2017 Annual Bowl Prediction Catastrophe
We didn't really need more bowls, so contracting by one from last year is a baby step in the right direction. I'm not at all sad to see the Miami Beach bowl leave us, even if it was replaced by the equally pointless Frisco Bowl. Still, I'm going to miss the Poinsettia Bowl - it had a pretty good track record for producing exciting games. RIP.
R+L Carriers New Orleans Bourbon Bowl
New Orleans, LA - December 16, 2017 - 1:00 PM
#20 Troy loses to #40 North Texas by 9.1069
AutoNation Cure Bowl
Orlando, FL - December 16, 2017 - 2:30 PM
#82 Western Kentucky beats #83 Georgia State by 3.0181
Las Vegas Sin City Bowl
Las Vegas, NV - December 16, 2017 - 3:30 PM
#19 Boise State beats #44 Oregon by 5.9391
Gildan New Mexico T-Shirt Bowl
Albuquerque, NM - December 16, 2017 - 4:30 PM
#60 Marshall beats #56 Colorado State by 12.1299
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl
Montgomery, AL - December 16, 2017 - 8:00 PM
#81 Middle Tennessee beats #42 Arkansas State by 13.4749
Cheribundi Tart Cherry Boca Raton Bowl
Boca Raton, FL - December 19, 2017 - 7:00 PM
#73 Akron loses to #17 Florida Atlantic by 7.4919
DXL Frisco Bowl
Frisco, TX - December 20, 2017 - 8:00 PM
#69 Louisiana Tech loses to #50 SMU by 14.7966
Bad Boy Mowers Gasparilla Bowl
St. Petersburg, FL - December 21, 2017 - 8:00 PM
#80 Temple beats #51 Florida Intl by 7.8407
Bahamas Bowl
Nassau, Bahamas - December 22, 2017 - 12:30 PM
#47 UAB loses to #39 Ohio by 16.1217
Famous Idaho Potato Smurf-Turf Bowl
Boise, ID - December 22, 2017 - 4:00 PM
#41 Central Michigan loses to #55 Wyoming by 4.158
Birmingham Bowl
Birmingham, AL - December 23, 2017 - 12:00 PM
#63 Texas Tech beats #16 South Florida by 22.8394
Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl
Fort Worth, TX - December 23, 2017 - 3:30 PM
#15 San Diego State beats #30 Army by 3.015
Dollar General Knick-Knacks Bowl
Mobile, AL - December 23, 2017 - 7:00 PM
#35 Appalachian State loses to #10 Toledo by 14.7871
Hawai'i Aloha Bowl
Honolulu, HI - December 24, 2017 - 8:30 PM
#29 Fresno State beats #48 Houston by 0.9655
Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Bowl
Dallas, TX - December 26, 2017 - 1:30 PM
#66 Utah beats #59 West Virginia by 1.873
Quick Lane Motor City Bowl
Detroit, MI - December 26, 2017 - 5:15 PM
#68 Duke beats #37 Northern Illinois by 6.848
Cactus Bowl
Phoeniz, AZ - December 26, 2017 - 9:00 PM
#58 Kansas State loses to #79 UCLA by 23.1893
Walk-On's Independence Bowl
Shreveport, LA - December 27, 2017 - 1:30 PM
#36 Southern Mississippi loses to #71 Florida State by 31.2795
New Era Pinstripe Yankee Bowl
Bronx, NY - December 27, 2017 - 5:15 PM
#46 Iowa beats #49 Boston College by 4.3039
Foster Farms SANS-Francisco Bowl
Santa Clara, CA - December 27, 2017 - 8:30 PM
#53 Arizona loses to #65 Purdue by 12.0696
Academy Sports + Outdoors Texas Bowl
Houston, TX - December 27, 2017 - 9:00 PM
#62 Texas beats #52 Missouri by 7.4872
Military Bowl Presented by Northrup Grumman USNA Bowl
Annapolis, MD - December 28, 2017 - 1:30 PM
#75 Virginia loses to #70 Navy by 16.6062
Camping World Tangerine Bowl
Orlando, FL - December 28, 2017 - 5:15 PM
#22 Virginia Tech loses to #23 Oklahoma State by 3.6933
Valero Alamo Bowl
San Antonio, TX - December 28, 2017 - 9:00 PM
#28 Stanford beats #18 TCU by 10.0494
San Diego County Credit Union Holiday Bowl
San Diego, CA - December 28, 2017 - 9:00 PM
#26 Washington State loses to #27 Michigan State by 4.7361
Belk Queen City Bowl
Charlotte, NC - December 29, 2017 - 1:00 PM
#45 Wake Forest beats #57 Texas A&M by 9.709
Hyundai Sun Bowl
El Paso, TX - December 29, 2017 - 3:00 PM
#33 NC State loses to #54 Arizona State by 5.4789
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl
Nashville, TN - December 29, 2017 - 4:30 PM
#64 Kentucky loses to #25 Northwestern by 5.6481
NOVA Home Loans Arizona Bowl
Tucson, AZ - December 29, 2017 - 5:30 PM
#76 New Mexico State loses to #74 Utah State by 9.8214
Goodyear Cotton Bowl
Arlington, TX - December 29, 2017 - 8:30 PM
#13 USC loses to #7 Ohio State by 11.6822
TaxSlayer Gator Bowl
Jacksonville, FL - December 30, 2017 - 12:00 PM
#31 Louisville loses to #32 Mississippi State by 7.5338
AutoZone Liberty Bowl
Memphis, TN - December 30, 2017 - 12:30 PM
#43 Iowa State beats #11 Memphis by 1.0051
Playstation Fiesta Bowl
Glendale, AZ - December 30, 2017 - 4:00 PM
#9 Washington loses to #8 Penn State by 14.2832
Capital One Orange Bowl
