Chaos Rankings

Tuesday, December 11, 2012

Annual Bowl Prediction Catastrophe

Gildan New Mexico T-Shirt Bowl
Albuquerque, NM - December 15, 2012 - 1:00 PM
#63 Nevada loses to #59 Arizona by 34.6464
TeamNevadaArizona
SOS0.3542810.853411
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG37 (26.216794)37.25 (63.57912)
YPG502.833333 (356.288592)521.833333 (890.676614)
TCPG1.5 (1.937157)2.083333 (0.610788)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG32.5 (41.971735)34.25 (10.041347)
YPG431.25 (556.932638)472.833333 (138.624331)
TFPG1.25 (0.885703)1.833333 (3.129174)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense84.09%81.58%
Defense86.13%82.78%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score35.625 (18.12907)34.875 (52.775427)


Famous Idaho Potato I-Can't-Believe-This-Field-Is-Going-To-Have-A-Big-East-Logo-On-It Bowl
Boise, ID - December 15, 2012 - 4:30 PM
#34 Toledo loses to #15 Utah State by 1.4162
TeamToledoUtah State
SOS0.4775320.363445
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG32.916667 (31.437523)34.416667 (25.017131)
YPG456.083333 (435.588773)460.666667 (334.853993)
TCPG1.5 (1.567404)1.583333 (2.015758)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG27.333333 (28.561584)15.166667 (19.308835)
YPG463.25 (484.066602)305.25 (388.616828)
TFPG2.083333 (1.989717)1.416667 (1.029761)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense82.48%85.38%
Defense67.43%56.78%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score24.041667 (25.373179)30.875 (26.789357)


S.D. County Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl
San Diego, CA - December 20, 2012 - 8:00 PM
#45 Brigham Young beats #30 San Diego State by 8.2484
TeamBrigham YoungSan Diego State
SOS0.5856370.464966
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG29.166667 (34.162158)35.083333 (32.625114)
YPG409.083333 (479.148672)407.75 (379.179773)
TCPG1.833333 (1.519331)1.666667 (1.783447)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG13.583333 (11.256862)24.5 (26.216666)
YPG245.166667 (203.175991)375.833333 (402.167223)
TFPG1.333333 (1.561699)1.916667 (1.78237)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense81.48%98.33%
Defense63.32%74.5%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score26.833333 (30.189412)24.333333 (21.940988)


Beef 'O' Brady's Bowl St. Petersburg St. Pete Bowl
St. Petersburg, FL - December 21, 2012 - 7:30 PM
#32 UCF loses to #36 Ball State by 4.0784
TeamUCFBall State
SOS0.4936280.625494
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG35.230769 (34.781788)35 (43.78458)
YPG400.692308 (395.585885)471.333333 (589.632344)
TCPG1.153846 (1.168551)1.333333 (0.998683)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG22.461538 (22.747788)31.5 (23.593878)
YPG380.153846 (384.998527)459.75 (344.358267)
TFPG2 (1.974512)1.166667 (1.459486)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense100.49%84.87%
Defense67.53%78.3%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score33.365385 (29.187833)28.730769 (33.266184)


R+L Carriers New Orleans Bourbon Bowl
New Orleans, LA - December 22, 2012 - 12:00 PM
#56 East Carolina loses to #48 Louisiana-Lafayette by 10.7476
TeamEast CarolinaLouisiana-Lafayette
SOS0.3432360.463279
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG31.25 (21.45225)34.833333 (32.275104)
YPG407.5 (279.73734)443.583333 (411.005686)
TCPG1.75 (2.298674)1.666667 (1.78907)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG30.666667 (40.281525)27.583333 (29.609109)
YPG417.333333 (548.179019)427.833333 (459.254269)
TFPG1.666667 (1.14412)1.666667 (1.544263)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense87.64%89.75%
Defense83.98%73.68%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score29.416667 (25.530679)32.75 (36.278315)


MAACO Bowl Las Vegas Sin City Bowl
Las Vegas, NV - December 22, 2012 - 3:30 PM
#61 Washington beats #11 Boise State by 6.5185
TeamWashingtonBoise State
SOS0.7384240.435949
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG23.833333 (35.198211)30.416667 (26.520231)
YPG347.416667 (513.081609)390 (340.04022)
TCPG2.083333 (1.0899)1.333333 (1.504136)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG23.833333 (12.468456)14.916667 (16.827522)
YPG352.25 (184.280292)304.166667 (343.131025)
TFPG2.666667 (3.938261)2.75 (2.39772)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense78.4%89.13%
Defense77.33%56.05%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score19.375 (26.012866)27.125 (19.494343)


