Week 13 Top 30
| 1 | 1.0 | Ohio State | 1 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 0.974674 | Boise State | 2 | 0.0447 |
| 3 | 0.929014 | Michigan | 3 | 8.36E-4 |
| 4 | 0.88837 | Florida | 6 | 0.031098 |
| 5 | 0.877396 | Wisconsin | 5 | -5.75E-4 |
| 6 | 0.876618 | Louisville | 9 | 0.034045 |
| 7 | 0.868513 | BYU | 7 | 0.018693 |
| 8 | 0.863358 | USC | 8 | 0.020215 |
| 9 | 0.854054 | LSU | 11 | 0.017757 |
| 10 | 0.847532 | Rutgers | 13 | 0.036644 |
| 11 | 0.835811 | Hawaii | 15 | 0.029641 |
| 12 | 0.827776 | West Virginia | 4 | -0.052715 |
| 13 | 0.826407 | Virginia Tech | 16 | 0.03254 |
| 14 | 0.798161 | Notre Dame | 10 | -0.039884 |
| 15 | 0.789788 | Oklahoma | 19 | 0.021829 |
| 16 | 0.789543 | Auburn | 18 | 3.47E-4 |
| 17 | 0.788089 | TCU | 22 | 0.040414 |
| 18 | 0.780544 | Texas | 12 | -0.046799 |
| 19 | 0.776793 | Arkansas | 14 | -0.031931 |
| 20 | 0.761887 | Wake Forest | 24 | 0.029773 |
| 21 | 0.756916 | Texas A&M | 27 | 0.040011 |
| 22 | 0.753458 | Boston College | 17 | -0.035971 |
| 23 | 0.749584 | Nebraska | 26 | 0.024329 |
| 24 | 0.743032 | Houston | 23 | 0.00352 |
| 25 | 0.732065 | Tennessee | 28 | 0.019248 |
| 26 | 0.724987 | Clemson | 20 | -0.035213 |
| 27 | 0.71406 | Georgia Tech | 21 | -0.045524 |
| 28 | 0.709535 | California | 29 | 0.001451 |
| 29 | 0.681965 | Missouri | 32 | 0.044544 |
| 30 | 0.675438 | Nevada | 25 | -0.053115 |
posted by Rev. Adam at
10:22 PM
3 Comments:
Interesting that an undefeated Boise State with a schedule full of patsies ranks higher than all the one-loss teams with tougher schedules. Perhaps too much weight is given to a loss and not enough weight put behind strength of schedule? I am glad to see USC ranked so poorly.
By
Anonymous, at 11/27/2006 11:15 AM
I'll try monkeying with the formula parameters (ala the BCS) after the season's over. But I tried last year to adjust the SOS to a reasonable level and ran into the same problem with TCU. They wound up at #6 (pre-bowl-game). Even setting SOS to 50%, they were still in the top 10, which I suppose is reasonable. The same thing with Boise State is happening this year. They're undefeated. But they're also one of the nation's leading scoring teams, and they've beaten teams like Hawaii who actually is the top scorer and top yardage team, and Oregon State, who beat USC, and Utah, who put up a good fight against a very good BYU team, all of which is helping out their (admittedly weak) SOS. And they have beaten 6 bowl eligible teams. True, Boise wouldn't be undefeated if they played in the SEC or Big 10, but they're a quality team and they're definitely a top 10. Like I said, I'll juggle some numbers around and see what happens when all the final data comes in.
By
Rev. Adam, at 11/27/2006 5:11 PM
As for USC, that just goes to show how narrow their margin of victory was early in the year. The only team with a tougher SOS in my system is Stanford. But as opposed to other 1-loss teams, USC is weak because they lost to Oregon State. Wisconsin lost to Michigan. Michigan lost to Ohio State. Florida's loss to Auburn doesn't look as forgivable as it once once, but Auburn is still way better than Oregon State. Same deal with Louisville, but a Rutgers win over WVU will partially vindicate that loss as well as Rutgers loss to Cincinnati. USC is getting hotter each week though. The best thing that could have happened to them was that Oregon State loss. I think they'd be a tough matchup for any team that draws them in a BCS game.
By
Rev. Adam, at 11/27/2006 5:27 PM
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