Chaos Rankings

Friday, January 12, 2007

You can't spell "best" with SEC

But you certainly can with Big East... Just for kicks, I took the score and rank for each conference's members and averaged them to see what happened. Presumably, what this shows is which conference is the best, top to bottom. Obviously, if you have quality team like Louisville, they're going to be counteracted by a lowly team like UConn, or Stanford vs USC. Because the results came out differently for average team rank and average team score, I decided to post both tables. Let the squabbling begin!

Rank
Conference
Avg. Team Rank
1Big East40.8750
2SEC43.8333
3Big XII52.3333
4Pac 1053.2000
5Big 1055.0909
6ACC55.6667
7MWC64.4444
8WAC66.0000
9IND70.5000
10CUSA70.9167
11MAC74.2500
12Sun Belt81.8750


Rank
Conference
Avg. Team Score
1Big East0.646618
2SEC0.621591
3Big 100.560662
4Big XII0.559831
5Pac 100.544633
6ACC0.521281
7MWC0.494875
8WAC0.474368
9CUSA0.446847
10MAC0.409292
11IND0.402631
12Sun Belt0.359208

Tuesday, January 09, 2007

Final 2006/2007 Season Rankings

Rank
Score
Team
Previous Rank
Score Change
11.0Boise State20.025276
20.963351Florida40.048259
30.945776Ohio State1-0.054223
40.937719Louisville50.033491
50.907635BYU70.039369
60.89421Wisconsin60.016353
70.893774LSU80.040497
80.884986Michigan3-0.044165
90.876348West Virginia90.031035
100.876119TCU100.048046
110.860351Rutgers140.049702
120.85968USC130.035357
130.837838Hawaii150.037314
140.815782Auburn180.026441
150.806124Texas190.025655
160.795673Oklahoma12-0.030287
170.783703Virginia Tech11-0.042298
180.777728Boston College220.023842
190.771946California240.038668
200.756531Wake Forest17-0.033924
210.751741Notre Dame16-0.045182
220.740766Houston20-0.03257
230.717361Arkansas23-0.015969
240.713976Texas A&M21-0.041212
250.711329Oregon State280.024165
260.702239Central Michigan330.035503
270.692744Tennessee25-0.038864
280.688536Clemson26-0.03582
290.686368Penn State360.03982
300.678789Georgia370.042501
310.677856Nebraska27-0.023207
320.663884South Florida380.036728
330.659203Navy29-0.023557
340.654971Missouri30-0.026286
350.650839San Jose State400.039327
360.64762Nevada32-0.026445
370.646356Georgia Tech31-0.029037
380.645562Southern Miss410.037486
390.643702Texas Tech390.025345
400.63738Utah430.038954
410.629811South Carolina450.035741
420.623396Western Michigan35-0.024528
430.614449Tulsa34-0.034578
440.595575Kentucky520.040949
450.588471Cinncinati510.028117
460.584456Oklahoma State540.037163
470.581744Maryland590.045454
480.568886Ohio42-0.034525
490.559549UCLA44-0.037566
500.548996Miami620.033179
510.54803Pittsburgh570.006158
520.546638Oregon46-0.038392
530.546408Florida State630.042292
540.540581Arizona State48-0.036827
550.538458Northern Illinois47-0.045761
560.538028East Carolina50-0.031288
570.534157Troy670.050805
580.531725Purdue49-0.038493
590.526006Washington State610.003608
600.517886Alabama53-0.031995
610.514721Middle Tennessee State55-0.03083
620.510646Minnesota60-0.022602
630.502429Kansas640.002857
640.496459Kansas State56-0.046333
650.496374Wyoming650.005227
660.490937Rice58-0.045631
670.483388Arizona680.004022
680.478518Kent State690.001691
690.470472SMU710.002347
700.460409Iowa66-0.026729
710.439829Arkansas State720.003823
720.439536New Mexico70-0.031613
730.438877Louisiana Lafayette730.003512
740.416486Virginia740.002939
750.412833Akron750.003289
760.402295UTEP760.001497
770.396172Ball State770.001854
780.392778Toledo780.002365
790.390511Air Force790.002752
800.38785Washington800.003251
810.375859Florida Atlantic810.002805
820.374647Marshall820.002791
830.372103Indiana833.08E-4
840.367567Vanderbilt840.003556
850.365618Louisiana Monroe850.003236
860.357557Michigan State865.08E-4
870.352405Connecticut870.004259
880.345735Syracuse890.004096
890.345644Bowling Green880.001443
900.333108Fresno State900.003779
910.324529New Mexico State910.003139
920.313121Colorado State920.003632
930.311418Mississippi930.003469
940.307909UCF940.002616
950.30302Baylor950.002732
960.30068Northwestern965.58E-4
970.295077UAB970.002173
980.293538Iowa State989.93E-4
990.28533Idaho990.002935
1000.278433Tulane1000.001995
1010.275039Mississippi State1010.004589
1020.264654North Carolina State1020.002661
1030.245772Colorado1036.29E-4
1040.222852North Carolina1050.001403
1050.222818Illinois1048.4E-4
1060.222743San Diego State1060.003825
1070.208859Miami (Ohio)1072.35E-4
1080.203592Memphis1086.04E-4
1090.19958Army1090.001501
1100.177137North Texas1100.002203
1110.170452UNLV1110.003097
1120.149998Buffalo1120.001518
1130.14776Louisiana Tech1130.001584
1140.093723Eastern Michigan114-1.82E-4
1150.059366Stanford1153.78E-4
1160.042289Utah State1160.002357
1170.027465Florida International1170.001747
1180.021373Duke1186.7E-5
1190.0Temple1190.0