Sheraton Hawaii Aloha Bowl
Honolulu, HI - December 24, 2012 - 8:00 PM
#19 Fresno State beats #70 Southern Methodist by 11.1951
TeamFresno StateSouthern Methodist
SOS0.5048080.451647
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG40.25 (40.637044)29.5 (26.647173)
YPG489.25 (493.954628)366.166667 (330.756153)
TCPG1.333333 (1.320512)1.75 (1.919236)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG21.416667 (21.210724)27 (29.611062)
YPG312.916667 (309.90766)362.583333 (397.647317)
TFPG2.666667 (2.692309)1.916667 (1.731314)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense94.02%92.07%
Defense78.22%85.1%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score33.625 (35.124053)25.458333 (23.928949)


Little Caesars Pizza Bowl
Detroit, MI - December 26, 2012 - 7:30 PM
#62 Western Kentucky beats #77 Central Michigan by 7.8063
TeamWestern KentuckyCentral Michigan
SOS0.4739640.388603
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG28.75 (27.25293)29.25 (22.733276)
YPG391.833333 (371.429788)393.25 (305.63626)
TCPG2 (2.104144)1.333333 (1.630392)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG25.583333 (26.915509)31.083333 (38.008514)
YPG344.416667 (362.351131)415.5 (508.070907)
TFPG1.833333 (1.737868)1.5 (1.165809)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense83.85%85.01%
Defense84.89%85.5%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score29.916667 (32.630722)27.416667 (24.824392)


Military Bowl Presented By Northrop Grumman Beltway Bowl
Washington, D.C. - December 27, 2012 - 3:00 PM
#14 San Jose State beats #40 Bowling Green by 12.609
TeamSan Jose StateBowling Green
SOS0.5544920.350189
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG35.25 (39.091686)23.166667 (16.225424)
YPG451.75 (500.983522)373.916667 (261.883007)
TCPG1.916667 (1.707781)1.333333 (1.732829)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG20.333333 (18.117325)15.75 (20.469047)
YPG330.416667 (294.406537)289.666667 (376.457173)
TFPG2.25 (2.495214)1.833333 (1.284026)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense89.18%70.81%
Defense70.33%62.14%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score25.5 (29.780366)21.75 (17.171375)


Belk No-Longer-Car-Related Charlotte Bowl
Charlotte, NC - December 27, 2012 - 6:30 PM
#27 Cincinnati loses to #74 Duke by 5.8202
TeamCincinnatiDuke
SOS0.4335740.671418
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG31 (26.881588)31.333333 (42.075528)
YPG430.75 (373.524001)396.583333 (532.546377)
TCPG1.583333 (1.793682)1.416667 (0.930982)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG17.166667 (19.447293)35 (23.00074)
YPG373.75 (423.403435)462.083333 (303.664532)
TFPG2 (1.734296)1.916667 (2.573769)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense82.25%90.3%
Defense52.49%86.56%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score33 (24.941164)24.25 (30.76141)


Bridgepoint Education Holiday Bowl
San Diego, CA - December 27, 2012 - 9:45 PM
#52 Baylor beats #31 UCLA by 5.5845
TeamBaylorUCLA
SOS0.7855110.773628
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG44.083333 (69.255887)35.076923 (54.27298)
YPG578.75 (909.228983)474.615385 (734.351502)
TCPG1.666667 (0.714963)1.923077 (0.870662)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG36.25 (15.550453)25.923077 (11.736518)
YPG479.666667 (205.766447)410 (185.62504)
TFPG1.75 (2.749289)2.230769 (3.451571)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense87.05%84.46%
Defense86.37%72.26%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score35.003205 (40.496202)35.663462 (34.911716)


