Chaos Rankings

Sunday, September 24, 2017

Week 4 Top 25


Rank

Score

Team

Previous Rank

Score Change
11.000000Alabama (4-0)70.040274
20.962836Penn State (4-0)2-0.033142
30.939492Washington (4-0)9-0.018085
40.938128South Florida (4-0)160.004418
50.936358Clemson (4-0)10-0.018746
60.92989Virginia Tech (4-0)170.011557
70.921276TCU (4-0)14-0.021573
80.919133Oklahoma (4-0)3-0.05982
90.918945Duke (4-0)8-0.039178
100.918264Michigan (4-0)15-0.023611
110.914944Wake Forest (4-0)5-0.057867
120.908338Washington State (4-0)18-0.007522
130.886858USC (4-0)22-0.006465
140.885465Georgia (4-0)230.009237
150.883942Wisconsin (3-0)6-0.084352
160.879732San Diego State (4-0)21-0.020599
170.874578Utah (4-0)19-0.032832
180.869304Minnesota (3-0)13-0.076963
190.868753Texas Tech (3-0)280.015496
200.850471UCF (2-0)320.050778
210.816509UT San Antonio (3-0)350.022738
220.798432Navy (3-0)340.002232
230.773822Ohio State (3-1)370.025454
240.772138Miami (2-0)380.028064
250.770059Memphis (3-0)36-0.021658

Table breaks indicate gaps of at least 0.015 between teams. Gaps used for illustrative purposes may vary week to week, but are intended to group together teams in similar tiers.

Wednesday, September 20, 2017

Week 3 Top 25

Update 9/23 10:57 PM EDT: I discovered a glitch in my database for California and Hawaii which indicated that they had won and lost, respectively, a game against no one every week that they didn't actually play (including the future). This caused Cal to appear to have an extra 0-0 "win" against Air Force and Hawaii to have an extra 0-0 "loss" against Air Force. The rankings below have been updated to reflect the correction record of games played so far.

Rank

Score

Team

Previous Rank

Score Change
11.0Mississippi State (3-0)180.195992
20.995978Penn State (3-0)50.089713
30.978954Oklahoma (3-0)40.069777
40.975403Oklahoma State (3-0)60.072142
50.972811Wake Forest (3-0)230.178237
60.968294Wisconsin (3-0)70.073357
70.959725Alabama (3-0)1-0.040274
80.958123Duke (3-0)300.207204
90.957578Washington (3-0)2-0.010307
100.955104Clemson (3-0)3-0.003171
110.953594Vanderbilt (3-0)250.166909
120.950447Oregon (3-0)380.23394
130.946268Minnesota (3-0)170.132372
140.942849TCU (3-0)260.158914
150.941876Michigan (3-0)80.049714
160.933709South Florida (3-0)130.087581
170.918333Virginia Tech (3-0)220.117918
180.915861Washington State (3-0)190.112502
190.907411Utah (3-0)240.115187
200.903359Colorado (3-0)110.033566
210.900331San Diego State (3-0)120.048962
220.893323USC (3-0)160.069833
230.876228Georgia (3-0)280.119263
240.870874Kentucky (3-0)390.154733
250.866398Iowa (3-0)310.124709

Table breaks indicate gaps of at least 0.015 between teams. Gaps used for illustrative purposes may vary week to week, but are intended to group together teams in similar tiers.

Tuesday, September 12, 2017

Week 2 Top 25 (Stabilized)


Rank

Score

Team

Previous Rank

Score Change
11.0Alabama (2-0)10.0
20.967885Washington (2-0)40.053789
30.958276Clemson (2-0)2-0.018441
40.909176Oklahoma (2-0)50.038661
50.906265Penn State (2-0)90.090205
60.903261Oklahoma State (2-0)130.127163
70.894937Wisconsin (2-0)80.05202
80.892162Michigan (2-0)70.042933
90.887814Kansas State (2-0)220.161144
100.879795LSU (2-0)150.116076
110.869793Colorado (2-0)160.106493
120.851368San Diego State (2-0)110.050856
130.846127South Florida (2-0)6-0.019146
140.84198Air Force (1-0)100.028914
150.841895Louisville (2-0)190.092608
160.82349USC (2-0)180.064607
170.813895Minnesota (2-0)290.121973
180.804007Mississippi State (2-0)490.238088
190.803359Washington State (2-0)270.105714
200.801987Toledo (2-0)250.091829
210.800929Army (2-0)320.13004
220.800414Virginia Tech (2-0)210.073498
230.794573Wake Forest (2-0)450.215786
240.792223Utah (2-0)280.100165
250.786684Vanderbilt (2-0)540.241349

