Week 15 (Pre-Bowl) Rankings

Rank	Score	Team	Previous Rank	Score Change
1	1.000000	UCF (12-0)	1	0.000000
2	0.998841	Alabama (11-1)	2	3.19E-4
3	0.982395	Clemson (12-1)	3	3.11E-4
4	0.97734	Georgia (12-1)	4	2.91E-4
5	0.967925	Oklahoma (12-1)	5	3.23E-4
6	0.965733	Wisconsin (12-1)	6	2.94E-4
7	0.934632	Ohio State (11-2)	7	5.26E-4
8	0.91073	Penn State (10-2)	8	2.73E-4
9	0.887634	Washington (10-2)	9	2.44E-4
10	0.854238	Toledo (11-2)	10	2.22E-4
11	0.838534	Memphis (10-2)	11	-1.42E-4
12	0.83702	Miami (10-2)	12	2.04E-4
13	0.83635	USC (11-2)	13	1.95E-4
14	0.832647	Auburn (10-3)	14	2.11E-4
15	0.832233	San Diego State (10-2)	15	1.99E-4
16	0.820549	South Florida (9-2)	16	1.11E-4
17	0.81518	Florida Atlantic (10-3)	17	1.6E-5
18	0.805213	TCU (10-3)	18	1.76E-4
19	0.803942	Boise State (10-3)	19	1.85E-4
20	0.801377	Troy (10-2)	20	1.83E-4
21	0.794785	Notre Dame (9-3)	21	-1.05E-4
22	0.788385	Virginia Tech (9-3)	22	1.88E-4
23	0.787753	Oklahoma State (9-3)	23	1.66E-4
24	0.778149	LSU (9-3)	24	1.68E-4
25	0.753931	Northwestern (9-3)	25	1.63E-4
26	0.751854	Washington State (9-3)	26	1.52E-4
27	0.743516	Michigan State (9-3)	27	1.39E-4
28	0.740745	Stanford (9-4)	28	1.42E-4
29	0.730232	Fresno State (9-4)	29	1.39E-4
30	0.724053	Army (9-3)	32	0.023864
31	0.723392	Louisville (8-4)	30	1.39E-4
32	0.707969	Mississippi State (8-4)	31	1.24E-4
33	0.692882	NC State (8-4)	33	9.6E-5
34	0.691012	Michigan (8-4)	34	1.02E-4
35	0.683307	Appalachian State (8-4)	35	1.09E-4
36	0.667214	Southern Mississippi (8-4)	36	1.34E-4
37	0.659984	Northern Illinois (8-4)	37	1.15E-4
38	0.658367	South Carolina (8-4)	38	8.7E-5
39	0.657796	Ohio (8-4)	39	1.15E-4
40	0.649008	North Texas (9-4)	40	3.36E-4
41	0.647089	Central Michigan (8-4)	41	9.4E-5
42	0.641791	Arkansas State (7-4)	42	6.2E-5
43	0.637525	Iowa State (7-5)	43	7.7E-5
44	0.628228	Oregon (7-5)	44	7.3E-5
45	0.625561	Wake Forest (7-5)	45	6.4E-5
46	0.624971	Iowa (7-5)	46	9.0E-5
47	0.624702	UAB (8-4)	47	1.03E-4
48	0.619765	Houston (7-4)	48	-2.7E-4
49	0.618897	Boston College (7-5)	49	4.8E-5
50	0.6145	SMU (7-5)	50	-2.62E-4
51	0.609022	Florida Intl (8-4)	51	2.6E-5
52	0.604774	Missouri (7-5)	52	5.7E-5
53	0.604495	Arizona (7-5)	53	5.2E-5
54	0.596224	Arizona State (7-5)	54	4.6E-5
55	0.595287	Wyoming (7-5)	55	4.4E-5
56	0.5946	Colorado State (7-5)	56	4.5E-5
57	0.593704	Texas A&M (7-5)	57	4.6E-5
58	0.589922	Kansas State (7-5)	58	4.4E-5
59	0.582565	West Virginia (7-5)	59	3.9E-5
60	0.582028	Marshall (7-5)	60	6.0E-6
61	0.580295	UT San Antonio (6-5)	61	8.0E-5
62	0.564477	Texas (6-6)	62	3.0E-5
63	0.560156	Texas Tech (6-6)	63	1.2E-5
64	0.557374	Kentucky (7-5)	65	3.1E-5
65	0.551677	Purdue (6-6)	66	2.0E-5
66	0.550197	Utah (6-6)	67	2.0E-5
67	0.545065	Western Michigan (6-6)	68	4.2E-5
68	0.544829	Duke (6-6)	69	2.88E-4
69	0.531046	Louisiana Tech (6-6)	70	2.7E-5
70	0.528985	Navy (6-6)	64	-0.028996
71	0.526035	Florida State (6-6)	71	1.4E-5
