Chaos Rankings

Monday, December 12, 2011

Annual Bowl Prediction Catastrophe

Here's the first cut at this year's bowl predictions. I may have some edits to do later on, but for now, here's the output using Chaos Rankings data.

Gildan New Mexico T-Shirt Bowl
Albuquerque, N.M. - December 17, 2011 - 2:00 PM
#31 Temple beats #40 Wyoming by 2.7313
TeamTempleWyoming
SOS0.07530.2135
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG30.083333 (4.53055)27 (11.529)
YPG379.25 (57.11505)399.166667 (170.444167)
TCPG1 (1.8494)1.333333 (2.097333)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG13.25 (24.50455)23.5 (36.9655)
YPG268.833333 (497.180367)369.75 (581.61675)
TFPG1.166667 (0.1757)2.333333 (0.996333)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense90.66%77.3%
Defense56.33%72.64%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score26.791667 (20.748025)20.125 (18.016775)



Famous Idaho Potato I-Can't-Believe-This-Field-Is-Going-To-Have-A-Big-East-Logo-On-It Bowl
Boise, Idaho - December 17, 2011 - 5:30 PM
#32 Ohio loses to #53 Utah State by 1.0661
TeamOhioUtah State
SOS0.08790.171
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG31 (5.4498)34.5 (11.799)
YPG455.615385 (80.097185)458.75 (156.8925)
TCPG2.153846 (3.929046)2 (3.316)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG22.076923 (40.272723)26.833333 (44.489667)
YPG356.307692 (649.976492)350.416667 (580.990833)
TFPG2 (0.3516)1.166667 (0.399)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense77.76%85.95%
Defense70.81%87.51%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score28.916667 (24.969733)28.288462 (26.035862)



R+L Carriers New Orleans Bourbon Bowl
New Orleans - December 17, 2011 - 9:00 PM
#35 San Diego State beats #45 Louisiana Lafayette by 7.73
TeamSan Diego StateLouisiana Lafayette
SOS0.2680.1963
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG29.75 (15.946)32.333333 (12.694067)
YPG421 (225.656)379.583333 (149.024417)
TCPG1.416667 (2.074)1.833333 (2.9469)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG24.416667 (35.746)29.833333 (47.9541)
YPG373 (546.072)392.166667 (630.3687)
TFPG2.416667 (1.295333)1.916667 (0.752483)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense80.76%97.35%
Defense74.81%86.94%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score29.791667 (31.95005)28.375 (24.220033)



Beef 'O' Brady's Bowl St. Petersburg St. Pete Bowl
St. Petersburg, Fla. - December 20, 2011 - 8:00 PM
#38 Florida International loses to #73 Marshall by 25.0977
TeamFlorida InternationalMarshall
SOS0.09290.7685
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG26.25 (4.87725)22 (33.814)
YPG369.5 (68.6531)334.583333 (514.254583)
TCPG1.166667 (2.116567)2.25 (1.04175)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG19.416667 (35.225717)30.166667 (13.967167)
YPG347.5 (630.4345)393.25 (182.07475)
TFPG1.583333 (0.294183)2.333333 (3.586333)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense81.19%75.15%
Defense63.86%87.67%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score28.208333 (9.422208)20.708333 (34.519858)



S.D. County Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl
San Diego - December 21, 2011 - 8:00 PM
#12 TCU beats #34 Louisiana Tech by 9.74
TeamTCULouisiana Tech
SOS0.36890.2773
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG41.666667 (30.741667)30.583333 (16.961517)
YPG443 (326.8454)398.916667 (221.239183)
TCPG1.583333 (1.998483)1.5 (2.1681)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG21.25 (26.82175)22.5 (32.5215)
YPG346.333333 (437.141933)376.333333 (543.9522)
TFPG1.75 (1.29115)2.5 (1.3865)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense107.49%87.62%
Defense70.12%68.33%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score32.083333 (31.631583)25.916667 (21.891633)