AdvoCare V100 Independence Bowl
Shreveport, LA - December 28, 2012 - 2:00 PM
#42 Ohio loses to #43 Louisiana-Monroe by 10.5069
TeamOhioLouisiana-Monroe
SOS0.2754830.444782
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG30.583333 (16.850377)35.5 (31.579522)
YPG435.5 (239.945693)442.666667 (393.780331)
TCPG0.666667 (0.966023)1.333333 (1.480581)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG25.666667 (37.191873)27.833333 (30.907135)
YPG395 (572.36843)407.416667 (452.410134)
TFPG1.833333 (1.010104)2 (1.779128)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense80.26%91.65%
Defense74.26%78.08%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score29.208333 (23.878756)30.583333 (34.385697)


Russell Athletic Tangerine Bowl
Orlando, FL - December 28, 2012 - 5:30 PM
#29 Rutgers loses to #69 Virginia Tech by 9.417
TeamRutgersVirginia Tech
SOS0.4548940.715262
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG22.416667 (20.394414)26.083333 (37.312834)
YPG341.083333 (310.313524)391.833333 (560.526987)
TCPG1.666667 (1.81702)1.916667 (1.091496)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG14.25 (15.535521)23.916667 (13.619968)
YPG321.25 (350.230605)344.166667 (195.994657)
TFPG2.416667 (2.198654)1.583333 (2.264996)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense75.11%76.08%
Defense50.69%79.42%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score23.166667 (17.007191)20.166667 (26.424178)


Meineke Car Care of Texas Bowl
Houston, TX - December 28, 2012 - 9:00 PM
#75 Minnesota loses to #58 Texas Tech by 14.741
TeamMinnesotaTexas Tech
SOS0.5602180.689928
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG21.333333 (23.902635)37.75 (52.089564)
YPG317.5 (355.73843)501.416667 (691.882796)
TCPG1.75 (1.539237)1.833333 (1.136931)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG23.916667 (21.036239)31.833333 (19.741251)
YPG352.583333 (310.119607)367.25 (227.747884)
TFPG1.5 (1.680654)0.833333 (1.14988)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense76.79%86.04%
Defense77.52%99.06%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score26.583333 (21.821943)30.833333 (36.562902)


Bell Helicopter Armed Forces Bowl
Dallas, TX - December 29, 2012 - 11:45 AM
#73 Rice beats #76 Air Force by 2.741
TeamRiceAir Force
SOS0.4404940.39149
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG31.75 (27.971369)28.5 (22.31493)
YPG421.083333 (370.969364)435.916667 (341.314032)
TCPG1.583333 (1.771769)2.166667 (2.636877)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG31.333333 (35.062376)28.666667 (34.887907)
YPG443.583333 (496.375073)401.583333 (488.734948)
TFPG2 (1.761976)1.083333 (0.848228)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense86.17%74.72%
Defense80.73%81.58%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score30.208333 (31.429638)29.916667 (28.688653)


New Era Pinstripe Yankee Bowl
Bronx, NY - December 29, 2012 - 3:15 PM
#55 West Virginia beats #57 Syracuse by 8.1787
TeamWest VirginiaSyracuse
SOS0.7061920.639152
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG41.583333 (58.731635)29.333333 (37.496917)
YPG518.5 (732.321104)473 (604.637792)
TCPG1 (0.587616)1.666667 (1.202827)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG38.083333 (22.378376)24.25 (17.501128)
YPG469.583333 (275.93468)359.166667 (259.209147)
TFPG1.5 (2.118576)1.333333 (1.704405)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense91.66%70.87%
Defense92.69%77.16%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score32.916667 (38.116381)33.708333 (29.937647)


Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl
San Francisco, CA - December 29, 2012 - 4:00 PM
#50 Navy loses to #47 Arizona State by 3.6463
TeamNavyArizona State
SOS0.5487910.514995
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG24.75 (27.165155)36.416667 (37.508803)
YPG385.583333 (423.209326)449.25 (462.723008)
TCPG1.5 (1.353627)1.916667 (1.859186)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG22.416667 (20.229204)24 (23.28024)
YPG370.416667 (334.270668)350.833333 (340.311842)
TFPG1.333333 (1.463443)2.416667 (2.489143)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense73.36%92.64%
Defense69.16%78.18%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score24.375 (25.222697)29.416667 (28.869003)