Table breaks indicate gaps of at least 0.015 between teams. Gaps used for illustrative purposes may vary week to week, but are intended to group together teams in similar tiers.

Week 1 Top 25 (Stabilized)


Rank

Score

Team

Previous Rank

Score Change
11.0Alabama (1-0)10.0
20.976717Clemson (1-0)20.027107
30.921708Ohio State (1-0)50.039016
40.914095Washington (1-0)40.023614
50.870514Oklahoma (1-0)70.091955
60.865274South Florida (2-0)110.121001
70.849229Michigan (1-0)60.045485
80.842916Wisconsin (1-0)80.070488
90.816059Penn State (1-0)120.092219
100.813066Air Force (1-0)190.124759
110.800512San Diego State (1-0)100.044073
120.777876Stanford (1-0)280.124066
130.776097Oklahoma State (1-0)160.068111
140.769219Western Kentucky (1-0)90.001393
150.763718LSU (1-0)290.129158
160.763299Colorado (1-0)230.081166
170.760095Miami (1-0)250.08366
180.758883USC (1-0)150.050355
190.749286Louisville (1-0)220.063874
200.733116Boise State (1-0)270.074564
210.726915Virginia Tech (1-0)260.060229
220.726669Kansas State (1-0)310.095056
230.713645Western Michigan (0-1)3-0.207566
240.710606Auburn (1-0)370.104092
250.710158Toledo (1-0)340.084928

Table breaks indicate gaps of at least 0.015 between teams. Gaps used for illustrative purposes may vary week to week, but are intended to group together teams in similar tiers.

Monday, January 16, 2017

2016-2017 Conference Comparison

The ACC had a pretty phenomenal bowl season, including representative Clemson winning the championship game against the vaunted SEC and defending champ Alabama. Here's a breakdown of how each conference faired in Chaos Rankings in terms of it's membership's average and median scores.

ConferenceMedian Score (Rank)Average Score (Rank)
ACC0.529434 (2)0.521885 (1)
IND0.559235 (1)0.50213 (3)
SEC0.495256 (4)0.516885 (2)
Big Ten0.510835 (3)0.477209 (5)
Pac 120.476478 (5)0.480881 (4)
Big XII0.4386 (7)0.464053 (6)
AAC0.476141 (6)0.452573 (7)
MWC0.399516 (8)0.415923 (8)
Sun Belt0.363275 (9)0.374729 (9)
MAC0.351951 (10)0.353561 (11)
CUSA0.262176 (11)0.366605 (10)


Also of interest is the table of cross-conference competition. The ACC had a winning record against every conference they played except the Pac 12.