Miami, FL - December 30, 2017 - 8:00 PM
#6 Wisconsin beats #12 Miami by 4.682
Outback Bowl
Tampa, FL - January 1, 2018 - 12:00 PM
#34 Michigan beats #38 South Carolina by 7.1057
Chick-Fil-A Peach Bowl
Atlanta, GA - January 1, 2018 - 12:30 PM
#1 UCF loses to #14 Auburn by 13.8939
Citrus BowlPresented by Overton's
Orlando, FL - January 1, 2018 - 1:00 PM
#21 Notre Dame beats #24 LSU by 24.6716
(SEMI) Rose BowlGame Presented by Northwest Mutual
Pasadena, CA - January 1, 2018 - 5:00 PM
#4 Georgia beats #5 Oklahoma by 0.6741
(SEMI)Allstate Sugar Bowl
New Orleans, LA - January 1, 2018 - 8:45 PM
#2 Alabama loses to #3 Clemson by 1.9026
(FINAL) CFP National Championship Gamepresented by AT&T
Atlanta, GA - January 8, 2018 - 8:00 PM
#4 Georgia loses to #3 Clemson by 0.567
New Orleans, LA - December 16, 2017 - 1:00 PM
#20 Troy loses to #40 North Texas by 9.1069
Team | Troy (10-2) | North Texas (9-4) |
SOS | 0.21828 | 0.513426 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 30 (13.0968) | 35.923077 (36.887683) |
YPG | 416.416667 (181.79086) | 467 (479.539884) |
TCPG | 1.416667 (2.214873) | 1.692308 (1.646866) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 17.5 (27.3602) | 33.846154 (32.937317) |
YPG | 340.083333 (531.699887) | 431.153846 (419.576503) |
TFPG | 1.75 (0.76398) | 1.076923 (1.105841) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 82.34% | 87.91% |
Defense | 58.81% | 89.72% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 31.923077 (23.017058) | 26.711538 (32.123942) |
Orlando, FL - December 16, 2017 - 2:30 PM
#82 Western Kentucky beats #83 Georgia State by 3.0181
Team | Western Kentucky (6-6) | Georgia State (6-5) |
SOS | 0.164178 | 0.095271 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 26.166667 (8.591982) | 19.727273 (3.758874) |
YPG | 400.583333 (131.533941) | 384.727273 (73.306704) |
TCPG | 1.666667 (2.786073) | 1.818182 (3.289924) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 26.833333 (44.855781) | 25.454545 (46.058931) |
YPG | 373.666667 (624.637641) | 391.363636 (708.156063) |
TFPG | 1.166667 (0.383082) | 1.181818 (0.225186) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 74.65% | 58.6% |
Defense | 82.07% | 74.33% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 25.810606 (27.325456) | 23.280303 (24.307327) |
Las Vegas, NV - December 16, 2017 - 3:30 PM
#19 Boise State beats #44 Oregon by 5.9391
Team | Boise State (10-3) | Oregon (7-5) |
SOS | 0.714765 | 0.598176 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 32.076923 (45.854924) | 36.666667 (43.86624) |
YPG | 400.307692 (572.251855) | 454.333333 (543.542592) |
TCPG | 0.769231 (0.438823) | 1.75 (1.406384) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 22.461538 (12.813634) | 28.25 (22.703056) |
YPG | 336.692308 (192.072861) | 359.833333 (289.179339) |
TFPG | 1.692308 (2.419205) | 1.833333 (2.193312) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 91.58% | 92.23% |
Defense | 76.24% | 89.72% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 30.163462 (34.27899) | 29.564103 (28.339937) |
Albuquerque, NM - December 16, 2017 - 4:30 PM
#60 Marshall beats #56 Colorado State by 12.1299
Team | Marshall (7-5) | Colorado State (7-5) |
SOS | 0.460147 | 0.278725 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 26.333333 (24.234409) | 33.833333 (18.860392) |
YPG | 369.75 (340.278707) | 501 (279.28245) |
TCPG | 1.75 (1.889486) | 1.333333 (1.9234) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 19.25 (20.784341) | 27.5 (39.670125) |
YPG | 337.666667 (364.580726) | 425.833333 (614.285875) |
TFPG | 1.25 (1.150368) | 1.333333 (0.743267) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 81.39% | 77.18% |
Defense | 65.15% | 73.8% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 26.916667 (31.952267) | 26.541667 (19.822366) |
Montgomery, AL - December 16, 2017 - 8:00 PM
#81 Middle Tennessee beats #42 Arkansas State by 13.4749
Team | Middle Tennessee (6-6) | Arkansas State (7-4) |
SOS | 0.337803 | 0.058885 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 24.75 (16.721249) | 38.545455 (4.539498) |
YPG | 396.833333 (268.102981) | 498.727273 (58.735111) |
TCPG | 1.666667 (2.207323) | 2 (3.76446) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 24.25 (32.116555) | 24.909091 (46.884638) |
YPG | 348.583333 (461.661675) | 381 (717.12963) |
TFPG | 0.666667 (0.450404) | 1.909091 (0.224834) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 71.28% | 88.33% |