MAACO Bowl Las Vegas Sin City Bowl
Las Vegas - December 22, 2011 - 8:00 PM
#57 Arizona State loses to #5 Boise State by 15.5483
TeamArizona StateBoise State
SOS0.45430.5768
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG33.916667 (30.816683)43.25 (49.8932)
YPG452.916667 (411.520083)483.25 (557.4772)
TCPG1.75 (1.90995)1.333333 (1.128533)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG25.166667 (27.4669)18.25 (15.4468)
YPG400.916667 (437.56045)316.5 (267.8856)
TFPG2.333333 (2.120067)2.083333 (2.403333)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense85.58%102.28%
Defense71.74%65.9%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score26.083333 (23.131742)34.208333 (38.68005)



Sheraton Hawaii Aloha Bowl
Honolulu - December 24, 2011 - 8:00 PM
#43 Nevada loses to #11 Southern Miss by 2.5612
TeamNevadaSouthern Miss
SOS0.30420.2672
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG32.916667 (20.0265)37.846154 (20.224985)
YPG522.083333 (317.6355)471 (251.7024)
TCPG2 (2.7832)2.307692 (3.382154)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG25.25 (35.1379)20.615385 (30.213908)
YPG371.916667 (517.559233)325.384615 (476.883692)
TFPG1.916667 (1.1661)1.692308 (0.904369)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense72.06%91.83%
Defense77.59%72.41%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score26.766026 (25.120204)31.548077 (27.681442)



AdvoCare V100 Independence Bowl
Shreveport, La. - December 26, 2011 - 5:00 PM
#36 Missouri beats #47 North Carolina by 1.7783
TeamMissouriNorth Carolina
SOS0.59820.614
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG31.545455 (37.740982)28.333333 (34.793333)
YPG456.272727 (545.884691)398.5 (489.358)
TCPG1.545455 (1.241927)2 (1.544)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG21.818182 (17.533091)23.5 (18.142)
YPG351.363636 (282.355818)345.5 (266.726)
TFPG1.636364 (1.957745)1.916667 (2.353667)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense79.01%81.26%
Defense70.97%77.73%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score27.522727 (27.941491)25.075758 (26.163212)



Little Caesars Pizza Bowl
Detroit - December 27, 2011 - 4:30 PM
#52 Western Michigan loses to #68 Purdue by 8.3408
TeamWestern MichiganPurdue
SOS0.26330.4476
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG35.583333 (18.738183)26.083333 (23.3498)
YPG457.083333 (240.700083)372.25 (333.2382)
TCPG2.333333 (3.437933)1.333333 (1.473067)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG28 (41.2552)26.416667 (29.185133)
YPG434.416667 (640.069517)375.75 (415.1286)
TFPG2.25 (1.18485)1.833333 (1.6412)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense88.97%80.08%
Defense73.66%80.35%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score31 (23.961658)27.041667 (32.3025)



Belk No-Longer-Car-Related Charlotte Bowl
Charlotte, N.C. - December 27, 2011 - 8:00 PM
#54 Louisville beats #48 North Carolina State by 11.1268
TeamLouisvilleNorth Carolina State
SOS0.52070.2841
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG21.75 (22.65045)28 (15.9096)
YPG329.083333 (342.707383)345.833333 (196.5025)
TCPG1.5 (1.4379)1.916667 (2.744283)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG19.166667 (18.373167)23.666667 (33.885933)
YPG329.75 (316.09835)327.333333 (468.675867)
TFPG1.5 (1.5621)2.75 (1.56255)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense75.53%92.53%
Defense66.43%82.63%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score22.708333 (28.268192)23.583333 (17.141383)



Military Bowl Presented By Northrop Grumman Beltway Bowl
Washington, D.C. - December 28, 2011 - 4:30 PM
#29 Toledo beats #49 Air Force by 18.3698
TeamToledoAir Force
SOS0.42780.1548
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG42.25 (36.1491)34.416667 (10.6554)
YPG493.083333 (421.8821)458.916667 (142.0806)
TCPG1 (1.1444)2 (3.3808)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG30.916667 (35.381033)27.583333 (46.626867)
YPG398.833333 (456.424867)372.5 (629.674)
TFPG2.333333 (1.9964)1.75 (0.5418)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense97.93%85.71%
Defense88.59%84.63%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score34.916667 (41.387983)32.666667 (23.018217)