Valero Alamo Bowl
San Antonio, TX - December 29, 2012 - 6:45 PM
#41 Texas beats #22 Oregon State by 1.9405
TeamTexasOregon State
SOS0.8062750.781116
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG36.083333 (58.186179)33 (51.553656)
YPG440.75 (710.731413)442.75 (691.678218)
TCPG1.25 (0.484313)1.666667 (0.729613)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG29.416667 (11.397488)19.75 (8.645918)
YPG412.25 (159.726263)353.666667 (154.823949)
TFPG1.5 (2.418825)2.5 (3.90558)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense93.56%85.18%
Defense81.55%63.82%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score27.916667 (33.416049)31.208333 (31.475572)


Buffalo Wild Wings Wing Bowl
Tempe, AZ - December 29, 2012 - 10:15 PM
#51 TCU loses to #64 Michigan State by 4.2141
TeamTCUMichigan State
SOS0.7241570.968254
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG29.333333 (42.483877)20.25 (39.214287)
YPG397 (574.980658)370.333333 (717.153463)
TCPG2.25 (1.241294)1.5 (0.095238)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG23.083333 (12.734752)16.333333 (1.037036)
YPG332 (183.159752)273.25 (17.349189)
TFPG2.666667 (3.862171)1.5 (2.904762)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense84.44%62.49%
Defense79.46%68.31%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score22.833333 (21.760457)21.666667 (25.974519)


Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl
Nashville, TN - December 31, 2012 - 12:00 PM
#66 North Carolina State loses to #44 Vanderbilt by 10.7355
TeamNorth Carolina StateVanderbilt
SOS0.4471910.590611
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG28.416667 (25.415355)29.333333 (34.649179)
YPG421.083333 (376.609354)392.583333 (463.72807)
TCPG2.333333 (2.579775)1.5 (1.228167)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG24.583333 (27.179776)18.25 (14.942699)
YPG419.666667 (463.991021)326.416667 (267.262786)
TFPG2 (1.788764)1.083333 (1.279657)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense77.13%85.39%
Defense66.95%63.9%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score23.333333 (20.179027)26.958333 (30.914477)


Hyundai Sun Bowl
El Paso, TX - December 31, 2011 - 2:00 PM
#53 USC beats #68 Georgia Tech by 10.7825
TeamUSCGeorgia Tech
SOS0.868890.707469
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG34.166667 (59.37415)34.538462 (48.869782)
YPG451.916667 (785.331745)446.615385 (631.933079)
TCPG2.583333 (0.677402)1.384615 (0.810086)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG24.583333 (6.446242)29.923077 (17.506855)
YPG396.083333 (103.860972)387 (226.418994)
TFPG2.416667 (4.199635)1.692308 (2.39451)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense86.4%88.38%
Defense70.93%88.37%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score32.044872 (38.440503)29.560897 (27.658012)


AutoZone Liberty Bowl
Memphis, TN - December 31, 2011 - 3:30 PM
#72 Iowa State beats #23 Tulsa by 13.7998
TeamIowa StateTulsa
SOS0.8109310.446263
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG25.166667 (40.81686)35 (31.23841)
YPG372.166667 (603.602974)460.769231 (411.248518)
TCPG1.916667 (0.724765)1.769231 (1.959377)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG23.083333 (8.728686)24.153846 (26.749757)
YPG430 (162.59934)353.923077 (391.960606)
TFPG2.083333 (3.378879)1.846154 (1.64774)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense77.28%86.81%
Defense61.35%78%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score24.660256 (33.783308)29.041667 (19.983548)


Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl
Atlanta, GA - December 31, 2011 - 7:30 PM
#10 LSU beats #16 Clemson by 6.376
TeamLSUClemson
SOS0.7447620.553456
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG30.25 (45.058101)42.333333 (46.859275)
YPG387.166667 (576.694042)518.333333 (573.749387)
TCPG1.333333 (0.680635)1.583333 (1.414056)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG15.083333 (7.69968)24.916667 (22.252776)
YPG271.916667 (138.806932)410.916667 (366.984744)
TFPG2.416667 (3.599683)1.833333 (2.029339)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense89.29%93.34%
Defense63.39%69.3%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score27.583333 (33.655439)28.708333 (27.279477)


TaxSlayer.com Gator Bowl
Jacksonville, FL - January 1, 2013 - 12:00 PM
#37 Mississippi State beats #28 Northwestern by 0.4498
TeamMississippi StateNorthwestern
SOS0.5833210.559411
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG30.25 (35.290921)31.5 (35.242893)
YPG388 (452.657096)397.75 (445.011451)
TCPG1.166667 (0.972251)1 (0.881178)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG22.416667 (18.681109)22.166667 (19.532779)
YPG389.916667 (324.940174)365.333333 (321.923696)
TFPG2.5 (2.916605)2 (2.237644)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense89.1%90.51%
Defense65.7%69.34%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score26.208333 (27.41185)26.958333 (26.962001)


