Annual Bowl Prediction Catastrophe

Gildan New Mexico T-Shirt Bowl
Albuquerque, NM - December 21, 2013 - 2:00 PM
#77 Washington State beats #69 Colorado State by 21.9207

Team	Washington State	Colorado State
SOS	0.861189	0.440603
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	29.833333 (51.384277)	35.307692 (31.11335)
YPG	423.166667 (728.852957)	461.769231 (406.913817)
TCPG	2.666667 (0.740325)	1.307692 (1.463038)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	30.416667 (8.444336)	28.615385 (32.014721)
YPG	428.333333 (118.914757)	417.307692 (466.881342)
TFPG	2 (3.444756)	1.461538 (1.287916)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	80.57%	87.38%
Defense	81.16%	78.37%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	29.224359 (41.699499)	32.862179 (19.778843)

Royal Purple Las Vegas Sin City Bowl
Las Vegas, NV - December 21, 2013 - 3:30 PM
#12 Fresno State loses to #32 USC by 15.0108

Team	Fresno State	USC
SOS	0.462865	0.836174
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	45.333333 (41.966427)	28.538462 (47.726239)
YPG	570.416667 (528.051821)	392.307692 (656.074985)
TCPG	1.666667 (1.79045)	1.153846 (0.37806)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	29.083333 (31.243353)	21.307692 (6.981508)
YPG	425.833333 (457.459975)	341.153846 (111.77974)
TFPG	1.75 (1.620028)	1.615385 (2.701485)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	90.83%	83.14%
Defense	78.05%	71.38%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	33.320513 (24.473967)	28.810897 (39.484796)

Famous Idaho Potato Smurf-Turf Bowl
Boise, ID - December 21, 2013 - 5:30 PM
#39 Buffalo beats #73 San Diego State by 3.7833

Team	Buffalo	San Diego State
SOS	0.48583	0.545986
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	30.833333 (29.959517)	28.166667 (30.757211)
YPG	401.833333 (390.445377)	422 (460.812184)
TCPG	1 (1.02834)	2.333333 (2.118732)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	20.416667 (20.995275)	32.333333 (29.359572)
YPG	339.666667 (349.29282)	392.583333 (356.476659)
TFPG	2.083333 (2.024292)	1.333333 (1.455963)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	87.69%	76.28%
Defense	68.69%	94.13%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	31.583333 (29.659544)	24.291667 (25.876243)

R+L Carriers New Orleans Bourbon Bowl
New Orleans, LA - December 21, 2013 - 9:00 PM
#59 Tulane beats #49 Louisiana-Lafayette by 8.0703

Team	Tulane	Louisiana-Lafayette
SOS	0.605394	0.417547
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	25.083333 (30.370599)	34.583333 (28.880334)
YPG	304.166667 (368.28135)	424.416667 (354.427812)
TCPG	1.75 (1.381121)	1.666667 (1.94151)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	21.166667 (16.704987)	26.916667 (31.355387)
YPG	353.083333 (278.657604)	394 (458.972964)
TFPG	2.75 (3.329667)	1.666667 (1.391823)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	94.25%	93.13%
Defense	68.51%	78.08%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	26 (30.862993)	27.875 (22.792661)

Beef 'O' Brady's Bowl St. Petersburg St. Pete Bowl
St. Petersburg, FL - December 23, 2013 - 2:00 PM
#24 East Carolina beats #68 Ohio by 9.0551

Team	East Carolina	Ohio
SOS	0.56259	0.536734
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	40.416667 (45.476025)	28 (30.057104)
YPG	459.833333 (517.39527)	374.75 (402.282133)
TCPG	1.333333 (1.166427)	1.75 (1.621431)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	25.166667 (22.016303)	26.666667 (24.70752)
YPG	363.25 (317.778365)	392.333333 (363.509388)
TFPG	1.75 (1.969065)	1.833333 (1.968025)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	100.45%	85.39%
Defense	79.18%	77.68%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	33.541667 (35.091773)	26.583333 (26.036704)

Sheraton Hawaii Aloha Bowl
Honolulu, HI - December 24, 2013 - 8:00 PM
#40 Boise State loses to #70 Oregon State by 6.2102

Team	Boise State	Oregon State
SOS	0.556818	0.732222
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	38.75 (43.153395)	34.5 (50.523318)
YPG	470.833333 (524.33695)	468.083333 (685.481829)
TCPG	1.833333 (1.625001)	2.083333 (1.115742)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	25.083333 (22.232964)	32.083333 (17.182422)
YPG	425.916667 (377.5172)	428.166667 (229.307227)
TFPG	1.833333 (2.041666)	2.333333 (3.417036)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	94.06%	84.23%
Defense	67.31%	85.64%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	35.416667 (30.167908)	29.791667 (36.378141)

Little Caesars Pizza Bowl
Detroit, MI - December 26, 2013 - 6:00 PM
#74 Pittsburgh beats #17 Bowling Green by 16.1463