Defense | 79.51% | 74.72% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 24.829545 (31.802943) | 31.397727 (18.328026) |
Boca Raton, FL - December 19, 2017 - 7:00 PM
#73 Akron loses to #17 Florida Atlantic by 7.4919
Team | Akron (7-6) | Florida Atlantic (10-3) |
SOS | 0.566993 | 0.526259 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 23.615385 (26.779516) | 39.846154 (41.938794) |
YPG | 329.461538 (373.604772) | 491.769231 (517.595967) |
TCPG | 1.307692 (1.13248) | 1 (0.947482) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 26.307692 (22.78283) | 24.230769 (22.958218) |
YPG | 431.846154 (373.984815) | 408.307692 (386.864189) |
TFPG | 2.076923 (2.355202) | 2 (2.105036) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 81.92% | 92.6% |
Defense | 69.62% | 67.82% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 23.923077 (24.868867) | 33.076923 (32.360812) |
Frisco, TX - December 20, 2017 - 8:00 PM
#69 Louisiana Tech loses to #50 SMU by 14.7966
Team | Louisiana Tech (6-6) | SMU (7-5) |
SOS | 0.427292 | 0.625229 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 28.75 (24.56929) | 40.166667 (50.22673) |
YPG | 406.833333 (347.673257) | 494.083333 (617.830457) |
TCPG | 1.25 (1.43177) | 1.083333 (0.812004) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 26.666667 (30.544427) | 35.5 (26.608741) |
YPG | 394.083333 (451.389355) | 486.666667 (364.777107) |
TFPG | 1.833333 (1.566737) | 1.916667 (2.396711) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 80.76% | 92.91% |
Defense | 77.33% | 83.37% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 32.125 (25.589016) | 33.416667 (40.385578) |
St. Petersburg, FL - December 21, 2017 - 8:00 PM
#80 Temple beats #51 Florida Intl by 7.8407
Team | Temple (6-6) | Florida Intl (8-4) |
SOS | 0.522631 | 0.364835 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 24.833333 (25.95734) | 27.5 (20.065925) |
YPG | 387.583333 (405.12613) | 403.583333 (294.482651) |
TCPG | 1.75 (1.670792) | 1.5 (1.905495) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 27.666667 (26.414418) | 28.5 (36.204405) |
YPG | 391.833333 (374.098173) | 416.083333 (528.563141) |
TFPG | 1.25 (1.306578) | 1.416667 (1.033699) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 73.23% | 77.87% |
Defense | 80.7% | 78.28% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 26.666667 (31.080872) | 27.583333 (23.240172) |
Bahamas Bowl
Nassau, Bahamas - December 22, 2017 - 12:30 PM
#47 UAB loses to #39 Ohio by 16.1217
Team | UAB (8-4) | Ohio (8-4) |
SOS | 0 | 0.271212 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 29.583333 (0) | 38.916667 (21.109334) |
YPG | 364.083333 (0) | 430.916667 (233.739542) |
TCPG | 1.25 (2.5) | 1.75 (2.550758) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 24.333333 (48.666667) | 25.75 (37.532582) |
YPG | 357.833333 (715.666667) | 373.166667 (543.918777) |
TFPG | 1.583333 (0) | 1.416667 (0.768434) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 92.86% | 103.21% |
Defense | 77.72% | 78.86% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 27.666667 (18.766291) | 31.625 (34.888) |
Boise, ID - December 22, 2017 - 4:00 PM
#41 Central Michigan loses to #55 Wyoming by 4.158
Team | Central Michigan (8-4) | Wyoming (7-5) |
SOS | 0.327793 | 0.343328 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 29.666667 (19.449051) | 22.333333 (15.335317) |
YPG | 391.916667 (256.93508) | 286.916667 (197.013051) |
TCPG | 1.916667 (2.576794) | 1.166667 (1.532235) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 26.666667 (35.85104) | 17.833333 (23.421301) |
YPG | 379.25 (509.86901) | 332.75 (437.015216) |
TFPG | 2.583333 (1.693597) | 2.5 (1.71664) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 86.51% | 88.96% |
Defense | 80.36% | 61.25% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 23.75 (21.435176) | 24.5 (25.593179) |
Birmingham Bowl
Birmingham, AL - December 23, 2017 - 12:00 PM
#63 Texas Tech beats #16 South Florida by 22.8394
Team | Texas Tech (6-6) | South Florida (9-2) |
SOS | 0.641785 | 0.170464 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 34.333333 (44.069237) | 38.272727 (13.048244) |
YPG | 468.416667 (601.245581) | 508.636364 (173.408378) |
TCPG | 1.333333 (0.95524) | 1.090909 (1.809897) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 31.75 (22.746653) | 22.545455 (37.404532) |
YPG | 434 (310.93062) | 342.545455 (568.307572) |