Heart of Dallas Bowl
Dallas, TX - January 1, 2013 - 12:00 PM
#71 Purdue loses to #46 Oklahoma State by 21.0639
TeamPurdueOklahoma State
SOS0.6460020.803701
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG29.916667 (38.652453)44.666667 (71.797289)
YPG405.666667 (524.122956)548.916667 (882.329748)
TCPG1.833333 (1.297993)1.833333 (0.719763)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG29 (20.531884)29.416667 (11.548925)
YPG406.833333 (288.036373)414.666667 (162.797304)
TFPG2.083333 (2.691675)1.25 (2.009253)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense84.28%93%
Defense81.47%81.07%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score29.666667 (25.100689)36.833333 (46.164587)


Outback Bowl
Tampa, FL - January 1, 2013 - 1:00 PM
#18 South Carolina loses to #38 Michigan by 5.4332
TeamSouth CarolinaMichigan
SOS0.7443120.887444
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG31.416667 (46.767604)30 (53.24664)
YPG372.416667 (554.388388)385.416667 (684.071417)
TCPG1.583333 (0.809679)2.083333 (0.468983)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG16.833333 (8.608163)18.75 (4.22085)
YPG284.75 (145.614316)311.166667 (70.047351)
TFPG1.583333 (2.356988)1.416667 (2.514425)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense96.41%88.96%
Defense67.56%68.87%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score25.083333 (25.494227)23.416667 (30.927401)


Capital One Citrus Bowl
Orlando, FL - January 1, 2013 - 1:00 PM
#9 Georgia loses to #25 Nebraska by 5.6002
TeamGeorgiaNebraska
SOS0.6626150.818302
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG37.230769 (49.339332)35.076923 (57.407033)
YPG458.307692 (607.363103)462.153846 (756.362833)
TCPG1.307692 (0.882392)2.461538 (0.894513)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG18.769231 (12.664914)26.230769 (9.532157)
YPG351.230769 (236.999986)343.076923 (124.672782)
TFPG2.076923 (2.752401)1.615385 (2.643745)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense92.84%86.74%
Defense61.07%87.38%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score31.730769 (29.435744)26.923077 (35.035973)


Rose Bowl Game presented by VIZIO
Pasadena, CA - January 1, 2013 - 5:00 PM
#39 Wisconsin loses to #12 Stanford by 7.2081
TeamWisconsinStanford
SOS0.7597140.946398
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG30.769231 (46.751631)28.461538 (53.871886)
YPG400.384615 (608.355595)376.538462 (712.710494)
TCPG0.846154 (0.406638)1.384615 (0.148436)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG19.076923 (9.167835)17.461538 (1.871947)
YPG320.923077 (154.226645)339 (36.342156)
TFPG1.153846 (1.753186)2 (3.785592)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense87.83%86.39%
Defense67.94%58.87%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score24.115385 (24.311789)23.769231 (31.519861)


Discover Orange Bowl
Miami, FL - January 1, 2013 - 8:30 PM
#6 Northern Illinois loses to #8 Florida State by 14.5614
TeamNorthern IllinoisFlorida State
SOS0.2236910.444112
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG40.769231 (18.23942)39.923077 (35.460635)
YPG485.769231 (217.32441)465.923077 (413.844059)
TCPG1.384615 (2.149779)2 (2.223552)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG18.461538 (28.663717)15.076923 (16.762161)
YPG330.076923 (512.483372)251.230769 (279.31234)
TFPG1.769231 (0.791522)1.461538 (1.298174)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense95.92%97.93%
Defense63.92%68.59%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score27.923077 (17.500791)29.192308 (32.062176)