Team	Pittsburgh	Bowling Green
SOS	0.970096	0.459248
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	26 (50.444992)	35.384615 (32.500628)
YPG	351.833333 (682.624219)	472.461538 (433.954033)
TCPG	1.416667 (0.084728)	0.846154 (0.915119)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	27.166667 (1.624784)	14.769231 (15.972982)
YPG	373.666667 (22.348256)	308.692308 (333.851966)
TFPG	1.333333 (2.586923)	1.615385 (1.483724)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	84.46%	85.59%
Defense	83.09%	54.68%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	20.384615 (33.208987)	31.275641 (17.062706)

S.D. County Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl
San Diego, CA - December 26, 2013 - 9:30 PM
#37 Utah State beats #7 Northern Illinois by 12.5677

Team	Utah State	Northern Illinois
SOS	0.609725	0.38998
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	32.615385 (39.772831)	41.615385 (32.458335)
YPG	420.923077 (513.294646)	535.538462 (417.698578)
TCPG	1.307692 (1.020719)	1.153846 (1.407738)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	16.846154 (13.149265)	25.384615 (30.970246)
YPG	321.538462 (250.976846)	424.230769 (517.578508)
TFPG	2 (2.4389)	2.153846 (1.679914)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	88.55%	88.81%
Defense	59.88%	68.38%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	29 (35.371538)	29.230769 (22.8038)

Military Bowl Presented By Northrop Grumman
Annapolis, MD - December 27, 2013 - 2:30 PM
#29 Marshall loses to #64 Maryland by 4.0077

Team	Marshall	Maryland
SOS	0.457309	0.697863
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	43 (39.328574)	26.666667 (37.21936)
YPG	502.307692 (459.419657)	397 (554.103222)
TCPG	1.769231 (1.920291)	2.25 (1.359617)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	23.153846 (25.130768)	24.833333 (15.006138)
YPG	366.846154 (398.168212)	366.75 (221.61749)
TFPG	1.923077 (1.758881)	1.75 (2.442521)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	97.83%	76.77%
Defense	72.13%	77.39%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	33.916667 (27.167356)	24.910256 (31.175064)

Texas Bowl
Houston, TX - December 27, 2013 - 6:00 PM
#75 Syracuse loses to #47 Minnesota by 2.4855

Team	Syracuse	Minnesota
SOS	0.802316	0.774494
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	22.833333 (36.639097)	26.416667 (40.9191)
YPG	375.25 (602.138158)	342.75 (530.915637)
TCPG	1.75 (0.691894)	1.25 (0.563765)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	26.083333 (10.312515)	21.333333 (9.621589)
YPG	362.583333 (143.353847)	352.166667 (158.831393)
TFPG	1.666667 (2.674387)	1.5 (2.323482)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	69.54%	88.08%
Defense	82.21%	69.23%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	22.083333 (23.130343)	26.25 (25.615808)

Fight Hunger Bowl
San Francisco, CA - December 27, 2013 - 9:30 PM
#35 Brigham Young loses to #30 Washington by 4.1582

Team	Brigham Young	Washington
SOS	0.81534	0.794339
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	31.333333 (51.09464)	38.5 (61.164103)
YPG	495.416667 (807.86605)	514.333333 (817.110051)
TCPG	1.666667 (0.615533)	1.25 (0.514153)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	21.333333 (7.878827)	23.416667 (9.63179)
YPG	383.833333 (141.757327)	381.5 (156.919343)
TFPG	1.833333 (2.98958)	1.833333 (2.912576)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	72.28%	85.55%
Defense	63.52%	70.15%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	27.375 (30.363215)	29.916667 (34.521465)

New Era Pinstripe Yankee Bowl
Bronx, NY - December 28, 2013 - 12:00 PM
#79 Rutgers loses to #45 Notre Dame by 19.5472

Team	Rutgers	Notre Dame
SOS	0.613704	0.955302
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	27.416667 (33.651436)	27.083333 (51.745525)
YPG	375.916667 (461.403124)	397.666667 (759.783524)
TCPG	2.166667 (1.673949)	1.333333 (0.119195)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	29.833333 (23.048995)	22.916667 (2.048658)
YPG	406 (313.672352)	377.083333 (33.709742)
TFPG	1.416667 (1.738828)	1.083333 (2.069821)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	83.35%	77.83%
Defense	83.98%	69.46%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	25.166667 (17.850047)	28.458333 (37.39726)

Belk Charlotte Bowl
Charlotte, NC - December 28, 2013 - 3:20 PM
#26 Cincinnati loses to #67 North Carolina by 30.8015

Team	Cincinnati	North Carolina
SOS	0.333736	0.943532
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	33.333333 (22.249067)	32.166667 (60.700559)
YPG	482.333333 (321.943995)	432.416667 (815.997925)
TCPG	2.166667 (2.887144)	1.416667 (0.159993)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	19.5 (25.984296)	25.083333 (2.832811)
YPG	313.166667 (417.303352)	407.583333 (46.030831)
TFPG	1.75 (1.168076)	1.583333 (2.987851)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	78.98%	85.02%
Defense	71.16%	70.33%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	29.208333 (12.540939)	25.833333 (43.342427)