Bowl Wrap-up

Congratulations to the Florida Gators. They certainly shut everyone up who was saying they didn't deserve a shot (myself included) and that Michigan (who imploded against USC) was the better team. They didn't beat the same Ohio State team that people were accustomed to seeing all year long, but you can hardly hold that against Florida. Their execution was nearly perfect, the defense was rock solid, and the offense converted big plays and was able to drive the field to eat up clock when needed. There should be no question that the Gators are the best 1-loss team in the country at the end of the season, and since that's when it matters most, they get to be the National Champions. My favorite part is that you can hardly tell the box score for the BCS Championship Game apart from Florida's dismantling of Western Carolina. Seriously. The Heisman winner goes 4-14 for 35 yards, which is practically negated by his -29 yard rushing stat? Only 1 of OSU's meager 8 first downs came on a play other than 1st or 2nd down? Less than 100 yards rushing, even without Troy Smith's sacks taken into account? Embarassing. Payback is a bitch, and I suppose this is just karma realliging itself for OSU's upset of Miami a couple years ago in a game that Miami should have won hands down. But just like last night, the underdog came prepared and the favorite crumbled. I gave credit where credit was due back then to what had otherwise been an underwhelming and lucky Ohio State team for getting their act together, and I have to give Florida the same credit today. Last night, they were the vastly superior team. Congrats Gators! It's been a good year for Florida athletics.
In other news, who called the Big East bowl sweep? That's right, me. Tales of the Big East's demise have been greatly exaggerated. Even former Big East teams came up with wins (except VT). I may be 22-10 with my picks below, but I'll take solace in the few things I got right. ;) The WAC was only a botched 2-point conversion by Nevada away from going undefeated as well. Big year for the little guy. A few underclassmen have been busy declaring themselves for the NFL draft, mostly to no one's surprise. After his huge game in the loss to WVU, Calvin Johnson's potential has never been higher. Although Taylor Bennett showed he could get him the ball on a regular basis, there's too many unknowns next seasn, especially with the Dolphins courting GT head coach Chan Gailey to fill liar Nick Saban's vacancy. I just hope Calvin doesn't end up in hapless Oakland...
Anyway, sometime today I hope to be able to crunch the final ranking numbers, and I'll get those posted when they're done. I think Boise is probably going to be #1. Florida will move ahead of Michigan, but I don't know if they'll jump OSU as well. It will be interesting to see how far the Buckeyes fall after their abyssmal performance. You will also see the gaps closing between teams like Louisville, West Virginia, LSU, BYU, Wisconsin, and TCU, who all won their bowl games, most quite handily. Check back later for the final rankings.

Friday, January 05, 2007

Isn't 76% a C?

By my count, my bowl predicitions, at least as far as picking the winners, are 22-7 right now. Obviously, there are still 3 games to be played that could go either way, but I'm pretty impressed that I've done as well as I have so far. Not sure offhand what my record is when it comes to picking the spread, but I'm hardly an odds-maker, so I don't think that's all that particularly important. I was only posting those as a relative indication of how strongly I felt each team's chances of winning were. It would be interesting to know if I was 7-22 on that though...