Allstate Sugar Bowl
New Orleans, LA - January 2, 2013 - 8:30 PM
#21 Louisville loses to #7 Florida by 25.5671
TeamLouisvilleFlorida
SOS0.3935320.913338
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG31 (24.398984)26.75 (48.863583)
YPG425.666667 (335.026909)338 (617.416488)
TCPG1 (1.212936)1.083333 (0.187768)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG23.833333 (28.908308)12.916667 (2.238768)
YPG344.833333 (418.260764)282.583333 (48.978474)
TFPG1.75 (1.377362)2.333333 (4.262244)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense83.23%90.45%
Defense78.99%52.24%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score21.958333 (13.318876)25.291667 (38.885946)


Tostitos Fiesta Bowl
Glendale, AZ - January 3, 2013 - 8:30 PM
#3 Oregon beats #5 Kansas State by 7.4039
TeamOregonKansas State
SOS0.6950780.69085
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG50.833333 (70.666263)40.666667 (56.189133)
YPG549 (763.195644)410.416667 (567.072708)
TCPG1.583333 (0.965586)0.833333 (0.51525)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG20.833333 (12.705083)21.083333 (13.035825)
YPG366.916667 (223.761928)374.5 (231.55335)
TFPG3 (4.170468)2.666667 (3.684533)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense105.82%113.24%
Defense64.89%64.34%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score35.958333 (41.851044)30.75 (34.447108)


AT&T Cotton Bowl
Arlington, TX - January 4, 2013 - 8:00 PM
#13 Texas A&M loses to #17 Oklahoma by 0.185
TeamTexas A&MOklahoma
SOS0.7023190.778129
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG44.75 (62.857551)40.25 (62.639385)
YPG552.333333 (775.828389)505.166667 (786.169666)
TCPG1.666667 (0.99227)1.583333 (0.702592)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG19 (11.311878)24.166667 (10.723765)
YPG338.916667 (201.778105)378.75 (168.067283)
TFPG1 (1.404638)1.25 (1.945323)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense92.59%91.06%
Defense64.07%72.92%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score34.458333 (36.790658)29.625 (36.975631)


BBVA Compass Bowl
Birmingham, AL - January 5, 2013 - 1:00 PM
#60 Pittsburgh loses to #67 Ole Miss by 9.796
TeamPittsburghOle Miss
SOS0.5448820.765103
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG27.416667 (29.877696)30.916667 (47.308869)
YPG400.416667 (436.359668)426.833333 (653.142928)
TCPG0.666667 (0.606824)2.25 (1.057037)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG17.083333 (15.549865)28.5 (13.389129)
YPG294.083333 (267.685237)385 (180.87069)
TFPG1.666667 (1.816273)2.166667 (3.315446)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense78.25%82.78%
Defense66.39%84.6%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score27.958333 (21.633413)24 (31.429367)


GoDaddy.com Danica Patrick Bowl
Mobile, AL - January 6, 2013 - 9:00 PM
#20 Kent State loses to #24 Arkansas State by 9.5875
TeamKent StateArkansas State
SOS0.3982160.560697
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG34.615385 (27.5688)36.416667 (40.837432)
YPG391.230769 (311.588704)481.833333 (540.325009)
TCPG1.307692 (1.573897)1.166667 (1.02504)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG23.461538 (28.237557)25.416667 (22.331236)
YPG394.384615 (474.668703)386.5 (339.581219)
TFPG2.461538 (1.960448)1.833333 (2.055889)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense101.12%86.38%
Defense67.99%75.16%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score30.016026 (24.950018)29.939103 (34.537494)


Discover BCS National Championship Controversial Crystal Football Bowl
Miami, FL - January 7, 2013 - 8:30 PM
#2 Notre Dame loses to #1 Alabama by 1.4578
TeamNotre DameAlabama
SOS0.9008550.716597
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG26.75 (48.195743)38.461538 (55.122846)
YPG421.333333 (759.12048)439.076923 (629.282412)
TCPG1.166667 (0.231338)1.153846 (0.654007)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG10.333333 (2.048997)10.692308 (6.060464)
YPG286.833333 (56.876182)233.461538 (132.327401)
TFPG1.916667 (3.453278)2.076923 (2.976634)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense72.56%100.11%
Defense41.17%52.34%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score18.721154 (27.128103)24.397436 (28.585921)


Saturday, December 08, 2012

Week 15 Complete Rankings (Final, Pre-Bowl)