Russell Athletic Tangerine Bowl
Orlando, FL - December 28, 2013 - 6:45 PM
#27 Miami (FL) beats #3 Louisville by 10.9115

Team	Miami (FL)	Louisville
SOS	0.729436	0.438469
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	35.916667 (52.397819)	35.083333 (30.765908)
YPG	446.833333 (651.872639)	453.083333 (397.325992)
TCPG	1.75 (0.946974)	0.833333 (0.935885)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	25.416667 (13.75367)	12.416667 (13.944687)
YPG	400.583333 (216.766858)	258.166667 (289.937173)
TFPG	1.916667 (2.796171)	2.166667 (1.900032)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	91.86%	88.49%
Defense	72.51%	54.97%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	24.166667 (33.171253)	30.25 (22.259789)

Buffalo Wild Wings Copper Bowl
Tempe, AZ - December 28, 2013 - 10:15 PM
#55 Michigan beats #56 Kansas State by 14.1594

Team	Michigan	Kansas State
SOS	0.925923	0.679606
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	33.75 (62.499803)	33.416667 (45.420334)
YPG	382.833333 (708.948377)	401.333333 (545.497083)
TCPG	1.666667 (0.246923)	2 (1.281576)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	26.5 (3.926081)	23.666667 (15.165316)
YPG	367.416667 (54.434249)	367.083333 (235.222595)
TFPG	2.083333 (3.858013)	2 (2.718424)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	100.75%	95.16%
Defense	82.43%	73.68%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	28.708333 (38.832559)	29.958333 (24.673208)

Bell Helicopter Armed Forces Bowl
Dallas, TX - December 30, 2013 - 11:45 AM
#46 Middle Tennessee loses to #42 Navy by 7.2946

Team	Middle Tennessee	Navy
SOS	0.464593	0.572649
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	30.916667 (28.727334)	34.333333 (39.321898)
YPG	414.5 (385.147597)	413.5 (473.580723)
TCPG	1.666667 (1.78469)	0.666667 (0.569801)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	24.416667 (26.145709)	25.916667 (22.151027)
YPG	373.666667 (400.127498)	401.916667 (343.518979)
TFPG	2.416667 (2.245533)	1.666667 (1.90883)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	85.24%	94.89%
Defense	74.68%	73.69%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	28.416667 (25.43918)	29.375 (32.733803)

Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl
Nashville, TN - December 30, 2013 - 3:15 PM
#53 Ole Miss beats #50 Georgia Tech by 1.5832

Team	Ole Miss	Georgia Tech
SOS	0.883791	0.759202
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	30.416667 (53.763953)	36.583333 (55.54828)
YPG	473 (836.066286)	440.666667 (669.110029)
TCPG	1.666667 (0.387363)	1.833333 (0.882926)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	25.666667 (5.965395)	22.666667 (10.916176)
YPG	401.583333 (93.335195)	350.5 (168.799398)
TFPG	1.666667 (2.94597)	1.583333 (2.40414)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	73.49%	94.88%
Defense	73.04%	73.91%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	26.541667 (32.340064)	31.125 (30.756838)

Valero Alamo Bowl
San Antonio, TX - December 30, 2013 - 6:45 PM
#10 Oregon beats #43 Texas by 1.951

Team	Oregon	Texas
SOS	0.65763	0.827713
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	46.75 (61.488405)	31.166667 (51.59411)
YPG	573 (753.64398)	423.083333 (700.38315)
TCPG	1.5 (1.02711)	1.666667 (0.57429)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	21.583333 (14.778972)	25.5 (8.786637)
YPG	381.25 (261.057125)	402.083333 (138.547463)
TFPG	2.25 (2.959335)	2.166667 (3.586756)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	93.24%	84.19%
Defense	64.7%	72.48%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	36.125 (35.137521)	26.375 (33.186541)

National University Holiday Bowl
San Diego, CA - December 30, 2013 - 10:15 PM
#18 Arizona State beats #61 Texas Tech by 21.5433

Team	Arizona State	Texas Tech
SOS	0.944644	0.706402
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	41 (77.460808)	35.666667 (50.390009)
YPG	460.846154 (870.671108)	513.25 (725.121653)
TCPG	1.307692 (0.144777)	2.583333 (1.516923)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	28.153846 (3.116969)	32.583333 (19.132803)
YPG	393.461538 (43.560914)	435.666667 (255.821724)
TFPG	2.230769 (4.214566)	1.5 (2.119206)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	101.68%	79.42%
Defense	81.78%	85.47%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	36.791667 (48.296806)	31.910256 (26.753489)

AdvoCare V100 Independence Bowl
Shreveport, LA - December 31, 2013 - 12:30 PM
#54 Arizona beats #65 Boston College by 7.588