TFPG | 2.25 (2.888033) | 2 (0.681856) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 83.77% | 86% |
Defense | 83.61% | 75.22% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 28.439394 (40.736885) | 35.011364 (17.897448) |
Fort Worth, TX - December 23, 2017 - 3:30 PM
#15 San Diego State beats #30 Army by 3.015
Team | San Diego State (10-2) | Army (9-3) |
SOS | 0.405039 | 0.380218 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 30.416667 (24.639873) | 29.75 (22.622971) |
YPG | 410.166667 (332.266993) | 385.416667 (293.084708) |
TCPG | 0.916667 (1.090762) | 0.833333 (1.03297) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 18.416667 (21.914397) | 20.916667 (25.927547) |
YPG | 303.5 (361.141327) | 355 (440.04522) |
TFPG | 1.583333 (1.282624) | 1.083333 (0.823806) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 84.75% | 88.22% |
Defense | 69.35% | 67.34% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 25.666667 (25.28371) | 24.083333 (22.268684) |
Mobile, AL - December 23, 2017 - 7:00 PM
#35 Appalachian State loses to #10 Toledo by 14.7871
Team | Appalachian State (8-4) | Toledo (11-2) |
SOS | 0.127257 | 0.394128 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 33.416667 (8.50501) | 39.153846 (30.863254) |
YPG | 438.5 (111.604389) | 509.615385 (401.707385) |
TCPG | 1.166667 (2.0364) | 1.153846 (1.398166) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 21.916667 (38.255235) | 25.615385 (31.039289) |
YPG | 359.083333 (626.774931) | 379.384615 (459.717031) |
TFPG | 1.833333 (0.466609) | 1.538462 (1.212702) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 87.09% | 87.81% |
Defense | 69.75% | 77.16% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 29.516026 (19.772149) | 30.535256 (34.559244) |
Honolulu, HI - December 24, 2017 - 8:30 PM
#29 Fresno State beats #48 Houston by 0.9655
Team | Fresno State (9-4) | Houston (7-4) |
SOS | 0.548769 | 0.562798 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 26.692308 (29.295822) | 28.363636 (31.925996) |
YPG | 386.846154 (424.578354) | 436.090909 (490.862183) |
TCPG | 0.846154 (0.763622) | 1.909091 (1.669317) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 17.230769 (15.550114) | 23 (20.111292) |
YPG | 319 (287.885378) | 417.545455 (365.103416) |
TFPG | 1.461538 (1.604094) | 1.727273 (1.944211) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 78.86% | 74.33% |
Defense | 61.73% | 62.95% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 24.846154 (24.703557) | 22.797203 (23.738055) |
Dallas, TX - December 26, 2017 - 1:30 PM
#66 Utah beats #59 West Virginia by 1.873
Team | Utah (6-6) | West Virginia (7-5) |
SOS | 0.637488 | 0.587413 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 29.5 (37.611792) | 36.25 (42.587443) |
YPG | 417.666667 (532.514976) | 485.083333 (569.888512) |
TCPG | 2 (1.450048) | 1.833333 (1.512819) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 23.916667 (17.340157) | 31.583333 (26.061746) |
YPG | 353.833333 (256.537659) | 452.5 (373.391235) |
TFPG | 1.916667 (2.443704) | 1.416667 (1.664337) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 80.72% | 85.41% |
Defense | 77.25% | 79.77% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 30.541667 (31.836769) | 30.083333 (29.9638) |
Detroit, MI - December 26, 2017 - 5:15 PM
#68 Duke beats #37 Northern Illinois by 6.848
Team | Duke (6-6) | Northern Illinois (8-4) |
SOS | 0.589244 | 0.404611 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 25.75 (30.346066) | 30.166667 (24.41153) |
YPG | 378.083333 (445.566671) | 384.333333 (311.010989) |
TCPG | 1.5 (1.232268) | 2 (2.381556) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 20.75 (17.046374) | 20.833333 (24.807875) |
YPG | 335.416667 (275.548817) | 328 (390.575184) |
TFPG | 1.583333 (1.865939) | 1.75 (1.416139) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 77.84% | 89.7% |
Defense | 70.7% | 72.59% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 23.291667 (27.576971) | 25.458333 (20.728952) |
Cactus Bowl
Phoeniz, AZ - December 26, 2017 - 9:00 PM
#58 Kansas State loses to #79 UCLA by 23.1893
Team | Kansas State (7-5) | UCLA (6-6) |
SOS | 0.483886 | 0.881291 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 32.083333 (31.049352) | 33.75 (59.487143) |
YPG | 368.333333 (356.462687) | 465.666667 (820.775685) |
TCPG | 1 (1.032228) | 1.75 (0.415482) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 25.833333 (26.66589) | 36.75 (8.725112) |