Rank

Score

Team

Previous Rank

Score Change
11.000000Alabama (12-1)10.000000
20.98339Notre Dame (12-0)21.57E-4
30.961404Oregon (11-1)3-1.4E-5
40.911865Ohio State (12-0)41.3E-5
50.906184Kansas State (11-1)6-1.5E-5
60.906035Northern Illinois (12-1)5-2.36E-4
70.901111Florida (11-1)7-1.6E-5
80.87264Florida State (11-2)8-4.0E-5
90.863422Georgia (11-2)90.0
100.837737LSU (10-2)10-1.5E-5
110.829352Boise State (10-2)11-2.7E-5
120.829076Stanford (11-2)121.1E-5
130.82671Texas A&M (10-2)13-1.5E-5
140.808976San Jose State (10-2)142.11E-4
150.807649Utah State (10-2)151.6E-5
160.806592Clemson (10-2)16-5.4E-5
170.805364Oklahoma (10-2)170.0
180.79884South Carolina (10-2)180.0
190.797872Fresno State (9-3)19-2.4E-5
200.793513Kent State (11-2)20-2.52E-4
210.778915Louisville (10-2)21-4.2E-5
220.763927Oregon State (9-3)22-1.5E-5
230.745971Tulsa (10-3)23-1.5E-5
240.740589Arkansas State (9-3)240.0
250.737739Nebraska (10-3)250.0
260.732073Louisiana Tech (9-3)261.4E-5
270.723633Cincinnati (9-3)27-4.4E-5
280.719854Northwestern (9-3)283.0E-6
290.706765Rutgers (9-3)29-2.53E-4
300.698912San Diego State (9-3)30-1.93E-4
310.693694UCLA (9-4)31-1.5E-5
320.691569UCF (9-4)32-1.0E-6
330.685543Penn State (8-4)332.04E-4
340.68137Toledo (9-3)34-3.8E-5
350.680701North Carolina (8-4)35-1.1E-5
360.666835Ball State (9-3)36-2.22E-4
370.660227Mississippi State (8-4)370.0
380.65723Michigan (8-4)382.0E-6
390.655384Wisconsin (8-5)401.4E-5
400.655349Bowling Green (8-4)39-4.1E-5
410.647169Texas (8-4)41-1.5E-5
420.646828Ohio (8-4)42-3.8E-5
430.643275Louisiana-Monroe (8-4)430.0
440.642504Vanderbilt (8-4)44-2.8E-5
450.62751Brigham Young (7-5)451.6E-5
460.620498Oklahoma State (7-5)46-1.4E-5
470.618527Arizona State (7-5)47-1.4E-5
480.616066Louisiana-Lafayette (8-4)481.6E-5
490.610714UTSA (8-4)492.7E-5
500.600343Navy (8-4)570.02549
510.600165TCU (7-5)50-1.5E-5
520.598991Baylor (7-5)51-1.5E-5
530.597512USC (7-5)520.0
540.590367Middle Tennessee (8-4)531.6E-5
550.587639West Virginia (7-5)54-1.5E-5
560.578316East Carolina (8-4)551.98E-4
570.577044Syracuse (7-5)56-5.4E-5
580.573362Texas Tech (7-5)581.0E-6
590.569228Arizona (7-5)59-1.5E-5
600.562475Pittsburgh (6-6)60-2.5E-5
610.56155Washington (7-5)61-2.8E-5
620.552746Western Kentucky (7-5)621.6E-5
630.552425Nevada (7-5)63-8.0E-6
640.551316Michigan State (6-6)641.7E-5
650.550835Miami (FL) (7-5)65-1.2E-5
660.532192North Carolina State (7-5)66-4.1E-5
670.508552Ole Miss (6-6)67-1.5E-5
680.503323Georgia Tech (6-7)68-2.6E-5
690.49999Virginia Tech (6-6)69-2.8E-5
700.493928Southern Methodist (6-6)70-1.5E-5
710.491768Purdue (6-6)712.0E-5
720.477441Iowa State (6-6)72-1.5E-5
730.475856Rice (6-6)73-1.5E-5
740.466226Duke (6-6)74-2.8E-5
750.44799Minnesota (6-6)75-1.5E-5
760.444659Air Force (6-6)76-9.0E-6
770.443816Central Michigan (6-6)771.5E-4
780.426804Marshall (5-7)781.0E-6
790.426269Missouri (5-7)79-1.5E-5
800.422703Utah (5-7)80-1.5E-5
810.422186Tennessee (5-7)810.0
820.421927Troy (5-7)822.26E-4
830.397153Houston (5-7)831.4E-5
840.376783Connecticut (5-7)84-3.9E-5
850.365338Iowa (4-8)852.0E-5
860.355232Wake Forest (5-7)86-2.17E-4
870.335249Indiana (4-8)871.79E-4
880.334901North Texas (4-8)881.7E-5
890.330295Texas State (4-8)902.37E-4
900.330284Western Michigan (4-8)89-5.0E-5
910.328883Buffalo (4-8)91-4.0E-5
920.328687Wyoming (4-8)92-2.4E-5
930.323626Virginia (4-8)93-1.1E-5
940.323106Temple (4-7)94-2.33E-4
950.314531Arkansas (4-8)95-2.8E-5
960.310287New Mexico (4-9)962.0E-6
970.305346Memphis (4-8)970.0
980.291937Maryland (4-8)98-5.4E-5
990.29101Colorado State (4-8)99-8.0E-6
1000.288024Miami (OH) (4-8)100-2.5E-5
1010.268813Florida International (3-9)1011.4E-5
1020.256653California (3-9)102-1.5E-5
1030.247736Florida Atlantic (3-9)1032.24E-4
1040.245598UAB (3-9)1041.6E-5
1050.240177UTEP (3-9)1050.0
1060.229747South Florida (3-9)106-5.4E-5
1070.220001Washington State (3-9)107-1.5E-5
1080.215628Auburn (3-9)108-1.5E-5
1090.192403Hawaii (3-9)110-2.5E-5
1100.191839Army (2-10)109-0.020958
1110.184038Kentucky (2-10)111-2.7E-5
1120.16961Boston College (2-10)112-2.23E-4
1130.142012Illinois (2-10)1131.7E-5
1140.138026UNLV (2-11)114-2.4E-5
1150.136661Eastern Michigan (2-10)115-2.22E-4
1160.132763South Alabama (2-11)1161.4E-5
1170.117496Tulane (2-10)117-1.2E-5
1180.110542Akron (1-11)118-2.4E-5
1190.099173Kansas (1-11)119-2.7E-5
1200.018103New Mexico State (1-11)1201.6E-5
1210.013119Idaho (1-11)1211.6E-5
1220.011956Massachusetts (1-11)1222.0E-6
1230.00266Colorado (1-11)123-1.6E-5
1240.000000Southern Miss (0-12)1240.000000