Bridgepoint Education Holiday Bowl
San Diego - December 28, 2011 - 8:00 PM
#44 California loses to #46 Texas by 19.6707
TeamCaliforniaTexas
SOS0.48910.8675
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG29.833333 (29.182967)28.666667 (49.736667)
YPG417.666667 (408.561533)405 (702.675)
TCPG1.666667 (1.703)2.166667 (0.574167)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG24.416667 (24.94895)23.25 (6.16125)
YPG338.833333 (346.2199)315.666667 (83.651667)
TFPG2 (1.9564)1.75 (3.03625)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense81.63%80.89%
Defense82.36%84.18%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score26.541667 (17.672108)26.541667 (37.342808)



Champs Sports Tangerine Bowl
Orlando, Fla. - December 29, 2011 - 5:30 PM
#30 Florida State loses to #41 Notre Dame by 19.4685
TeamFlorida StateNotre Dame
SOS0.36430.8223
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG31.666667 (23.072333)30.5 (50.1603)
YPG375.75 (273.77145)424.083333 (697.44745)
TCPG1.5 (1.9071)2.916667 (1.036583)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG15.166667 (19.2829)20.916667 (7.433783)
YPG275.583333 (350.37665)348.833333 (123.975367)
TFPG1.833333 (1.335767)1.083333 (1.78165)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense96.32%82.19%
Defense62.9%68.53%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score26.291667 (15.253058)22.833333 (34.7216)



Valero Alamo Bowl
San Antonio - December 29, 2011 - 9:00 PM
#56 Washington loses to #25 Baylor by 7.3909
TeamWashingtonBaylor
SOS0.57570.5943
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG31.5 (36.2691)43.5 (51.7041)
YPG392.333333 (451.7326)575 (683.445)
TCPG1.666667 (1.414333)2.083333 (1.690417)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG33.333333 (28.286667)35.666667 (28.939933)
YPG426.333333 (361.786467)464.25 (376.69245)
TFPG1.833333 (2.1109)2.083333 (2.47625)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense91.76%86.46%
Defense89.36%87.8%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score33.583333 (32.604517)38.416667 (39.995383)



Bell Helicopter Armed Forces Bowl
Dallas - December 30, 2011 - 12:00 PM
#28 BYU loses to #39 Tulsa by 29.9136
TeamBYUTulsa
SOS0.14830.7251
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG30.583333 (9.071017)34.083333 (49.42765)
YPG412.416667 (122.322783)430.333333 (624.0694)
TCPG2.083333 (3.54875)2.583333 (1.420317)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG20.333333 (34.6358)27.583333 (15.165317)
YPG318.666667 (542.8168)421.833333 (231.923967)
TFPG1.916667 (0.568483)2.25 (3.26295)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense84.75%90.52%
Defense72.92%74.73%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score29.083333 (12.118167)27.208333 (42.031725)



New Era Pinstripe Yankee Bowl
Bronx, N.Y. - December 30, 2011 - 3:20 PM
#37 Rutgers loses to #74 Iowa State by 7.2023
TeamRutgersIowa State
SOS0.47550.7436
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG26.333333 (25.043)23.5 (34.9492)
YPG337 (320.487)395.833333 (588.683333)
TCPG2.333333 (2.447667)2.666667 (1.367467)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG18.75 (19.66875)29.583333 (15.170333)
YPG315.666667 (331.134333)435.583333 (223.367133)
TFPG2.583333 (2.45675)2 (2.9744)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense89.3%67.85%
Defense67.88%77.62%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score27.958333 (20.106667)21.125 (27.308975)



Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl
Nashville, Tenn. - December 30, 2011 - 6:40 PM
#59 Mississippi State beats #70 Wake Forest by 12.8387
TeamMississippi StateWake Forest
SOS0.69320.4938
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG25.5 (35.3532)26.75 (26.4183)
YPG353.333333 (489.861333)374.5 (369.8562)
TCPG1.333333 (0.818133)1 (1.0124)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG18.5 (11.3516)27.75 (28.0941)
YPG317.833333 (195.022533)399.083333 (404.031967)
TFPG1.583333 (2.195133)1.416667 (1.3991)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense82.48%81.63%
Defense66.52%79.47%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score26.625 (31.72365)22.625 (18.88495)