YPG | 432.416667 (446.352591) | 488.75 (116.038048) |
TFPG | 1.833333 (1.774249) | 1 (1.762582) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 99.55% | 82.83% |
Defense | 68.28% | 85.93% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 34.416667 (19.887232) | 29.791667 (43.076516) |
Shreveport, LA - December 27, 2017 - 1:30 PM
#36 Southern Mississippi loses to #71 Florida State by 31.2795
Team | Southern Mississippi (8-4) | Florida State (6-6) |
SOS | 0.189036 | 0.829701 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 30.5 (11.531196) | 26.666667 (44.25072) |
YPG | 438.416667 (165.753066) | 343.583333 (570.142871) |
TCPG | 1.5 (2.432892) | 1.75 (0.596047) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 23 (37.304344) | 21.916667 (7.464773) |
YPG | 321.916667 (522.125655) | 337 (114.781526) |
TFPG | 1.5 (0.567108) | 1.166667 (1.935969) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 79.51% | 88.7% |
Defense | 81.65% | 74.33% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 26.208333 (9.497984) | 24.833333 (40.777532) |
Bronx, NY - December 27, 2017 - 5:15 PM
#46 Iowa beats #49 Boston College by 4.3039
Team | Iowa (7-5) | Boston College (7-5) |
SOS | 0.964371 | 0.922339 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 28.333333 (54.64769) | 26.083333 (48.115351) |
YPG | 339.833333 (655.450823) | 387 (713.890386) |
TCPG | 1.583333 (0.112825) | 1.416667 (0.22004) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 19.916667 (1.419222) | 22.5 (3.494745) |
YPG | 355.333333 (25.320343) | 397.916667 (61.805213) |
TFPG | 1.916667 (3.696756) | 2.083333 (3.843079) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 95.28% | 77.03% |
Defense | 64.06% | 64.62% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 25.416667 (29.071218) | 23 (24.767287) |
Santa Clara, CA - December 27, 2017 - 8:30 PM
#53 Arizona loses to #65 Purdue by 12.0696
Team | Arizona (7-5) | Purdue (6-6) |
SOS | 0.464791 | 0.74954 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 41.833333 (38.887514) | 24.166667 (36.227767) |
YPG | 494.5 (459.678299) | 390.416667 (585.265817) |
TCPG | 1.666667 (1.78403) | 1.333333 (0.667893) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 34.083333 (36.483414) | 19.333333 (9.684453) |
YPG | 463.583333 (496.227945) | 370.916667 (185.799577) |
TFPG | 2 (1.859164) | 1.583333 (2.373543) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 96.68% | 70.74% |
Defense | 84.02% | 59.57% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 30.583333 (24.285984) | 29.125 (36.35559) |
Houston, TX - December 27, 2017 - 9:00 PM
#62 Texas beats #52 Missouri by 7.4872
Team | Texas (6-6) | Missouri (7-5) |
SOS | 0.673139 | 0.517899 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 29.166667 (39.266442) | 39.333333 (40.741388) |
YPG | 408.333333 (549.730183) | 511.5 (529.810677) |
TCPG | 1.5 (0.980583) | 1.75 (1.687354) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 21.666667 (14.163977) | 31.75 (30.613414) |
YPG | 363.583333 (237.682424) | 425.25 (410.026901) |
TFPG | 1.833333 (2.468176) | 1.416667 (1.467381) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 81.63% | 87.88% |
Defense | 68.11% | 85.33% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 30.458333 (34.939928) | 30.5 (27.452682) |
Annapolis, MD - December 28, 2017 - 1:30 PM
#75 Virginia loses to #70 Navy by 16.6062
Team | Virginia (6-6) | Navy (6-6) |
SOS | 0.622178 | 0.867029 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 23.833333 (29.657151) | 28.916667 (50.143177) |
YPG | 356.166667 (443.198129) | 426.75 (740.009252) |
TCPG | 1.333333 (1.007525) | 1.583333 (0.421075) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 26.666667 (20.150507) | 27.916667 (7.424214) |
YPG | 358.666667 (271.024315) | 386.583333 (102.808745) |
TFPG | 1.5 (1.866534) | 1.083333 (1.878563) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 76.48% | 77.44% |
Defense | 84.97% | 82.53% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 25.875 (18.540683) | 27.791667 (35.146842) |
Orlando, FL - December 28, 2017 - 5:15 PM
#22 Virginia Tech loses to #23 Oklahoma State by 3.6933
Team | Virginia Tech (9-3) | Oklahoma State (9-3) |
SOS | 0.546616 | 0.568181 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 28.75 (31.43042) | 46.25 (52.556743) |
YPG | 404.083333 (441.756831) | 575.666667 (654.165725) |