AACACCBig TenBig XIICUSAINDMACMWCPac 12SECSun Belt
AAC vs.--0.400 (4-6)0.200 (1-4)0.500 (2-2)0.600 (3-2)0.250 (1-3)1.000 (5-0)0.500 (2-2)--0.333 (1-2)0.667 (2-1)
ACC vs.0.600 (6-4)--0.750 (6-2)0.500 (1-1)1.000 (5-0)0.571 (4-3)1.000 (3-0)--0.000 (0-2)0.714 (10-4)1.000 (3-0)
Big Ten vs.0.800 (4-1)0.250 (2-6)--1.000 (2-0)1.000 (2-0)0.500 (1-1)0.750 (6-2)1.000 (6-0)0.571 (4-3)0.333 (1-2)1.000 (1-0)
Big XII vs.0.500 (2-2)0.500 (1-1)0.000 (0-2)--1.000 (4-0)1.000 (2-0)0.000 (0-2)1.000 (2-0)0.250 (1-3)0.600 (3-2)1.000 (1-0)
CUSA vs.0.400 (2-3)0.000 (0-5)0.000 (0-2)0.000 (0-4)--0.250 (1-3)0.556 (5-4)0.000 (0-3)0.000 (0-2)0.222 (2-7)0.500 (2-2)
IND vs.0.750 (3-1)0.429 (3-4)0.500 (1-1)0.000 (0-2)0.750 (3-1)--0.667 (2-1)0.600 (3-2)0.200 (1-4)1.000 (1-0)--
MAC vs.0.000 (0-5)0.000 (0-3)0.250 (2-6)1.000 (2-0)0.444 (4-5)0.333 (1-2)--0.429 (3-4)--0.000 (0-7)0.375 (3-5)
MWC vs.0.500 (2-2)--0.000 (0-6)0.000 (0-2)1.000 (3-0)0.400 (2-3)0.571 (4-3)--0.333 (3-6)--0.556 (5-4)
Pac 12 vs.--1.000 (2-0)0.429 (3-4)0.750 (3-1)1.000 (2-0)0.800 (4-1)--0.667 (6-3)--0.000 (0-3)1.000 (2-0)
SEC vs.0.667 (2-1)0.286 (4-10)0.667 (2-1)0.400 (2-3)0.778 (7-2)0.000 (0-1)1.000 (7-0)--1.000 (3-0)--0.889 (8-1)
Sun Belt vs.0.333 (1-2)0.000 (0-3)0.000 (0-1)0.000 (0-1)0.500 (2-2)--0.625 (5-3)0.444 (4-5)0.000 (0-2)0.111 (1-8)--