Team	Arizona	Boston College
SOS	0.795256	0.727496
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	32.75 (52.089268)	28.416667 (41.346023)
YPG	452.583333 (719.839223)	368.583333 (536.285801)
TCPG	1.333333 (0.545984)	1.25 (0.68126)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	24.666667 (10.100704)	26.666667 (14.533547)
YPG	405.25 (165.945012)	389.5 (212.280616)
TFPG	1.666667 (2.650853)	1.25 (1.81874)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	82.7%	88.11%
Defense	69.56%	78.24%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	29.708333 (33.311407)	26.541667 (25.723363)

Hyundai Sun Bowl
El Paso, TX - December 31, 2013 - 2:00 PM
#33 Virginia Tech loses to #22 UCLA by 9.0944

Team	Virginia Tech	UCLA
SOS	0.886095	0.853155
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	23.416667 (41.498783)	36.5 (62.280315)
YPG	359.083333 (636.363893)	448.166667 (764.711265)
TCPG	1.5 (0.341715)	1.25 (0.367113)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	19.666667 (4.480263)	24.083333 (7.073034)
YPG	302.166667 (68.836588)	391.5 (114.979635)
TFPG	2 (3.54438)	2 (3.41262)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	74.53%	93.08%
Defense	74.38%	70.3%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	23.75 (24.285908)	28.083333 (33.380289)

AutoZone Liberty Bowl
Memphis, TN - December 31, 2013 - 4:00 PM
#23 Rice loses to #63 Mississippi State by 14.9045

Team	Rice	Mississippi State
SOS	0.597475	0.962413
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	31.384615 (37.503046)	26.333333 (50.687085)
YPG	425.615385 (508.589104)	426.166667 (820.29668)
TCPG	1.384615 (1.114685)	1.416667 (0.106497)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	22.923077 (18.454223)	24.333333 (1.829234)
YPG	351.076923 (282.634477)	366.25 (27.532478)
TFPG	1.923077 (2.297981)	2 (3.849652)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	84.27%	70.62%
Defense	74.62%	75.93%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	27.858974 (19.66614)	24.628205 (34.570654)

Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl
Atlanta, GA - December 31, 2013 - 8:00 PM
#28 Duke loses to #36 Texas A&M by 17.4614

Team	Duke	Texas A&M
SOS	0.738041	0.876024
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	31.615385 (46.6669)	43.583333 (76.360092)
YPG	408.076923 (602.355001)	538.166667 (942.893832)
TCPG	1.769231 (0.926932)	1.75 (0.433916)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	24.692308 (12.936744)	31.083333 (7.707175)
YPG	408.538462 (214.040654)	473.916667 (117.508585)
TFPG	2 (2.952164)	1.666667 (2.92008)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	88.54%	92.55%
Defense	69.07%	74.96%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	31.349359 (27.187037)	34.137821 (44.648418)

TaxSlayer.com Gator Bowl
Jacksonville, FL - January 1, 2014 - 12:00 PM
#51 Nebraska loses to #41 Georgia by 21.6175

Team	Nebraska	Georgia
SOS	0.647889	0.944186
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	32.583333 (42.220767)	38.166667 (72.072865)
YPG	419 (542.930982)	490 (925.30228)
TCPG	2.333333 (1.643185)	1.666667 (0.186047)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	23.666667 (16.666587)	29.416667 (3.283724)
YPG	328.166667 (231.102186)	381.25 (42.558175)
TFPG	1.083333 (1.40376)	1.166667 (2.203101)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	88.87%	89.02%
Defense	82.42%	88.18%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	31 (22.752245)	30.916667 (44.369726)

Heart of Dallas Bowl
Dallas, TX - January 1, 2014 - 12:00 PM
#62 UNLV loses to #34 North Texas by 8.9028

Team	UNLV	North Texas
SOS	0.551789	0.612552
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	31.25 (34.486813)	31.5 (38.590776)
YPG	423.833333 (467.733142)	411.583333 (504.232388)
TCPG	1.083333 (0.971124)	1.833333 (1.420643)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	30.916667 (27.71438)	18.083333 (14.012703)
YPG	408.083333 (365.814878)	355.5 (275.475528)
TFPG	1.416667 (1.563402)	2.75 (3.369036)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	84.26%	87.47%
Defense	86.58%	58.13%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	24.666667 (24.249758)	31.208333 (33.152578)

Capital One Citrus Bowl
Orlando, FL - January 1, 2014 - 1:00 PM
#20 Wisconsin loses to #14 South Carolina by 3.8929

Team	Wisconsin	South Carolina
SOS	0.701137	0.809459
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	35.75 (50.131296)	34.083333 (55.178122)
YPG	486.75 (682.55687)	453.5 (734.179313)
TCPG	1.25 (0.747158)	1.25 (0.476353)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	17.333333 (10.360584)	20 (7.62164)
YPG	330.666667 (197.648064)	345.166667 (131.536804)
TFPG	1.583333 (2.220267)	2.166667 (3.507656)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	83.94%	85.89%
Defense	59.91%	66.22%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	27.875 (28.876468)	25.708333 (32.769353)

