2016 Annual Bowl-Prediction Catastrophe
Update: 12/15/16 - 1:35 pm These numbers have all been re-run using the complete data set which now includes the missing week 6 data I discovered.
Gildan New Mexico T-Shirt Bowl
Albuquerque, NM - December 17, 2016 - 2:00 PM
#49 New Mexico loses to #69 Texas San Antonio by 7.6134
Las Vegas Bowl Presented by Geico Sin City Bowl
Las Vegas, NV - December 17, 2016 - 3:30 PM
#20 Houston beats #16 San Diego State by 18.4121
Raycom Media Camellia Bowl
Montgomery, AL - December 17, 2016 - 5:30 PM
#19 Appalachian State beats #24 Toledo by 8.0736
Autonation Cure Bowl
Orlando, FL - December 17, 2016 - 7:00 PM
#64 UCF beats #57 Arkansas State by 18.4556
R+L Carriers New Orleans Bourbon Bowl
New Orleans, LA - December 17, 2016 - 9:00 PM
#67 Southern Mississippi beats #74 Louisiana Lafayette by 0.4895
Miami Beach Bowl
Miami, FL - December 19, 2016 - 2:30 PM
#71 Central Michigan loses to #28 Tulsa by 8.2972
Boca Raton Bowl
Boca Raton, FL - December 20, 2016 - 7:00 PM
#35 Memphis beats #11 Western Kentucky by 1.8472
San Diego County Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl
San Diego, CA - December 21, 2016 - 9:00 PM
#34 BYU loses to #56 Wyoming by 27.2353
Famous Idaho Potato Smurf-Turf Bowl
Boise, ID - December 22, 2016 - 7:00 PM
#51 Idaho loses to #54 Colorado State by 12.5261
Popeyes Bahamas Bowl
Nassau, Bahamas - December 23, 2016 - 1:00 PM
#58 Eastern Michigan beats #25 Old Dominion by 22.3464
Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl
Fort Worth, TX - December 23, 2016 - 4:30 PM
#46 Louisiana Tech loses to #39 Navy by 17.2576
Dollar General Knick-Knacks Bowl
Mobile, AL - December 23, 2016 - 8:00 PM
#53 Ohio loses to #22 Troy by 5.2502
Hawaii Aloha Bowl
Honolulu, HI - December 24, 2016 - 8:00 PM
#94 Hawaii beats #47 Middle Tennessee by 10.3956
St. Petersburg Bowl
St. Petersburg, FL - December 26, 2016 - 11:00 AM
#70 Miami (OH) loses to #78 Mississippi State by 35.8037
Quick Lane Motor City Bowl
Detroit, MI - December 26, 2016 - 2:30 PM
#77 Maryland beats #75 Boston College by 13.3319
Camping World Independence Bowl
Shreveport, LA - December 26, 2016 - 5:00 PM
#61 NC State beats #66 Vanderbilt by 1.863
Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Bowl
Dallas, TX - December 27, 2016 - 12:00 PM
#52 Army loses to #90 North Texas by 14.6763
Military Bowl Presented by Northrup Grumman USNA Bowl
Annapolis, MD - December 27, 2016 - 3:30 PM
#10 Temple beats #73 Wake Forest by 4.127
National Funding Holiday Bowl
San Diego, CA - December 27, 2016 - 7:00 PM
#42 Minnesota loses to #33 Washington State by 11.8299
Motel 6 Cactus Bowl
Phoeniz, AZ - December 27, 2016 - 10:15 PM
#17 Boise State beats #63 Baylor by 13.0235
New Era Pinstripe Yankee Bowl
Bronx, NY - December 28, 2016 - 2:00 PM
#44 Pittsburgh beats #62 Northwestern by 9.2354
Russell Athletic Tangerine Bowl
Orlando, FL - December 28, 2016 - 5:30 PM
#14 West Virginia loses to #30 Miami by 5.0215
Foster Farms SANS-Francisco Bowl
Santa Clara, CA - December 28, 2016 - 8:30 PM
#68 Indiana beats #41 Utah by 8.9654
Advocare V100 Texas Bowl
Houston, TX - December 28, 2016 - 9:00 PM
#36 Texas A&M beats #37 Kansas State by 15.815
Birmingham Bowl
Birmingham, AL - December 29, 2016 - 2:00 PM
#15 South Florida beats #76 South Carolina by 4.1914
Belk Queen City Bowl
Charlotte, NC - December 29, 2016 - 5:30 PM
#59 Arkansas beats #31 Virginia Tech by 10.1145
Valero Alamo Bowl
San Antonio, TX - December 29, 2016 - 9:00 PM
#23 Oklahoma State loses to #12 Colorado by 15.8752
Autozone Liberty Bowl
Memphis, TN - December 30, 2016 - 12:00 PM
#55 Georgia beats #65 TCU by 1.2266
Hyundai Sun Bowl
El Paso, TX - December 30, 2016 - 2:00 PM
#32 Stanford beats #45 North Carolina by 16.9183
Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl
Nashville, TN - December 30, 2016 - 3:30 PM
#29 Nebraska loses to #48 Tennessee by 24.9612
Nova Home Loans Arizona Bowl
Tucson, AZ - December 30, 2016 - 5:30 PM
#72 South Alabama loses to #27 Air Force by 6.4517
Capital One Orange Bowl
Miami, FL - December 30, 2016 - 8:00 PM
#6 Michigan beats #18 Florida State by 4.0509
Buffalo Wild Wings Citrus Bowl
Orlando, FL - December 31, 2016 - 11:00 AM
#38 LSU beats #13 Louisville by 7.7258
Taxslayer Gator Bowl
Jacksonville, FL - December 31, 2016 - 11:00 AM
