Chaos Rankings

Sunday, November 25, 2012

Week 13 Top 24


Rank

Score

Team

Previous Rank

Score Change
11.000000Alabama (11-1)20.008049
20.999853Notre Dame (12-0)1-1.46E-4
30.978445Oregon (11-1)30.013839
40.928815Ohio State (12-0)60.003156
50.918469Georgia (11-1)70.005309
60.918276Florida (11-1)80.010835
70.898589Kansas State (10-1)5-0.028623
80.896423Northern Illinois (11-1)100.008682
90.868251Florida State (10-2)4-0.083857
100.853671Kent State (11-1)120.002437
110.853663LSU (10-2)11-0.003796
120.840848Texas A&M (10-2)150.013975
130.824708Stanford (10-2)170.009568
140.823399San Jose State (10-2)180.009327
150.821428Clemson (10-2)9-0.073255
160.820648Utah State (10-2)200.011799
170.820114Boise State (9-2)13-0.021972
180.81382South Carolina (10-2)240.01451
190.812226Fresno State (9-3)270.022059
200.809577Nebraska (10-2)220.004135
210.797398Oklahoma (9-2)260.004177
220.763896Rutgers (9-2)14-0.076219
230.762797Louisville (9-2)16-0.059625
240.74641Louisiana Tech (9-3)19-0.06485

Week 13 Bottom 10


Rank

Score

Team

Previous Rank

Score Change
1150.141205Kansas (1-10)1170.015573
1160.140175Eastern Michigan (2-10)115-0.01746
1170.140054UNLV (2-11)112-0.031198
1180.119838Tulane (2-10)116-0.020899
1190.112407Akron (1-11)1185.95E-4
1200.056876New Mexico State (1-10)119-0.014713
1210.013423Idaho (1-11)122-0.001573
1220.013229Massachusetts (1-11)121-0.005746
1230.002433Colorado (1-11)1230.001928
1240.000000Southern Miss (0-12)1240.000000

Wednesday, November 21, 2012

Here we go again

Really Big T((w)elev)en? Really? You want Maryland and Rutgers? Okay, you can have them. They don't add much, and neither the ACC or Big East is losing much. Well, the Big East might be losing its existence as a conference, but that was probably going to happen anyway. I can't believe we're doing this nonsense all over again...

John Swofford, if you're reading this (and I know you're not), here are your 4 options:
  1. Replace Maryland - While everyone is clamoring for the ACC to pick up UConn or Louisville, neither is a great academic fit. UConn doesn't add any more NYC eyeballs that Syracuse is likely to do already, they suck at football, and there's little evidence their basketball program will continue to thrive without Jim Calhoun. Plus, how far away from retirement is Geno Auriemma? Of the two options, Louisville makes more sense. Better in football, better in basketball (better than Maryland on both counts). Plus, it actually expands the ACC media footprint into SEC and Big T((w)elev)en+2 territory. Tell me you don't want to see Pitino vs Krzyzewski every single year. However - I have a better, more vindictive solution. Get on the phone with Penn State right this second. Do it. I'll wait right here. You don't think maybe they'd jump for a chance at the fresh start in a new conference after everything they just went through? Superior academically, better tradition and history, still a good fit in the existing ACC footprint, especially after adding Syracuse and Pitt. And I've got to be honest, I know a lot more PSU alumni in the DC-metro area than I do Maryland alumni. Swofford, I'm dead serious, get PSU on the phone right now. Hey Big 10/11/12/14, have fun with Maryland, we're just going to swap you for Penn State. SWOFFORD - MAKE THIS HAPPEN! For what it's worth (apparently nothing), most ACC schools are closer to Louisville and State College than they are to Miami, already an ACC member.
  2. Contract - We're already adding Pitt and Syracuse next year. Scheduling is already ugly with 12 teams, now we're adding two more, plus Notre Dame (except only kinda in football)? Nightmare. I suggest you boot Wake or NC State. The ACC already owns Carolina, so what's the point? Wake is too small and NC State is already a useless appendage in Raleigh-Durham-Chapel Hill. Whoever wins next year's football game gets to stay, loser has to join the Sun Belt.
  3. Notre Dame - If Swofford doesn't lean hard on the Irish to commit to a phased-in football membership over the next 5 years, he's an idiot. Adding ND as a full football member brings the league back to the planned 14 (with Pitt and Syracuse). Problem solved.
  4. Expand to 16 teams - For the purposes of this segment, I'm assuming Notre Dame is already a full conference member. If 16 team conferences is the direction we're headed, I'd expect a strong push for a playoff structure favoring conference champions of 5-6 major conferences (SEC, Pac, ACC, Big Midwestish, MWC/Big XII merger), which should make independence a distinct disadvantage. Minus Maryland, plus ND, Pitt, and Syracuse makes a full 14 team league again. Then add any two of the following, preferably in this order: Penn State, Louisville, WVU (worth at least asking, right? Again, more WVU alumni in DC than Terps), UConn, USF, Navy, UCF, Army
In my fantasy make-believe world, here's what I think ought to happen, based on current league setups, if the Maryland/Rutgers moves restart realignment and a push into 16 team conferences:
ACC
Boston College
Clemson
Duke
Florida State
Georgia Tech
Maryland
Miami
North Carolina
NC State
Virginia
Virginia Tech
Wake Forest
Notre Dame (IND, sort of)
Syracuse (Big East)
Pittsburgh (Big East)
Penn State (Big 10/11/12/14)
Louisville (Big East)