Insight Bowl
Tempe, Ariz. - December 30, 2011 - 10:00 PM
#51 Iowa loses to #19 Oklahoma by 31.1945
TeamIowaOklahoma
SOS0.48910.895
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG28.666667 (28.041733)40.25 (72.0475)
YPG382.5 (374.1615)535.75 (958.9925)
TCPG1.333333 (1.3624)2.333333 (0.49)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG22.666667 (23.1608)22.75 (4.7775)
YPG362.916667 (370.82825)372.833333 (78.295)
TFPG1.333333 (1.304267)2.083333 (3.729167)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense85.65%85.86%
Defense71.38%69.74%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score25.708333 (16.409617)31.458333 (47.60415)



Meineke Car Care Bowl of Texas Texas Bowl
Houston - December 31, 2011 - 12:00 PM
#55 Texas A&M beats #64 Northwestern by 35.1945
TeamTexas A&MNorthwestern
SOS0.86670.3972
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG39.583333 (68.61375)29.5 (23.4348)
YPG498.666667 (864.3888)435.25 (345.7626)
TCPG1.916667 (0.510983)1.333333 (1.607467)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG28.666667 (7.642533)27.25 (32.8526)
YPG388.166667 (103.485233)408.583333 (492.588067)
TFPG1.25 (2.16675)1.666667 (1.324)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense90.72%77.46%
Defense84.4%76.22%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score33.416667 (50.733175)29.083333 (15.538667)



Hyundai Sun Bowl
El Paso, Texas - December 31, 2011 - 2:00 PM
#33 Georgia Tech beats #50 Utah by 2.971
TeamGeorgia TechUtah
SOS0.38760.351
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG34.916667 (27.0674)24.583333 (17.2575)
YPG459.583333 (356.269)310.416667 (217.9125)
TCPG1.5 (1.8372)1.833333 (2.379667)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG24 (29.3952)19.666667 (25.527333)
YPG336.666667 (412.349333)346 (449.108)
TFPG1.416667 (1.0982)2.833333 (1.989)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense86.83%90.51%
Defense81.47%64.96%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score27.291667 (26.297367)24.291667 (23.32635)



Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl
San Francisco - December 31, 2011 - 3:30 PM
#22 Cincinnati loses to #58 Vanderbilt by 10.7014
TeamCincinnatiVanderbilt
SOS0.29260.5694
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG33.5 (19.6042)26.916667 (30.6527)
YPG393.833333 (230.471267)342.833333 (390.4186)
TCPG1.583333 (2.2401)2.083333 (1.794167)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG20 (28.296)20.833333 (17.941667)
YPG365.25 (516.7557)325.583333 (280.392367)
TFPG2.5 (1.463)2.416667 (2.7521)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense97.21%89.73%
Defense62.58%73.13%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score27.166667 (18.772933)23.458333 (29.47435)



AutoZone Liberty Bowl
Memphis, Tenn. - December 31, 2011 - 3:30 PM
#65 Illinois loses to #80 UCLA by 8.4927
TeamIllinoisUCLA
SOS0.61210.8394
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG22.833333 (27.952567)23.769231 (39.903785)
YPG360.166667 (440.916033)388.615385 (652.407508)
TCPG2.25 (1.74555)1.846154 (0.592985)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG19.833333 (15.3867)32.230769 (10.352523)
YPG287.166667 (222.7839)424.384615 (136.312338)
TFPG1.416667 (1.734283)1.538462 (2.582769)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense72.45%69.9%
Defense78.93%86.8%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score27.532051 (19.152545)21.801282 (27.645242)



Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl
Atlanta - December 31, 2011 - 7:30 PM
#42 Virginia loses to #61 Auburn by 22.353
TeamVirginiaAuburn
SOS0.35880.8528
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG23.166667 (16.6244)24.25 (41.3608)
YPG396.666667 (284.648)328.416667 (560.147467)
TCPG2.166667 (2.778533)1.75 (0.5152)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG22 (28.2128)28 (8.2432)
YPG329.083333 (422.016467)378.083333 (111.307733)
TFPG1.583333 (1.1362)1.583333 (2.700533)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense66.75%84.39%
Defense76.4%84.64%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score25.583333 (12.4338)23.125 (34.7868)