Outback Bowl
Tampa, FL - January 1, 2014 - 1:00 PM
#38 Iowa loses to #25 LSU by 4.1249

Team	Iowa	LSU
SOS	0.779929	0.73715
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	27.333333 (42.636119)	37 (54.5491)
YPG	388.666667 (606.264809)	465.833333 (686.778083)
TCPG	1.583333 (0.696892)	1.5 (0.78855)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	18.75 (8.252663)	22.666667 (11.915867)
YPG	303.166667 (133.436383)	349.666667 (183.819767)
TFPG	1.666667 (2.599763)	1.333333 (1.965733)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	80.37%	90.77%
Defense	70.68%	74.08%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	25 (27.275993)	27.875 (31.400881)

Rose Bowl Game presented by VIZIO
Pasadena, CA - January 1, 2014 - 5:00 PM
#16 Stanford beats #5 Michigan State by 16.578

Team	Stanford	Michigan State
SOS	0.956247	0.626162
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	33.230769 (63.553647)	29.769231 (37.280722)
YPG	413.153846 (790.154252)	384.615385 (481.663077)
TCPG	1.384615 (0.121162)	1 (0.747676)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	18.615385 (1.628958)	11.384615 (8.512004)
YPG	339 (29.664534)	234.615385 (175.416292)
TFPG	1.307692 (2.500954)	1.923077 (2.408315)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	91.92%	88.46%
Defense	62.76%	55.46%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	22.307692 (36.032825)	24.192308 (19.45484)

Tostitos Fiesta Bowl
Glendale, AZ - January 1, 2014 - 8:30 PM
#11 UCF loses to #2 Baylor by 17.7115

Team	UCF	Baylor
SOS	0.609113	0.690008
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	33.166667 (40.404496)	53.25 (73.485852)
YPG	432 (526.273632)	623.583333 (860.554977)
TCPG	1.416667 (1.107513)	1.25 (0.77498)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	19.583333 (15.309741)	20.916667 (12.967999)
YPG	346.333333 (270.754395)	324.583333 (201.236473)
TFPG	2.083333 (2.537971)	1.916667 (2.645031)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	87.74%	97.59%
Defense	64.62%	73.65%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	27.041667 (26.686247)	36.416667 (44.397796)

Allstate Sugar Bowl
New Orleans, LA - January 2, 2014 - 8:30 PM
#19 Oklahoma loses to #6 Alabama by 1.8881

Team	Oklahoma	Alabama
SOS	0.794322	0.681255
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	31.833333 (50.571834)	38.75 (52.797263)
YPG	422.5 (671.20209)	448.916667 (611.653448)
TCPG	1.25 (0.514195)	1 (0.63749)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	21.333333 (8.775595)	11.333333 (7.224887)
YPG	336.333333 (138.352735)	274.666667 (175.097253)
TFPG	1.75 (2.780127)	1.5 (2.043765)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	86.11%	98.65%
Defense	72.49%	47.16%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	21.583333 (28.89836)	30.041667 (30.786429)

Discover Orange Bowl
Miami, FL - January 3, 2014 - 8:30 PM
#15 Clemson loses to #4 Ohio State by 5.4442

Team	Clemson	Ohio State
SOS	0.675949	0.68936
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	40.166667 (54.301236)	46.307692 (63.845342)
YPG	502 (678.652796)	518.461538 (714.813292)
TCPG	1.833333 (1.188187)	1.153846 (0.716862)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	22.5 (14.582295)	21.307692 (13.238043)
YPG	376.416667 (243.956395)	362.230769 (225.046732)
TFPG	2.083333 (2.816454)	1.692308 (2.333218)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	91.44%	102.08%
Defense	68.31%	67.23%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	30.737179 (33.76964)	34.403846 (39.213818)

AT&T Cotton Bowl
Arlington, TX - January 3, 2014 - 7:30 PM
#13 Oklahoma State loses to #9 Missouri by 5.8229

Team	Oklahoma State	Missouri
SOS	0.725463	0.840051
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	39.75 (57.674309)	39 (65.523978)
YPG	440.5 (639.132903)	492.923077 (828.161047)
TCPG	1.25 (0.686343)	1 (0.319898)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	20 (10.98148)	22.461538 (7.185401)
YPG	378.25 (207.687241)	407.076923 (130.223094)
TFPG	2.5 (3.627315)	2.230769 (3.74792)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	103.13%	90.42%
Defense	60.43%	63.06%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	31.105769 (32.429855)	29.5 (38.252729)

BBVA Compass Bowl
Birmingham, AL - January 4, 2014 - 1:00 PM
#44 Vanderbilt loses to #31 Houston by 9.0951

Team	Vanderbilt	Houston
SOS	0.63123	0.707415
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	29.166667 (36.82175)	33.916667 (47.986318)
YPG	366.666667 (462.902)	422.5 (597.765675)
TCPG	1.666667 (1.229233)	1.25 (0.731463)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	24.666667 (18.192653)	19.083333 (11.166994)
YPG	352.333333 (259.859927)	389 (227.63113)
TFPG	2.25 (2.840535)	3 (4.24449)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	90.91%	91.74%
Defense	80.01%	56.07%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	24.125 (23.994372)	29.291667 (33.089485)