TCPG | 1 (0.906768) | 1.75 (1.511367) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 13.5 (12.241368) | 30.083333 (25.98111) |
YPG | 305.25 (276.790932) | 400.25 (345.67111) |
TFPG | 1.583333 (1.730951) | 1.833333 (2.08333) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 81.31% | 91.82% |
Defense | 50.54% | 85.9% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 29.416667 (28.705765) | 29.875 (32.399055) |
San Antonio, TX - December 28, 2017 - 9:00 PM
#28 Stanford beats #18 TCU by 10.0494
Team | Stanford (9-4) | TCU (10-3) |
SOS | 0.863833 | 0.635943 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 32 (55.285312) | 33.153846 (42.167913) |
YPG | 389.923077 (673.656843) | 414 (526.560804) |
TCPG | 0.769231 (0.209488) | 1.076923 (0.784123) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 21.461538 (5.844707) | 17.615385 (12.826008) |
YPG | 398.769231 (108.59842) | 328.538462 (239.213453) |
TFPG | 1.923077 (3.322435) | 1.384615 (1.761073) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 93.79% | 91.52% |
Defense | 61.51% | 61.28% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 24.807692 (34.05566) | 27.307692 (24.00631) |
San Diego, CA - December 28, 2017 - 9:00 PM
#26 Washington State loses to #27 Michigan State by 4.7361
Team | Washington State (9-3) | Michigan State (9-3) |
SOS | 0.636463 | 0.833199 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 31.416667 (39.991092) | 23.083333 (38.466021) |
YPG | 445.833333 (567.512842) | 378.333333 (630.45391) |
TCPG | 2.416667 (1.757096) | 1.666667 (0.556003) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 24.416667 (17.752724) | 20.25 (6.755441) |
YPG | 313.583333 (227.998289) | 297.416667 (99.218795) |
TFPG | 2.25 (2.864084) | 1.75 (2.916197) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 80.53% | 69.73% |
Defense | 88.99% | 77.81% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 25.833333 (23.373266) | 23.75 (28.109372) |
Charlotte, NC - December 29, 2017 - 1:00 PM
#45 Wake Forest beats #57 Texas A&M by 9.709
Team | Wake Forest (7-5) | Texas A&M (7-5) |
SOS | 0.777844 | 0.657657 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 33.666667 (52.374829) | 31.083333 (40.884344) |
YPG | 450.75 (701.226366) | 389.583333 (512.424413) |
TCPG | 0.916667 (0.407286) | 1.333333 (0.912915) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 26.333333 (11.700216) | 28.666667 (19.627665) |
YPG | 444.25 (197.385606) | 388.666667 (266.114625) |
TFPG | 1.5 (2.333532) | 1.666667 (2.19219) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 85.36% | 91.18% |
Defense | 67.74% | 84.29% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 31.166667 (36.001247) | 28.708333 (26.29228) |
El Paso, TX - December 29, 2017 - 3:00 PM
#33 NC State loses to #54 Arizona State by 5.4789
Team | NC State (8-4) | Arizona State (7-5) |
SOS | 0.725099 | 0.824819 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 30.583333 (44.351889) | 31.916667 (52.650946) |
YPG | 449.25 (651.501452) | 427.583333 (705.357715) |
TCPG | 1 (0.549802) | 0.916667 (0.321165) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 24.75 (13.6076) | 31.25 (10.948813) |
YPG | 377.166667 (207.366988) | 446.75 (156.524224) |
TFPG | 1.416667 (2.054447) | 1.333333 (2.199517) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 77.8% | 85.31% |
Defense | 75% | 79.94% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 30.916667 (27.650351) | 28.333333 (33.129273) |
Nashville, TN - December 29, 2017 - 4:30 PM
#64 Kentucky loses to #25 Northwestern by 5.6481
Team | Kentucky (7-5) | Northwestern (9-3) |
SOS | 0.652236 | 0.653257 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 25.75 (33.590154) | 29.666667 (38.759915) |
YPG | 350.833333 (457.65226) | 405.166667 (529.355922) |
TCPG | 1.083333 (0.753489) | 1.5 (1.040229) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 28.583333 (19.880509) | 19.833333 (13.754139) |
YPG | 425.666667 (296.063085) | 358.833333 (248.845893) |
TFPG | 1.5 (1.956708) | 2 (2.613028) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 83.88% | 83.68% |
Defense | 76.74% | 63.17% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 22.791667 (23.672147) | 29.125 (29.320212) |
Tucson, AZ - December 29, 2017 - 5:30 PM
#76 New Mexico State loses to #74 Utah State by 9.8214
Team | New Mexico State (6-6) | Utah State (6-6) |
SOS | 0.270637 | 0.389348 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 29.583333 (16.012689) | 31 (24.139576) |
