Chaos Rankings

Monday, January 19, 2009

2008-2009 Conference Supremacy

Here's your breakdown of the conferences for this past season. I think the average score per team is more indicative of how each conference performed because it provides the truest distance between team A and team B, as opposed to the average ranking, since that has a fixed difference between team A and team B, no matter how far apart in performance they actually were. Anyway, I'm including both here for the sake of argument. It looks like the Big XII top to bottom is the best conference in the land, though the SEC isn't far behind. The Pac 10 meanwhile is actually ranked below the MWC, after being dragged down by Wazzu and U-Dub, who went a combined 2-23 this year. And let's not forget that teams from the Mountain went 6-2 againt the Pac 10 this year. Meanwhile, it still doesn't pay not to be affiliated with a conference, as Independents bring up the rear.

Conf. Rank
Conference
Avg. Team Score
1Big XII0.589889
2SEC0.580957
3Big East0.561918
4ACC0.556899
5Big 100.544861
6MWC0.541326
7Pac 100.494514
8CUSA0.451835
9WAC0.450573
10MAC0.442381
11Sun Belt0.399203
12IND0.387698


Conf. Rank
Conference
Avg. Team Rank
1Big East49.250000
2Big XII49.750000
3SEC50.500000
4ACC50.750000
5Big 1054.090909
6MWC58.333333
7Pac 1058.400000
8CUSA68.500000
9WAC71.333333
10MAC72.692308
11Sun Belt77.875000
12IND79.500000

Thursday, January 08, 2009

2008-2009 Final Rankings

Here are your final rankings for the 2008-2009 season including all the bowl games. Congratulations to the Chaos Rankings National Champion: the Florida Gators!