GoDaddy Danica Patrick Bowl
Mobile, AL - January 5, 2014 - 9:00 PM
#60 Arkansas State beats #21 Ball State by 7.1186

Team	Arkansas State	Ball State
SOS	0.569811	0.356571
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	29.666667 (33.808786)	40.083333 (28.585109)
YPG	413.333333 (471.04376)	486.333333 (346.824726)
TCPG	1.083333 (0.932076)	1.5 (1.930287)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	26.666667 (22.943413)	24.833333 (31.956974)
YPG	418 (359.638004)	420.75 (541.445504)
TFPG	1.583333 (1.804402)	2.416667 (1.723427)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	82.03%	94.19%
Defense	72.91%	67.45%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	27.25 (32.88288)	33.375 (25.764261)

VIZIO BCS National Championship Controversial Crystal Football Bowl
Pasadena, CA - January 6, 2014 - 8:30 PM
#1 Florida State loses to #8 Auburn by 3.0464

Team	Florida State	Auburn
SOS	0.644424	0.894327
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	53 (68.308944)	40.153846 (71.821338)
YPG	529.384615 (682.296303)	505.307692 (903.820625)
TCPG	1.307692 (0.929968)	1.384615 (0.292633)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	10.692308 (7.603856)	23.769231 (5.023532)
YPG	268.538462 (190.971664)	410.076923 (86.668117)
TFPG	2.615385 (3.370833)	1.307692 (2.339009)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	114.42%	90.82%
Defense	45.5%	66.24%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	38.384615 (36.666238)	25.423077 (39.712597)

Pre-Bowl Rankings

Last week's rankings are amended to now include today's Navy victory over Army. Complete rankings for all Div I-A teams are as follows. Here's looking forward to bowl season!