Big East
[defunct]

Big T((w)elev)en+2 Midwestish
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Michigan
Michigan State
Minnesota
Northwestern
Ohio State
Penn State
Purdue
Wisconsin
Nebraska
Rutgers (Big East)
Maryland (ACC)
Cincinnati (Big East)
Kansas (Big XII)
UConn (Big East)

Big XII
[defunct]

MWC
[defunct]

Big Southish
Kansas State (Big XII)
Iowa State (Big XII)
Texas (Big XII)
Texas Tech (Big XII)
Oklahoma (Big XII)
Oklahoma State (Big XII)
Baylor (Big XII)
TCU (Big XII)
Air Force (MWC)
Wyoming (MWC)
UNLV (MWC)
New Mexico (MWC)
Colorado State (MWC)
San Diego State (MWC)
Fresno State (MWC)
Louisiana Tech (WAC)

Pacific
Arizona
Arizona State
California
Oregon
Oregon State
Stanford
UCLA
USC
Washington
Washington State
Colorado
Utah
Boise State (MWC)
Hawaii (MWC)
Nevada (MWC)
BYU (IND)

SEC
Alabama
Arkansas
Auburn
Florida
Georgia
Kentucky
LSU
Mississippi
Mississippi State
South Carolina
Tennessee
Vanderbilt
Texas A&M
Missouri
Memphis (CUSA)
West Virginia (Big XII)

CUSA
East Carolina
UCF
Southern Miss
Marshall
UAB
Memphis
Houston
Southern Methodist
Tulsa
UTEP
Rice
Tulane
Army (IND)
Navy (IND)
Temple (Big East)
USF (Big East)
UMass (MAC)

MAC
Ohio
Bowling Green
Kent State
Buffalo
Akron
Miami (OH)
Central Michigan
Northern Illinois
Western Michigan
Toledo
Ball State
Eastern Michigan
UMass
Middle Tennessee (Sun Belt)
Western Kentucky (Sun Belt)
15
16

WAC
[defunct]

Sun Belt
Troy
Louisiana-Monroe
Florida Atlantic
Louisiana-Lafayette
Arkansas State
FIU
North Texas
South Alabama
Middle Tennessee
Western Kentucky
UTSA (WAC)
Texas State (WAC)
Utah State (WAC)
San Jose State (WAC)
Idaho (WAC)
New Mexico State (WAC)
15
16