YPG | 453.75 (245.603078) | 393.75 (306.61155) |
TCPG | 2.166667 (3.160573) | 1.833333 (2.239057) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 30.5 (44.491143) | 27 (32.975208) |
YPG | 397.833333 (580.329827) | 402.416667 (491.473085) |
TFPG | 2.083333 (1.127654) | 2.166667 (1.687175) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 74.51% | 89.98% |
Defense | 87.62% | 76.68% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 28.291667 (24.493949) | 30.75 (34.31536) |
Arlington, TX - December 29, 2017 - 8:30 PM
#13 USC loses to #7 Ohio State by 11.6822
Team | USC (11-2) | Ohio State (11-2) |
SOS | 0.776919 | 0.842678 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 34.538462 (53.667174) | 42.461538 (71.562809) |
YPG | 489.538462 (760.663464) | 523.615385 (882.47833) |
TCPG | 1.769231 (0.789364) | 1.384615 (0.435661) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 26.307692 (11.737493) | 19.923077 (6.268677) |
YPG | 404.769231 (180.59265) | 292.307692 (91.972862) |
TFPG | 1.846154 (2.868624) | 1.538462 (2.592855) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 80.63% | 92.68% |
Defense | 74.28% | 77.89% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 27.230769 (29.967925) | 34.384615 (41.650151) |
Jacksonville, FL - December 30, 2017 - 12:00 PM
#31 Louisville loses to #32 Mississippi State by 7.5338
Team | Louisville (8-4) | Mississippi State (8-4) |
SOS | 0.569537 | 0.73341 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 39 (44.423886) | 32.083333 (47.060475) |
YPG | 560.5 (638.450977) | 419.833333 (615.81993) |
TCPG | 1.416667 (1.219645) | 1.583333 (0.844202) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 27.083333 (23.316746) | 20.416667 (10.885758) |
YPG | 386.75 (332.963131) | 302 (161.02036) |
TFPG | 1.666667 (1.898457) | 1.416667 (2.077995) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 79.52% | 87.34% |
Defense | 80.03% | 77.26% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 29.708333 (27.654822) | 29.583333 (35.18861) |
Memphis, TN - December 30, 2017 - 12:30 PM
#43 Iowa State beats #11 Memphis by 1.0051
Team | Iowa State (7-5) | Memphis (10-2) |
SOS | 0.616861 | 0.528099 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 29.916667 (36.90885) | 47.666667 (50.345438) |
YPG | 389.333333 (480.329099) | 548.166667 (578.972537) |
TCPG | 0.75 (0.574709) | 1.333333 (1.258403) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 21 (16.091838) | 33.416667 (31.538717) |
YPG | 368.416667 (282.309587) | 476.333333 (449.564353) |
TFPG | 1.666667 (2.056203) | 2.5 (2.640495) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 87.82% | 99.38% |
Defense | 65.14% | 80.18% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 31.666667 (34.223783) | 34.333333 (33.218638) |
Glendale, AZ - December 30, 2017 - 4:00 PM
#9 Washington loses to #8 Penn State by 14.2832
Team | Washington (10-2) | Penn State (10-2) |
SOS | 0.533513 | 0.748286 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 36.916667 (39.391043) | 41.583333 (62.232452) |
YPG | 411.666667 (439.259037) | 453.25 (678.321259) |
TCPG | 0.833333 (0.777478) | 0.833333 (0.419523) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 14.5 (13.528123) | 15.5 (7.803134) |
YPG | 277.416667 (258.822537) | 329.333333 (165.795621) |
TFPG | 1.75 (1.867296) | 2 (2.993144) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 102.49% | 104.85% |
Defense | 59.73% | 53.79% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 26.208333 (23.597089) | 28.041667 (37.880288) |
Miami, FL - December 30, 2017 - 8:00 PM
#6 Wisconsin beats #12 Miami by 4.682
Team | Wisconsin (12-1) | Miami (10-2) |
SOS | 0.701467 | 0.708179 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 33.769231 (47.376002) | 29.5 (41.782561) |
YPG | 416.153846 (583.83638) | 405.916667 (574.923318) |
TCPG | 1.769231 (1.056348) | 1.25 (0.729553) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 13.153846 (7.853714) | 19.916667 (11.624203) |
YPG | 253.230769 (151.195482) | 359.416667 (209.770662) |
TFPG | 2 (2.805868) | 2.5 (3.540895) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 92.74% | 83.06% |
Defense | 59.36% | 63.33% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 26.842949 (29.500103) | 21.326923 (24.818138) |
Outback Bowl
Tampa, FL - January 1, 2018 - 12:00 PM
#34 Michigan beats #38 South Carolina by 7.1057
Team | Michigan (8-4) | South Carolina (8-4) |