Rank	Score	Team	Previous Rank	Score Change
1	1.000000	Florida State (13-0)	1	0.000000
2	0.890372	Baylor (11-1)	4	0.007177
3	0.858977	Louisville (11-1)	6	-0.003764
4	0.858494	Ohio State (12-1)	2	-0.059429
5	0.85791	Michigan State (12-1)	7	-0.003739
6	0.856083	Alabama (11-1)	5	-0.022404
7	0.818441	Northern Illinois (12-1)	3	-0.065979
8	0.813819	Auburn (12-1)	11	-3.98E-4
9	0.798638	Missouri (11-2)	8	-0.060263
10	0.794855	Oregon (10-2)	10	-0.021184
11	0.793657	UCF (11-1)	13	-0.004662
12	0.784005	Fresno State (11-1)	14	-0.004406
13	0.769627	Oklahoma State (10-2)	9	-0.058735
14	0.767687	South Carolina (10-2)	15	-0.02013
15	0.763874	Clemson (10-2)	16	-0.020236
16	0.76302	Stanford (11-2)	17	0.005644
17	0.750025	Bowling Green (10-3)	20	0.009868
18	0.748373	Arizona State (10-3)	12	-0.058571
19	0.741787	Oklahoma (10-2)	21	0.00467
20	0.734338	Wisconsin (9-3)	18	-0.020764
21	0.725987	Ball State (10-2)	19	-0.019917
22	0.694048	UCLA (9-3)	25	-0.017995
23	0.691403	Rice (10-3)	29	0.011699
24	0.683033	East Carolina (9-3)	26	-0.018739
25	0.682036	LSU (9-3)	27	-0.018282
26	0.665541	Cincinnati (9-3)	24	-0.05309
27	0.665531	Miami (FL) (9-3)	28	-0.017885
28	0.665138	Duke (10-3)	22	-0.061251
29	0.662541	Marshall (9-4)	23	-0.056455
30	0.659236	Washington (8-4)	30	-0.017665
31	0.653722	Houston (8-4)	31	-0.016082
32	0.645464	USC (9-4)	34	-0.01715
33	0.637402	Virginia Tech (8-4)	35	-0.017378
34	0.633663	North Texas (8-4)	37	-0.016018
35	0.63304	Brigham Young (8-4)	36	-0.017724
36	0.623241	Texas A&M (8-4)	38	-0.016476
37	0.622671	Utah State (8-5)	33	-0.043332
38	0.621131	Iowa (8-4)	40	-0.017009
39	0.617845	Buffalo (8-4)	43	-0.014383
40	0.617135	Boise State (8-4)	41	-0.016543
41	0.616552	Georgia (8-4)	42	-0.016959
42	0.61285	Navy (8-4)	49	0.021186
43	0.607501	Texas (8-4)	32	-0.059344
44	0.59297	Vanderbilt (8-4)	44	-0.015895
45	0.591708	Notre Dame (8-4)	45	-0.0146
46	0.588958	Middle Tennessee (8-4)	46	-0.016357
47	0.581393	Minnesota (8-4)	47	-0.014701
48	0.577726	Western Kentucky (8-4)	48	-0.016259
49	0.575087	Louisiana-Lafayette (8-4)	39	-0.064439
50	0.56871	Georgia Tech (7-5)	50	-0.016175
51	0.568517	Nebraska (8-4)	51	-0.01571
52	0.56773	Old Dominion (8-4)	52	-0.01561
53	0.567013	Ole Miss (7-5)	53	-0.015714
54	0.561868	Arizona (7-5)	54	-0.015348
55	0.561047	Michigan (7-5)	55	-0.013948
56	0.545843	Kansas State (7-5)	56	-0.015294
57	0.541683	Toledo (7-5)	57	-0.014052
58	0.535078	Penn State (7-5)	58	-0.014689
59	0.529703	Tulane (7-5)	59	-0.012078
60	0.527041	Arkansas State (7-5)	60	-0.014155
61	0.521657	Texas Tech (7-5)	61	-0.015059
62	0.51614	UNLV (7-5)	62	-0.013259
63	0.516015	Mississippi State (6-6)	63	-0.012963
64	0.514389	Maryland (7-5)	64	-0.01315
65	0.513561	Boston College (7-5)	65	-0.013215
66	0.509391	UTSA (7-5)	66	-0.014245
67	0.505691	North Carolina (6-6)	67	-0.013883
68	0.504854	Ohio (7-5)	69	-0.012783
69	0.504168	Colorado State (7-6)	68	-0.013909
70	0.486435	Oregon State (6-6)	70	-0.013095
71	0.486116	South Alabama (6-6)	77	0.03553
72	0.479064	Florida Atlantic (6-6)	71	-0.013152
73	0.476571	San Diego State (7-5)	72	-0.013501
74	0.467815	Pittsburgh (6-6)	73	-0.011873
75	0.466378	Syracuse (6-6)	74	-0.011853
76	0.455559	San Jose State (6-6)	75	-0.011591
77	0.452561	Washington State (6-6)	76	-0.011778
78	0.429863	Troy (6-6)	78	-0.012089
79	0.422535	Rutgers (6-6)	87	0.027959
80	0.419527	Texas State (6-6)	79	-0.011047
81	0.41418	Louisiana-Monroe (6-6)	80	-0.009982
82	0.412428	Indiana (5-7)	81	-0.010424
83	0.411948	Northwestern (5-7)	82	-0.010799
84	0.410854	Utah (5-7)	83	-0.011642
85	0.404258	Central Michigan (6-6)	84	-0.011499
86	0.399643	Tennessee (5-7)	86	-0.009551
87	0.377746	Southern Methodist (5-7)	85	-0.03274
88	0.374476	Wyoming (5-7)	88	-0.010261
89	0.371305	Akron (5-7)	89	-0.010086
90	0.361622	Florida (4-8)	90	-0.009854
91	0.353341	TCU (4-8)	91	-0.009818
92	0.343124	Nevada (4-8)	92	-0.007821
93	0.323619	Wake Forest (4-8)	93	-0.008801
94	0.321126	West Virginia (4-8)	94	-0.008724
95	0.319526	Kent State (4-8)	95	-0.00801
96	0.309315	Illinois (4-8)	96	-0.009094
97	0.299885	Louisiana Tech (4-8)	98	-0.008261
98	0.293017	North Carolina State (3-9)	100	-0.007982
99	0.292075	Colorado (4-8)	101	-0.008259
100	0.266594	Army (3-9)	99	-0.041061
101	0.258285	Memphis (3-9)	97	-0.05047
102	0.256	Connecticut (3-9)	110	0.046995
103	0.255367	Iowa State (3-9)	102	-0.006723
104	0.253983	Arkansas (3-9)	103	-0.0072
105	0.245224	New Mexico (3-9)	104	-0.00662
106	0.243573	Tulsa (3-9)	105	-0.005685
107	0.23192	Kansas (3-9)	106	-0.005361
108	0.217613	Virginia (2-10)	107	-0.006569
109	0.213986	Kentucky (2-10)	109	-0.005687
110	0.198999	Temple (2-10)	111	-0.005662
111	0.186123	South Florida (2-10)	108	-0.035831
112	0.169	UAB (2-10)	112	-0.004778
113	0.167136	Air Force (2-10)	113	-0.004684
114	0.158006	UTEP (2-10)	114	-0.004002
115	0.139821	Hawaii (1-11)	115	-0.004048
116	0.137014	New Mexico State (2-10)	116	-0.004025
117	0.116247	Eastern Michigan (2-10)	117	-0.003086
118	0.112512	Western Michigan (1-11)	118	-0.003593
119	0.110635	California (1-11)	119	-0.003561
120	0.107505	Purdue (1-11)	120	-0.003212
121	0.086214	Idaho (1-11)	121	-0.00193
122	0.082267	Massachusetts (1-11)	122	-0.002572
123	0.064502	Southern Miss (1-11)	123	-0.003067
124	0.048453	Florida International (1-11)	124	-0.00125
125	0.04199	Georgia State (0-12)	125	-0.00171
126	0.000000	Miami (OH) (0-12)	126	0.000000

Week 15 Top 24

Complete rankings will be posted next week, following the conclusion of the Army/Navy game. I wouldn't expect to see much impact to the current rankings as a result of that outcome however.