Rank
Score
Team
Previous Rank
Score Change
11.000000Florida (13-1)20.001512
20.962625USC (12-1)40.004585
30.95118Utah (13-0)50.005573
40.939792Oklahoma (12-2)1-0.060207
50.910773Texas (12-1)8-0.003675
60.894865Boise State (12-1)3-0.065427
70.892222TCU (11-2)110.006466
80.86994Penn State (11-2)6-0.06789
90.850433Alabama (12-2)7-0.065489
100.830346Texas Tech (11-2)9-0.060459
110.807016Ball State (12-2)10-0.08198
120.777168Tulsa (11-3)150.027452
130.776913Ohio State (10-3)12-0.055565
140.751145Oregon (10-3)170.009926
150.733229Georgia (10-3)180.006653
160.728027BYU (10-3)13-0.054141
170.725197Rice (10-3)200.01956
180.712269Cinncinati (11-3)14-0.063472
190.710884Iowa (9-4)230.011464
200.708822California (9-4)240.012075
210.703715Missouri (10-4)21-9.5E-5
220.7007Virginia Tech (10-4)270.016189
230.693639Oklahoma State (9-4)16-0.054681
240.69122Mississippi (9-4)280.011049
250.685679Oregon State (9-4)290.010439
260.683588Florida State (9-4)350.019415
270.677005West Virginia (9-4)330.008648
280.655905Nebraska (9-4)380.009188
290.652298Pittsburgh (9-4)22-0.049804
300.651698Georgia Tech (9-4)19-0.065332
310.643973Arizona (8-5)400.014799
320.639305Michigan State (9-4)25-0.052613
330.637539Boston College (9-5)26-0.050085
340.624666Northwestern (9-4)32-0.045576
350.623965Troy (8-5)31-0.049367
360.621323Wake Forest (8-5)440.018731
370.618881Rutgers (8-5)460.017977
380.616483Houston (8-5)430.013556
390.610524Western Michigan (9-4)30-0.064048
400.610055Navy (8-5)34-0.055405
410.608242East Carolina (9-5)37-0.045199
420.607223Air Force (8-5)36-0.047099
430.606355South Florida (8-5)490.019658
440.603972Kansas (8-5)500.017649
450.599308Connecticut (8-5)480.011128
460.597816LSU (8-5)520.026911
470.585478North Carolina (8-5)39-0.04848
480.578202Southern Miss (7-6)530.017609
490.57019Buffalo (8-6)41-0.04576
500.563948Central Michigan (8-5)42-0.051191
510.561624Louisiana Tech (8-5)570.012995
520.556396Nevada (7-6)45-0.045693
530.544235Maryland (8-5)580.013492
540.54336Clemson (7-6)47-0.046495
550.521155Wisconsin (7-6)51-0.058325
560.519568Notre Dame (7-6)670.025731
570.51729Vanderbilt (7-6)660.021321
580.514882Kentucky (7-6)650.015982
590.507646Minnesota (7-6)54-0.050482
600.505563South Carolina (7-6)55-0.048503
610.505024Miami (7-6)56-0.045107
620.49911Colorado State (7-6)690.021669
630.49279Bowling Green (6-6)62-0.015138
640.482202Northern Illinois (6-7)59-0.045808
650.475002Florida Atlantic (7-6)730.017267
660.468356Fresno State (7-6)60-0.049248
670.468049San Jose State (6-6)68-0.013937
680.466378Memphis (6-7)61-0.046228
690.464901Louisiana Lafayette (6-6)70-0.012117
700.45866Arkansas State (5-7)71-0.010776
710.452688Illinois (5-7)72-0.01333
720.45198Hawaii (7-7)63-0.053242
730.451362North Carolina State (6-7)64-0.048767
740.442949Tennessee (5-7)74-0.010199
750.42934UTEP (5-7)76-0.009073
760.429065Arizona State (5-7)77-0.007967
770.428731Akron (5-7)75-0.013516
780.416121Stanford (5-7)78-0.007552
790.409811Baylor (4-8)79-0.008579
800.407605Middle Tennessee State (5-7)80-0.009774
810.404607Auburn (5-7)81-0.008444
820.398316Virginia (5-7)83-0.010994
830.396642Arkansas (5-7)84-0.008534
840.396021Temple (5-7)82-0.013308
850.39425Florida International (5-7)85-0.009569
860.391078Louisville (5-7)86-0.010204
870.388113UNLV (5-7)87-0.010552
880.384772Kansas State (5-7)88-0.010566
890.383339New Mexico (4-8)89-0.007136
900.376447Purdue (4-8)90-0.010727
910.375916Colorado (5-7)91-0.009001
920.36016Duke (4-8)92-0.010667
930.350933Texas A&M (5-7)93-0.012206
940.337851Kent State (4-8)94-0.011407
950.330208Ohio (4-8)95-0.011749
960.319583Marshall (4-8)96-0.008272
970.318312UAB (4-8)97-0.008083
980.316843Mississippi State (4-8)98-0.007658
990.308375UCLA (4-8)100-0.007643
1000.308081UCF (4-8)99-0.008849
1010.305933Louisiana Monroe (4-8)101-0.008262
1020.289089Eastern Michigan (3-9)102-0.009906
1030.279707Toledo (3-9)103-0.00987
1040.269623Wyoming (4-8)104-0.00877
1050.269365Utah State (3-9)105-0.008551
1060.258435Michigan (3-9)106-0.009493
1070.256601New Mexico State (3-9)108-0.008715
1080.255385Indiana (3-9)107-0.010743
1090.238147Syracuse (3-9)109-0.007228
1100.233645Army (3-9)110-0.007715
1110.219093Iowa State (2-10)111-0.004682
1120.18752Western Kentucky (2-10)112-0.005604
1130.186069Tulane (2-10)113-0.004194
1140.162674Miami (Ohio) (2-10)114-0.007718
1150.153092San Diego State (2-10)115-0.004593
1160.127915Idaho (2-10)116-0.007453
1170.088964SMU (1-11)117-0.002334
1180.063302North Texas (1-11)118-0.001852
1190.039332Washington State (2-11)119-0.00375
1200.000000Washington (0-12)1200.000000

Things that go tweet besides referee's whistles

You'll be pleased (or not) to know that Chaos Rankings now has it's own Twitter feed at http://twitter.com/chaos_rankings. Follow away!

Monday, January 05, 2009

Every Dog Has His Day

In case you were curious, the underdog (based on these rankings) team is 17-14 against their competition so far. Even more amazing is that teams ranked at least 10 spots below their competition are 10-7, and teams with a delta of 20 or more went 5-2 against their supposedly better foes. Also of note, teams ranked 65 or worse went 5-0 against their opponents, which averaged a rank of about 45. Thus ends my lame excuse for why my picks have been doing so poorly. Or alternatively, thus starts the investigation for why my rankings are not as accurate/predictive as they should be.

Thursday, January 01, 2009

Things just keeps getting worse

10 correct picks out of 22 games, including my beloved Jackets getting demolished by LSU last night. A great way to ring in the new year, and right on par with my earlier 5 of 11 record. *sigh* Hopefully the remaining games will at least be fun to watch.