72	0.524454	Buffalo (6-6)	72	2.84E-4
73	0.521064	Akron (7-6)	73	8.0E-6
74	0.519269	Utah State (6-6)	74	-5.0E-6
75	0.510695	Virginia (6-6)	75	4.0E-6
76	0.506354	New Mexico State (6-6)	76	1.0E-6
77	0.499058	Ole Miss (6-6)	77	-1.6E-5
78	0.493321	Georgia Tech (5-6)	78	-3.0E-6
79	0.491625	UCLA (6-6)	79	-3.9E-5
80	0.483981	Temple (6-6)	80	-7.0E-5
81	0.481777	Middle Tennessee (6-6)	81	-3.1E-5
82	0.478801	Western Kentucky (6-6)	82	-3.4E-5
83	0.477406	Georgia State (6-5)	83	-3.2E-5
84	0.462433	Tulane (5-7)	84	-7.7E-5
85	0.462394	Indiana (5-7)	85	-2.4E-5
86	0.454246	Eastern Michigan (5-7)	86	2.59E-4
87	0.449048	California (5-7)	87	-4.7E-5
88	0.443622	Minnesota (5-7)	88	-4.0E-5
89	0.442126	Miami (OH) (5-7)	89	-6.0E-5
90	0.438563	Pittsburgh (5-7)	90	-3.0E-5
91	0.436148	Colorado (5-7)	91	-5.7E-5
92	0.430525	Air Force (5-7)	92	1.0E-6
93	0.429711	UNLV (5-7)	93	-5.3E-5
94	0.410078	Florida (4-7)	95	-7.2E-5
95	0.410078	Vanderbilt (5-7)	94	-7.5E-5
96	0.38339	UMass (4-8)	96	-9.2E-5
97	0.369273	Syracuse (4-8)	97	-1.0E-4
98	0.366556	Old Dominion (5-7)	98	-9.9E-5
99	0.366217	Louisiana (5-7)	99	-1.26E-4
100	0.3594	Arkansas (4-8)	100	-1.08E-4
101	0.353447	Maryland (4-8)	101	-1.18E-4
102	0.351575	Idaho (4-8)	102	-1.11E-4
103	0.349467	Nebraska (4-8)	103	-1.05E-4
104	0.339551	South Alabama (4-8)	104	-1.21E-4
105	0.335325	Louisiana Monroe (4-8)	105	-1.42E-4
106	0.327823	Tennessee (4-8)	106	-1.3E-4
107	0.322229	Cincinnati (4-8)	107	-4.23E-4
108	0.311039	Rutgers (4-8)	108	-1.17E-4
109	0.299347	BYU (4-9)	109	-1.5E-4
110	0.293601	Nevada (3-9)	110	-1.55E-4
111	0.289909	North Carolina (3-9)	111	-1.58E-4
112	0.27341	Hawaii (3-9)	112	-1.64E-4
113	0.249964	New Mexico (3-9)	113	-2.03E-4
114	0.242017	Connecticut (3-9)	114	-2.8E-4
115	0.232047	Tulsa (2-10)	115	-4.94E-4
116	0.220958	East Carolina (3-9)	116	-2.85E-4
117	0.202522	Georgia Southern (2-10)	117	-2.09E-4
118	0.195431	Bowling Green (2-10)	118	-1.93E-4
119	0.174274	Illinois (2-10)	119	-2.2E-4
120	0.152386	Ball State (2-10)	120	-2.23E-4
121	0.148132	Kent State (2-10)	121	-2.37E-4
122	0.139412	Texas State (2-10)	122	-2.55E-4
123	0.137491	Baylor (1-11)	123	-2.41E-4
124	0.085564	Oregon State (1-11)	124	-2.94E-4
125	0.083807	Charlotte (1-11)	125	-2.95E-4
126	0.072734	Rice (1-11)	126	1.4E-5
127	0.067523	Kansas (1-11)	127	-3.06E-4
128	0.053286	San Jose State (2-11)	128	-3.28E-4
129	0.000000	UTEP (0-12)	129	0.000000

I noticed when assembling my preliminary bowl predictions that I have left UAB's FBS flag unchecked last season, so they weren't showing up in the rankings this year (they never cracked the top 25 anyway), but it also meant their opponents weren't being credited with the proper SOS for playing an FBS team. That's been fixed as of these rankings. I don't think it made any meaningful difference this late in the season, but my sincere apologies to both UAB and their opponents for short-changing them.