Sunday, December 02, 2012

Week 14 Top 24


Rank

Score

Team

Previous Rank

Score Change
11.000000Alabama (12-1)10.000000
20.983232Notre Dame (12-0)2-0.01662
30.961418Oregon (11-1)3-0.017026
40.911852Ohio State (12-0)4-0.016963
50.906271Northern Illinois (12-1)80.009848
60.9062Kansas State (11-1)70.007611
70.901128Florida (11-1)6-0.017148
80.87268Florida State (11-2)90.004429
90.863423Georgia (11-2)5-0.055046
100.837752LSU (10-2)11-0.01591
110.82938Boise State (10-2)170.009265
120.829064Stanford (11-2)130.004355
130.826726Texas A&M (10-2)12-0.014122
140.808765San Jose State (10-2)14-0.014634
150.807633Utah State (10-2)16-0.013014
160.806647Clemson (10-2)15-0.014781
170.805363Oklahoma (10-2)210.007965
180.79884South Carolina (10-2)18-0.014979
190.797896Fresno State (9-3)19-0.014329
200.793766Kent State (11-2)10-0.059905
210.778957Louisville (10-2)230.016159
220.763942Oregon State (9-3)290.042227
230.745986Tulsa (10-3)280.013214
240.740589Arkansas State (9-3)320.034997

Week 14 Bottom 10


Rank

Score

Team

Previous Rank

Score Change
1150.136884Eastern Michigan (2-10)116-0.003291
1160.132749South Alabama (2-11)112-0.033087
1170.117508Tulane (2-10)118-0.002329
1180.110566Akron (1-11)119-0.001841
1190.099201Kansas (1-11)115-0.042003
1200.018086New Mexico State (1-11)120-0.03879
1210.013102Idaho (1-11)121-3.2E-4
1220.011953Massachusetts (1-11)122-0.001275
1230.002676Colorado (1-11)1232.42E-4
1240.000000Southern Miss (0-12)1240.000000