Tuesday, January 10, 2017

2016-2017 Final Rankings


Rank

Score

Team

Previous Rank

Score Change
11.000000Alabama (14-1)10.000000
20.949609Clemson (14-1)20.054671
30.921211Western Michigan (13-1)30.033413
40.890481Washington (12-2)40.031479
50.882691Ohio State (11-2)50.032003
60.803743Michigan (10-3)60.028689
70.778559Oklahoma (11-2)70.02971
80.772428Wisconsin (11-3)80.028297
90.767826Western Kentucky (11-3)90.027954
100.756438San Diego State (11-3)100.027183
110.744273South Florida (11-2)110.027939
120.72384Penn State (11-3)120.027543
130.723001Florida State (10-3)130.027508
140.72193Appalachian State (10-3)140.02659
150.708527USC (10-3)160.026607
160.707986Oklahoma State (10-3)150.0258
170.701571Troy (10-3)170.026105
180.69979Temple (10-4)180.02523
190.688307Air Force (10-3)190.025639
200.686335Tulsa (10-3)200.025786
210.68547Old Dominion (10-3)210.024996
220.685411Louisville (9-4)220.025621
230.682133Colorado (10-4)230.024983
240.67778West Virginia (10-3)250.025603
250.676434Miami (9-4)240.023951
260.666686Virginia Tech (10-4)260.025259
270.658551Boise State (10-3)270.026028
280.653809Stanford (10-3)280.025152
290.634559LSU (8-4)290.022877
300.633715BYU (9-4)300.022525
310.631613Kansas State (9-4)310.022426
320.627743Houston (9-4)320.023724
330.626446Florida (9-4)330.023181
340.625229Toledo (9-4)340.023386
350.613003Utah (9-4)350.022492
360.609295Minnesota (9-4)360.022255
370.606514Auburn (8-5)370.021558
380.597281Nebraska (9-4)380.022365
390.592277Louisiana Tech (9-5)390.021358
400.592007Tennessee (9-4)400.022365
410.588338Washington State (8-5)410.020577
420.585807Georgia Tech (9-4)420.022439
430.582901New Mexico (9-4)430.022099
440.572002Idaho (9-4)440.021102
450.562017Navy (9-5)450.020724
460.559903Texas A&M (8-5)460.019719
470.559235Army (8-5)480.020176
480.559203Memphis (8-5)470.019586
490.550438Georgia (8-5)490.019702
500.534827Iowa (8-5)500.01921
510.530388North Carolina (8-5)510.019633
520.528733Arkansas State (8-5)520.018955
530.528479Pittsburgh (8-5)530.019872
540.515661Middle Tennessee (8-5)540.019069
550.497765NC State (7-6)550.017972
560.488116Ohio (8-6)560.017608
570.486842Northwestern (7-6)570.016676
580.484538Wyoming (8-6)580.017614
590.479393Baylor (7-6)590.01733
600.475455Colorado State (7-6)600.017001
610.454514Southern Mississippi (7-6)610.01745
620.451158Eastern Michigan (7-6)620.016224
630.441056Wake Forest (7-6)630.015942
640.440073Arkansas (7-6)640.016092
650.437797Boston College (7-6)650.016022
660.424483Kentucky (7-6)660.015957
670.398669Mississippi State (6-7)670.012985
680.397806TCU (6-7)680.013928
690.393077UCF (6-7)690.013365
700.386639Indiana (6-7)700.013994
710.384459Texas San Antonio (6-7)710.012983
720.3827Vanderbilt (6-7)720.013033
730.374648Miami (OH) (6-7)730.012755
740.365483Louisiana Lafayette (6-7)740.012703
750.364618California (5-7)750.012159
760.364575Texas (5-7)760.01247
770.364496South Carolina (6-7)770.012771
780.363274South Alabama (6-7)780.012745
790.357346Ole Miss (5-7)790.012059
800.352781Northern Illinois (5-7)800.011862
810.351951Central Michigan (6-7)810.012855
820.349722Georgia Southern (5-7)820.011673
830.34677Texas Tech (5-7)830.012004
840.333277Maryland (6-7)840.012525
850.32864SMU (5-7)850.011308
860.323576Hawaii (7-7)860.013114
870.313437Notre Dame (4-8)870.009988
880.308501Nevada (5-7)880.010082
890.298751Missouri (4-8)890.009481
900.294157Tulane (4-8)900.008445
910.289331UCLA (4-8)910.009249
920.283366Arizona State (5-7)920.010294
930.278909Akron (5-7)930.010361
940.269222Oregon State (4-8)940.00845
950.267028UNLV (4-8)950.008214
960.266074Oregon (4-8)960.008744
970.262175North Texas (5-8)970.008784
980.261266Duke (4-8)980.008681
990.251347Cincinnati (4-8)990.007902
1000.24875Charlotte (4-8)1000.007314
1010.244464Syracuse (4-8)1010.008728
1020.235941San Jose State (4-8)1020.007732
1030.234068Ball State (4-8)1030.007992
1040.222844Michigan State (3-9)1040.006444
1050.217543UTEP (4-8)1050.007308
1060.207145Florida Intl (4-8)1060.007434
1070.203918Utah State (3-9)1070.005979
1080.202028Iowa State (3-9)1090.005662
1090.202003Kent State (3-9)1080.004313
1100.184767Bowling Green (4-8)1100.00733
1110.17705Georgia State (3-9)1110.005114
1120.174411Marshall (3-9)1120.004389
1130.173796Louisiana Monroe (4-8)1130.00685
1140.168453New Mexico State (3-9)1140.004763
1150.163023East Carolina (3-9)1150.005705
1160.161667Arizona (3-9)1160.005147
1170.161109Illinois (3-9)1170.004596
1180.128965Florida Atlantic (3-9)1180.0038
1190.127068Purdue (3-9)1200.004775
1200.126663Rice (3-9)1190.00392
1210.121267Connecticut (3-9)1210.003728
1220.078225Virginia (2-10)1220.001615
1230.071999Massachusetts (2-10)1230.001491
1240.059442Buffalo (2-10)1247.1E-4
1250.05401Kansas (2-10)1250.001421
1260.039029Rutgers (2-10)1264.83E-4
1270.005916Fresno State (1-11)127-0.001567
1280.000000Texas State (2-10)1280.000000