With 124 current teams, that's 6 conferences of 16 and 2 of 14. All conferences are split into 2 divisions and feature conference championship games. Teams play all 6-7 other members of their division, plus 2-3 rotating members from the other division, for a 9 game conference schedule. You could talk me into 3-4 cross-division games (10 total conference games) if you wanted to. That leaves 2-3 out-of-conference games, and no one is allowed to schedule FCS or DII teams. The 8 conference champions get seeded into an 8-team playoff. I'd also settle for a setup similar to the "playoffs" are now (5 major conference champs get autobids, 1 autobid to highest ranked of 3 other conferences, plus 2 at-large, given to highest ranked non-champs from any conference). Games are played at the home field of the better seeded team. The championship is played on a neutral field. While we're at it, cut 30-50% of the existing bowl games and make a true winning record (6-6 doesn't cut it) a mandatory prerequisite. And while we're "realigning" things, we're going to do away with this Atlantic/Coastal and Leaders/Legends nonsense. New rule: your divisions have to be split in a way that makes sense (North/South, East/West, A-M/N-Z, etc).

Counter arguments:
  • Geography - Boise State and San Diego State are slated to become Big East members next year (for now, more likely they'll return to the MWC). Louisiana Tech plays in the WAC. A school in the mountains (Colorado) belongs to a conference with Pac(ific) in the title. WVU-Iowa State? Nebraska-Rutgers? Clearly, geography means nothing.
  • Tradition - Founding member of the ACC is leaving for another conference. Kansas/Mizzou Border War no longer exists. Texas/A&M game canceled indefinitely. Backyard Brawl no longer a thing. Clearly, tradition means nothing.
  • Academics - Please. Conference affiliation has nothing to do with academics. You're telling me that Stanford and Georgia Tech can't collaborate on a research project because they belong to different conferences? Conference commissioners don't care about academics - they care about money. College football and basketball don't care about academics - they care about money. If you want anything more than lipservice, you'd make player GPA and graduation rates part of the ranking systems and weight them equally with on-field performance.
  • Player welfare - Already kind of a joke. This and academics are held up as reasons why not to have a true large-format (8-16 teams) playoff, but I'm only talking about 8 teams playing the first week, 4 teams the second, and 2 teams the third week. With current conference championships the first weekend in December, playoffs could be concluded by Jan 1 if you wanted to. It doesn't extend the season, it only adds a couple extra games for a small minority of teams, and at worst, only 1 more game for the finals than the current +1 "playoff" format

Sunday, November 18, 2012

Week 12 Top 24


Rank

Score

Team

Previous Rank

Score Change
11.000000Notre Dame (11-0)40.046918
20.99195Alabama (10-1)30.037499
30.964605Oregon (10-1)1-0.035394
40.952108Florida State (10-1)50.031794
50.927212Kansas State (10-1)2-0.061773
60.925659Ohio State (11-0)60.026329
70.913159Georgia (10-1)70.03433
80.907441Florida (10-1)80.035013
90.894684Clemson (10-1)90.033744
100.88774Northern Illinois (10-1)110.039022
110.857459LSU (9-2)120.030651
120.851233Kent State (10-1)130.035835
130.842087Boise State (9-2)170.045221
140.840115Rutgers (9-1)160.039318
150.826873Texas A&M (9-2)150.021419
160.822423Louisville (9-1)140.009157
170.81514Stanford (9-2)180.032445
180.814072San Jose State (9-2)200.038733
190.81126Louisiana Tech (9-2)10-0.045479
200.808848Utah State (9-2)230.039905
210.807071Oregon State (8-2)300.061397
220.805441Nebraska (9-2)250.044892
230.800797UCLA (9-2)240.038714
240.799309South Carolina (9-2)210.029258

Week 12 Bottom 10


Rank

Score

Team

Previous Rank

Score Change
1150.157635Eastern Michigan (2-9)1180.066403
1160.140737Tulane (2-9)115-5.09E-4
1170.125631Kansas (1-10)114-0.021547
1180.111811Akron (1-10)1170.011724
1190.07159New Mexico State (1-9)1200.014694
1200.063595Hawaii (1-9)119-0.013577
1210.018976Massachusetts (1-10)122-0.008196
1220.014996Idaho (1-10)123-0.008074
1235.05E-4Colorado (1-10)121-0.030488
1240.000000Southern Miss (0-11)1240.000000