TicketCity Bowl
Dallas - January 2, 2012 - 12:00 PM
#2 Houston loses to #27 Penn State by 13.6262
TeamHoustonPenn State
SOS0.2350.6655
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG50.769231 (23.861538)19.75 (26.28725)
YPG600.846154 (282.397692)345.416667 (459.749583)
TCPG1.153846 (1.765385)1.833333 (1.2265)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG23.076923 (35.307692)15.666667 (10.481)
YPG380.615385 (582.341538)304.25 (203.54325)
TFPG2.307692 (1.084615)2.166667 (2.883833)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense96.57%65.35%
Defense69.29%58.85%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score33.217949 (17.171269)21.413462 (30.797471)



Capital One Citrus Bowl
Orlando, Fla. - January 2, 2012 - 1:00 PM
#16 Michigan State loses to #15 Georgia by 7.2713
TeamMichigan StateGeorgia
SOS0.50510.6578
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG30.846154 (31.160785)32.153846 (42.3016)
YPG390.384615 (394.366538)416.538462 (547.998)
TCPG1.153846 (1.142077)1.692308 (1.158215)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG17 (16.8266)19.615385 (13.424769)
YPG254.307692 (251.713754)272.692308 (186.630615)
TFPG1.615385 (1.631862)2.230769 (2.9348)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense90.3%88.22%
Defense76.4%82.21%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score25.230769 (22.292777)24.576923 (29.5641)



TaxSlayer.com Gator Bowl
Jacksonville, Fla. - January 2, 2012 - 1:30 PM
#26 Nebraska beats #14 South Carolina by 5.0806
TeamNebraskaSouth Carolina
SOS0.7070.5852
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG30.5 (43.127)30.083333 (35.209533)
YPG390.833333 (552.638333)377.333333 (441.630933)
TCPG1.416667 (0.830167)2.333333 (1.935733)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG22.833333 (13.380333)18.833333 (15.624133)
YPG350.666667 (205.490667)268.916667 (223.093267)
TFPG1.5 (2.121)2.5 (2.926)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense89.19%91.12%
Defense74.42%80.04%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score24.666667 (29.375567)26.458333 (24.294933)



Outback Bowl
Tampa, Fla. - January 2, 2012 - 1:00 PM
#60 Ohio State beats #69 Florida by 2.6336
TeamOhio StateFlorida
SOS0.75410.688
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG25.083333 (37.830683)25.583333 (35.202667)
YPG319.5 (481.8699)334.583333 (460.386667)
TCPG1.083333 (0.532783)1.916667 (1.196)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG20.75 (10.20485)20.583333 (12.844)
YPG328.916667 (161.761217)300.5 (187.512)
TFPG1.416667 (2.136617)1 (1.376)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense89.72%87.39%
Defense72.1%78.28%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score22.833333 (25.337342)23.166667 (22.703758)



Rose Bowl Game presented by VIZIO
Pasadena, Calif. - January 2, 2012 - 5:00 PM
#6 Wisconsin loses to #8 Oregon by 11.0686
TeamWisconsinOregon
SOS0.44240.6208
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG44.615385 (39.475692)46.153846 (57.304615)
YPG468.076923 (414.154462)515.230769 (639.710523)
TCPG0.615385 (0.686277)1.384615 (1.050092)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG19.923077 (22.218215)23.615385 (17.909908)
YPG321.769231 (358.837046)382.153846 (289.825477)
TFPG1.846154 (1.633477)2.076923 (2.578708)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense108.93%102.38%
Defense70.76%70.62%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score34.115385 (28.6928)33.038462 (39.761415)



Tostitos Fiesta Bowl
Glendale, Ariz. - January 2, 2012 - 8:30 PM
#7 Stanford loses to #4 Oklahoma State by 21.4368
TeamStanfordOklahoma State
SOS0.52290.803
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG43.583333 (45.57945)49.333333 (79.229333)
YPG482.166667 (504.2499)554.25 (890.1255)
TCPG1.25 (1.19275)1.833333 (0.722333)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG20.333333 (19.402067)25.833333 (10.178333)
YPG332.583333 (317.351017)447.5 (176.315)
TFPG1.75 (1.83015)3.5 (5.621)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense103.3%101.72%
Defense69.87%65.97%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score34.708333 (27.878892)34.833333 (49.3157)