SOS | 0.789489 | 0.672693 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 25.75 (40.658684) | 24.083333 (32.40138) |
YPG | 354.916667 (560.405609) | 340.166667 (457.655471) |
TCPG | 1.333333 (0.561363) | 1.166667 (0.763716) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 18.25 (7.683652) | 20.833333 (13.637792) |
YPG | 268.583333 (113.079492) | 374.583333 (245.207494) |
TFPG | 1.166667 (1.842141) | 1.916667 (2.578657) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 82.92% | 80.91% |
Defense | 77.66% | 63.56% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 23.291667 (27.148238) | 21.166667 (20.042516) |
Atlanta, GA - January 1, 2018 - 12:30 PM
#1 UCF loses to #14 Auburn by 13.8939
Team | UCF (12-0) | Auburn (10-3) |
SOS | 0.524188 | 0.873062 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 49.416667 (51.807247) | 34.384615 (60.039802) |
YPG | 540.416667 (566.559863) | 454 (792.740296) |
TCPG | 1.166667 (1.110228) | 1.307692 (0.331992) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 25.166667 (23.949204) | 17.307692 (4.394008) |
YPG | 428.5 (407.770884) | 317.615385 (80.634923) |
TFPG | 2.416667 (2.533575) | 1.384615 (2.41771) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 104.5% | 86.56% |
Defense | 67.12% | 62.28% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 33.362179 (28.100628) | 29.775641 (41.994503) |
Citrus Bowl
Orlando, FL - January 1, 2018 - 1:00 PM
#21 Notre Dame beats #24 LSU by 24.6716
Team | Notre Dame (9-3) | LSU (9-3) |
SOS | 1 | 0.628008 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 35.333333 (70.666667) | 28.083333 (35.273116) |
YPG | 455 (910) | 412.083333 (517.58326) |
TCPG | 1.25 (0) | 0.666667 (0.495989) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 21.833333 (0) | 18.75 (13.9497) |
YPG | 366.666667 (0) | 311.666667 (231.875013) |
TFPG | 1.666667 (3.333333) | 1.333333 (1.674688) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 88.75% | 77.89% |
Defense | 68.05% | 68.75% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 27.041667 (42.308183) | 24.958333 (17.636558) |
(SEMI) Rose Bowl
Pasadena, CA - January 1, 2018 - 5:00 PM
#4 Georgia beats #5 Oklahoma by 0.6741
Team | Georgia (12-1) | Oklahoma (12-1) |
SOS | 0.755475 | 0.678948 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 34.923077 (52.767023) | 44.923077 (61.000866) |
YPG | 433.615385 (655.171165) | 583.307692 (792.071182) |
TCPG | 1 (0.48905) | 0.923077 (0.592711) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 13.230769 (6.470508) | 25 (16.0526) |
YPG | 271 (132.53255) | 384.692308 (247.01247) |
TFPG | 1.384615 (2.092085) | 1.307692 (1.77571) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 92.04% | 88.02% |
Defense | 55.8% | 74.27% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 29.961538 (34.409812) | 29.076923 (33.735687) |
(SEMI)
New Orleans, LA - January 1, 2018 - 8:45 PM
#2 Alabama loses to #3 Clemson by 1.9026
Team | Alabama (11-1) | Clemson (12-1) |
SOS | 0.658569 | 0.757665 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 39.083333 (51.478144) | 35.384615 (53.619369) |
YPG | 470.666667 (619.932952) | 448.384615 (679.450659) |
TCPG | 0.666667 (0.455241) | 1.076923 (0.521952) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 11.5 (7.852913) | 12.769231 (6.188863) |
YPG | 257.833333 (176.064586) | 277.923077 (134.700978) |
TFPG | 1.666667 (2.19523) | 1.461538 (2.214713) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 94.9% | 90.19% |
Defense | 50.97% | 52.51% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 25.926282 (28.833503) | 23.442308 (30.736141) |
(FINAL) CFP National Championship Game
Atlanta, GA - January 8, 2018 - 8:00 PM
#4 Georgia loses to #3 Clemson by 0.567
Team | Georgia (12-1) | Clemson (12-1) |
SOS | 0.755475 | 0.757665 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 34.923077 (52.767023) | 35.384615 (53.619369) |
YPG | 433.615385 (655.171165) | 448.384615 (679.450659) |
TCPG | 1 (0.48905) | 1.076923 (0.521952) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 13.230769 (6.470508) | 12.769231 (6.188863) |
YPG | 271 (132.53255) | 277.923077 (134.700978) |
TFPG | 1.384615 (2.092085) | 1.461538 (2.214713) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 92.04% | 90.19% |
Defense | 55.8% | 52.51% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 23.846154 (29.477943) | 24.307692 (30.044938) |
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