Sunday, November 11, 2012

Week 11 Top 24


Rank

Score

Team

Previous Rank

Score Change
11.000000Oregon (10-0)30.058315
20.988985Kansas State (10-0)20.032184
30.95445Alabama (9-1)1-0.045549
40.953081Notre Dame (10-0)40.033408
50.920314Florida State (9-1)60.037862
60.89933Ohio State (10-0)50.01191
70.878829Georgia (9-1)110.05509
80.872427Florida (9-1)90.037981
90.86094Clemson (9-1)120.045994
100.85674Louisiana Tech (9-1)100.029674
110.848717Northern Illinois (9-1)80.010225
120.826807LSU (8-2)150.043518
130.815398Kent State (9-1)140.030593
140.813265Louisville (9-1)7-0.056341
150.805453Texas A&M (8-2)190.051006
160.800797Rutgers (8-1)170.035969
170.796865Boise State (8-2)240.054364
180.782694Stanford (8-2)200.028979
190.782499Fresno State (8-3)250.048674
200.775339San Jose State (8-2)280.054941
210.77005South Carolina (8-2)260.042448
220.76954Oklahoma (7-2)230.026753
230.768942Utah State (8-2)180.010547
240.762082UCLA (8-2)220.018844

Week 11 Bottom 10


Rank

Score

Team

Previous Rank

Score Change
1150.141247Tulane (2-8)113-0.060129
1160.131913Kentucky (1-9)115-0.023382
1170.100086Akron (1-10)116-0.050881
1180.091232Eastern Michigan (1-9)119-0.047043
1190.077172Hawaii (1-8)118-0.064206
1200.056896New Mexico State (1-9)120-0.068201
1210.030993Colorado (1-9)122-0.049908
1220.027172Massachusetts (1-9)1240.027172
1230.023071Idaho (1-9)121-0.067738
1240.000000Southern Miss (0-10)123-0.066208

Sunday, November 04, 2012

Week 10 Top 24


Rank

Score

Team

Previous Rank

Score Change
11.000000Alabama (9-0)10.000000
20.956801Kansas State (9-0)20.026139
30.941684Oregon (9-0)30.019169
40.919672Notre Dame (9-0)40.007632
50.887419Ohio State (10-0)60.026733
60.882452Florida State (8-1)5-0.006683
70.869607Louisville (9-0)70.043715
80.838492Northern Illinois (9-1)130.054043
90.834446Florida (8-1)90.031872
100.827065Louisiana Tech (8-1)100.039543
110.823738Georgia (8-1)150.044282
120.814945Clemson (8-1)140.033818
130.801969Ohio (8-1)160.037064
140.784805Kent State (8-1)180.031744
150.783289LSU (7-2)8-0.030159
160.781683Oregon State (7-1)190.032066
170.764827Rutgers (7-1)170.004012
180.758395Utah State (8-2)230.042293
190.754447Texas A&M (7-2)250.051662
200.753715Stanford (7-2)280.05885
210.752404Toledo (8-1)210.00389
220.743237UCLA (7-2)370.070659
230.742786Oklahoma (6-2)260.042847
240.742501Boise State (7-2)12-0.043388

Week 10 Bottom 10


Rank

Score

Team

Previous Rank

Score Change
1150.155295Kentucky (1-9)1140.006026
1160.150968Akron (1-9)1180.018837
1170.150704Memphis (1-8)1170.014138
1180.141378Hawaii (1-7)115-0.003404
1190.138275Eastern Michigan (1-8)1190.009502
1200.125097New Mexico State (1-8)120-0.003616
1210.090809Idaho (1-8)1220.019807
1220.080901Colorado (1-8)121-0.009825
1230.066208Southern Miss (0-9)1230.01757
1240.000000Massachusetts (0-9)1240.000000