Rank	Score	Team	Previous Rank	Score Change
1	1.000000	Florida State (13-0)	1	0.000000
2	0.890371	Baylor (11-1)	4	0.007176
3	0.858996	Louisville (11-1)	6	-0.003745
4	0.858472	Ohio State (12-1)	2	-0.059451
5	0.857867	Michigan State (12-1)	7	-0.003782
6	0.856081	Alabama (11-1)	5	-0.022406
7	0.818458	Northern Illinois (12-1)	3	-0.065963
8	0.813816	Auburn (12-1)	11	-4.01E-4
9	0.798595	Missouri (11-2)	8	-0.060306
10	0.794873	Oregon (10-2)	10	-0.021166
11	0.793673	UCF (11-1)	13	-0.004645
12	0.783979	Fresno State (11-1)	14	-0.004432
13	0.769623	Oklahoma State (10-2)	9	-0.058739
14	0.767683	South Carolina (10-2)	15	-0.020134
15	0.763917	Clemson (10-2)	16	-0.020194
16	0.763351	Stanford (11-2)	17	0.005975
17	0.75	Bowling Green (10-3)	20	0.009843
18	0.748388	Arizona State (10-3)	12	-0.058557
19	0.741762	Oklahoma (10-2)	21	0.004645
20	0.734311	Wisconsin (9-3)	18	-0.02079
21	0.726353	Ball State (10-2)	19	-0.019551
22	0.694062	UCLA (9-3)	25	-0.017981
23	0.691416	Rice (10-3)	29	0.011712
24	0.683027	East Carolina (9-3)	26	-0.018745

Week 15 Bottom 10

Rank	Score	Team	Previous Rank	Score Change
117	0.116571	Eastern Michigan (2-10)	117	-0.002762
118	0.112515	Western Michigan (1-11)	118	-0.00359
119	0.110638	California (1-11)	119	-0.003557
120	0.107445	Purdue (1-11)	120	-0.003273
121	0.086215	Idaho (1-11)	121	-0.001929
122	0.082249	Massachusetts (1-11)	122	-0.002589
123	0.064503	Southern Miss (1-11)	123	-0.003066
124	0.048455	Florida International (1-11)	124	-0.001248
125	0.041944	Georgia State (0-12)	125	-0.001756
126	0.000000	Miami (OH) (0-12)	126	0.000000

Week 14 Top 24

Rank	Score	Team	Previous Rank	Score Change
1	1.000000	Florida State (12-0)	1	0.000000
2	0.917923	Ohio State (12-0)	3	-0.014619
3	0.884421	Northern Illinois (12-0)	4	9.3E-5
4	0.883195	Baylor (10-1)	5	-0.00101
5	0.878488	Alabama (11-1)	2	-0.058676
6	0.862741	Louisville (10-1)	6	-0.018032
7	0.861649	Michigan State (11-1)	7	0.004026
8	0.858902	Missouri (11-1)	9	0.004343
9	0.828362	Oklahoma State (10-1)	11	-0.016936
10	0.816039	Oregon (10-2)	14	-1.7E-5
11	0.814217	Auburn (11-1)	12	-0.003301
12	0.806945	Arizona State (10-2)	16	0.014688
13	0.798319	UCF (10-1)	15	-0.009293
14	0.788412	Fresno State (10-1)	8	-0.066199
15	0.787818	South Carolina (10-2)	17	0.020682
16	0.784111	Clemson (10-2)	10	-0.069765
17	0.757376	Stanford (10-2)	20	0.008549
18	0.755102	Wisconsin (9-3)	13	-0.061129
19	0.745904	Ball State (10-2)	22	0.017438
20	0.740157	Bowling Green (9-3)	23	0.018046
21	0.737117	Oklahoma (9-2)	19	-0.015838
22	0.72639	Duke (10-2)	24	0.005498
23	0.718996	Marshall (9-3)	26	0.020273
24	0.718632	Cincinnati (9-2)	21	-0.017621

Week 14 Bottom 10

Rank	Score	Team	Previous Rank	Score Change
117	0.119333	Eastern Michigan (2-10)	115	-0.020475
118	0.116106	Western Michigan (1-11)	116	-0.01279
119	0.114196	California (1-11)	118	0.008015
120	0.110718	Purdue (1-11)	117	-0.008363
121	0.088145	Idaho (1-11)	121	-0.009487
122	0.084839	Massachusetts (1-11)	120	-0.013608
123	0.06757	Southern Miss (1-11)	126	0.06757
124	0.049703	Florida International (1-11)	124	-0.006648
125	0.043701	Georgia State (0-12)	123	-0.013935
126	0.000000	Miami (OH) (0-12)	125	-0.012632