148495
    800.413864Troy83-0.158112
    810.412170Central Michigan111-0.208934
    820.402295Washington State92-0.164393
    830.395934Kansas State77-0.145232
    840.393246Northern Illinois101-0.185621
    850.390594Minnesota90-0.158562
    860.386097Arizona78-0.141805
    870.384581Middle Tennessee State97-0.173885
    880.381914Miami (Ohio)670.150863
    890.381414New Mexico69-0.101660
    900.375718Louisiana Lafayette74-0.126032
    910.363966Arkansas State73-0.116358
    920.352103Iowa State80-0.129478
    930.349081Western Kentucky116-0.195223
    940.346220Ball State70-0.092941
    950.337536North Carolina State79-0.123354
    960.329829SMU113-0.181583
    970.329430Rice120-0.211203
    980.326746UAB112-0.176055
    990.313867Idaho88-0.127178
    1000.308287Tulane106-0.157487
    1010.303630Toledo89-0.123951
    1020.301035Virginia104-0.154469
    1030.279221Louisiana Monroe91-0.115392
    1040.274683Marshall99-0.136334
    1050.260247Syracuse107-0.139555
    1060.257696Colorado State71-0.068976
    1070.257482Baylor98-0.127243
    1080.253803North Texas117-0.159721
    1090.239753Stanford103-0.126066
    1100.227525Army93-0.096218
    1110.219738Memphis72-0.054422
    1120.183529Florida International119-0.145442
    1130.172673Illinois84-0.062871
    1140.172004Mississippi State118-0.133100
    1150.159572Buffalo96-0.083464
    1160.153477San Diego State105-0.096021
    1170.066318Eastern Michigan102-0.056280
    1180.039117Utah State86-0.012713
    1190.031058Duke108-0.052794
    1200.000000Temple870.000000

    Sunday, September 02, 2007

    Waiting on the Bowdens

    I've got most of the data ready to go for Week 1, I'm just waiting for the conclusion of the two games tomorrow night before posting them. In case you're curious however, Michigan is 110 in the raw rankings and 49 in the rankings that include a stabilization factor of 2/3 of the preseason rankings (as I mentioned in the comments of the previous post). The Wolverines get the "Shoot Yourself in the Foot" award this week for ending their championship run the very first week. Michigan would have to run the table and hope that everyone else loses 2+ games for them to even have a shot at it. Suckers.