Allstate Sugar Bowl
New Orleans - January 3, 2012 - 8:30 PM
#9 Michigan beats #10 Virginia Tech by 12.7627
TeamMichiganVirginia Tech
SOS0.75060.5644
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG34.166667 (51.291)28.538462 (32.214215)
YPG422.083333 (633.6315)408.846154 (461.505538)
TCPG1.75 (0.8729)1.230769 (1.072246)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG17.166667 (8.562733)17.230769 (15.011446)
YPG319.833333 (159.532867)315.538462 (274.897108)
TFPG2.25 (3.3777)1.692308 (1.910277)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense92.51%79.77%
Defense61.34%62.41%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score25.698718 (33.151223)22.852564 (20.388474)



Discover Orange Bowl
Miami - January 4, 2012 - 8:30 PM
#24 West Virginia loses to #21 Clemson by 5.3909
TeamWest VirginiaClemson
SOS0.53010.6178
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG34.916667 (37.01865)33.615385 (41.535169)
YPG461.083333 (488.84055)443.461538 (547.941077)
TCPG1.75 (1.64465)1.538462 (1.176)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG26.25 (24.66975)24.076923 (18.4044)
YPG341.916667 (321.333283)351.538462 (268.716)
TFPG1.583333 (1.67865)1.615385 (1.995969)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense86.55%86.63%
Defense87.74%78.27%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score29.496795 (27.711525)29.932692 (33.10246)



AT&T Cotton Bowl
Arlington, Texas - January 6, 2012 - 8:00 PM
#20 Kansas State beats #18 Arkansas by 0.6759
TeamKansas StateArkansas
SOS0.63540.5476
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG33.083333 (42.0423)37.416667 (40.978733)
YPG344.833333 (438.2142)446.333333 (488.824267)
TCPG1.083333 (0.789967)1.75 (1.5834)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG27.833333 (20.296067)22.75 (20.5842)
YPG400.333333 (291.923067)371.666667 (336.284)
TFPG2.166667 (2.7534)1.583333 (1.734067)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense109.65%95.81%
Defense79.46%69.96%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score27.916667 (31.31325)32.625 (30.6374)



BBVA Compass Bowl
Birmingham, Ala. - January 7, 2012 - 1:00 PM
#62 SMU loses to #66 Pittsburgh by 6.8034
TeamSMUPittsburgh
SOS0.41920.5346
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG25.666667 (21.518933)25.75 (27.5319)
YPG396 (332.0064)364.416667 (389.6343)
TCPG2.666667 (3.0976)1.666667 (1.551333)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG24.5 (28.4592)22.416667 (20.865433)
YPG351.416667 (408.2056)354.083333 (329.580767)
TFPG1.166667 (0.978133)1.666667 (1.782)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense74.07%80.76%
Defense79.68%72.35%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score24.041667 (21.192183)25.125 (27.99555)



GoDaddy.com Danica Patrick Bowl
Mobile, Ala. - January 8, 2012 - 9:00 PM
#13 Arkansas State loses to #23 Northern Illinois by 1.1959
TeamArkansas StateNorthern Illinois
SOS0.05990.2321
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG33.5 (4.0133)38.307692 (17.782431)
YPG451.583333 (54.099683)481.692308 (223.601569)
TCPG1.833333 (3.447033)1.307692 (2.008354)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG19.333333 (36.350533)31.076923 (47.727938)
YPG322.666667 (606.677867)418.076923 (642.082538)
TFPG2.333333 (0.279533)1.615385 (0.749862)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense84.78%90.89%
Defense68.48%84.95%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score32.288462 (25.870619)28.820513 (27.066482)



Allstate BCS Championship Game Controversial Crystal Football Bowl
New Orleans - January 9, 2012 - 8:30 PM
#3 Alabama loses to #1 LSU by 8.4942
TeamAlabamaLSU
SOS0.61210.7682
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG36 (44.0712)38.461538 (59.092308)
YPG434.333333 (531.710867)377.769231 (580.404646)
TCPG1 (0.7758)0.615385 (0.285292)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG8.833333 (6.8529)10.538462 (4.885631)
YPG191.25 (148.37175)254.923077 (118.182338)
TFPG1.5 (1.8363)2.307692 (3.545538)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense94.73%116.36%
Defense52.79%47.25%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score23.269231 (24.478415)23.647436 (32.972604)


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