#50 Georgia Tech loses to #60 Kentucky by 9.5173
Chick-Fil-A (SEMI) Peach Bowl
Atlanta, GA - December 31, 2016 - 3:00 PM
#4 Washington loses to #1 Alabama by 20.7591
Playstation (SEMI) Fiesta Bowl
Glendale, AZ - December 31, 2016 - 7:00 PM
#3 Ohio State beats #5 Clemson by 11.1642
Goodyear Cotton Bowl
Arlington, TX - January 2, 2017 - 1:00 PM
#2 Western Michigan loses to #9 Wisconsin by 39.6096
Outback Bowl
Tampa, FL - January 2, 2017 - 1:00 PM
#40 Florida beats #43 Iowa by 14.5106
Rose BowlGame Presented by Northwest Mutual
Pasadena, CA - January 2, 2017 - 5:00 PM
#21 USC loses to #7 Penn State by 5.4373
Allstate Sugar Bowl
New Orleans, LA - January 2, 2017 - 8:30 PM
#26 Auburn loses to #8 Oklahoma by 4.9721
CFP National Championship Game presented by AT&T (FINAL) CFP Championship Bowl
Tampa, FL - January 9, 2017 - 8:30 PM
#1 Alabama loses to #3 Ohio State by 11.0031
Albuquerque, NM - December 17, 2016 - 2:00 PM
#49 New Mexico loses to #69 Texas San Antonio by 7.6134
Team | New Mexico (8-4) | Texas San Antonio (6-6) |
SOS | 0.192919 | 0.345626 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 37.833333 (14.597538) | 29.916667 (20.679956) |
YPG | 470.25 (181.44032) | 376.416667 (260.198774) |
TCPG | 1.166667 (1.883189) | 1.166667 (1.526873) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 34.583333 (55.823103) | 35.666667 (46.678679) |
YPG | 455.583333 (735.385305) | 471.666667 (617.292807) |
TFPG | 1.5 (0.578757) | 1.416667 (0.979274) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 91.95% | 90.83% |
Defense | 86.75% | 86.42% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 36.75 (30.638108) | 32.25 (38.251529) |
Las Vegas, NV - December 17, 2016 - 3:30 PM
#20 Houston beats #16 San Diego State by 18.4121
Team | Houston (9-3) | San Diego State (10-3) |
SOS | 0.489408 | 0.148312 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 38 (37.195008) | 35.307692 (10.473109) |
YPG | 459.166667 (449.43968) | 419.076923 (124.308273) |
TCPG | 1.75 (1.787072) | 1.153846 (1.965434) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 31.166667 (31.826901) | 24.615385 (41.929255) |
YPG | 404.416667 (412.983829) | 348.307692 (593.298964) |
TFPG | 1.416667 (1.386656) | 1.230769 (0.365076) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 94.58% | 96.29% |
Defense | 88.08% | 80.77% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 31.307692 (39.562132) | 33.237179 (21.150005) |
Montgomery, AL - December 17, 2016 - 5:30 PM
#19 Appalachian State beats #24 Toledo by 8.0736
Team | Appalachian State (9-3) | Toledo (9-3) |
SOS | 0.461998 | 0.365855 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 29.083333 (26.872884) | 38.833333 (28.414738) |
YPG | 431.083333 (398.319276) | 529.75 (387.623373) |
TCPG | 1.083333 (1.165671) | 1.166667 (1.479672) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 29.333333 (31.562784) | 38.833333 (49.251928) |
YPG | 403.166667 (433.808946) | 475.333333 (602.860513) |
TFPG | 1.333333 (1.231995) | 1.25 (0.914638) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 77.1% | 83.78% |
Defense | 83.15% | 93.37% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 33.958333 (38.062406) | 34.083333 (29.988761) |
Orlando, FL - December 17, 2016 - 7:00 PM
#64 UCF beats #57 Arkansas State by 18.4556
Team | UCF (6-6) | Arkansas State (7-5) |
SOS | 0.56434 | 0.192951 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 30.083333 (33.954457) | 27 (10.419354) |
YPG | 361.833333 (408.394047) | 391.5 (151.080633) |
TCPG | 1.833333 (1.59742) | 1.333333 (2.152131) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 29.416667 (25.63133) | 24.166667 (39.007368) |
YPG | 398.916667 (347.58407) | 366.666667 (591.835933) |
TFPG | 1.25 (1.41085) | 1.5 (0.578853) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 95.02% | 78.82% |
Defense | 84.28% | 75.32% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 27.125 (36.480913) | 28.208333 (18.025342) |
New Orleans, LA - December 17, 2016 - 9:00 PM
#67 Southern Mississippi beats #74 Louisiana Lafayette by 0.4895
Team | Southern Mississippi (6-6) | Louisiana Lafayette (6-6) |
SOS | 0.331462 | 0.327726 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 33.25 (22.042223) | 23.833333 (15.621606) |
YPG | 471.666667 (312.679153) | 365.166667 (239.349222) |
TCPG | 2.5 (3.34269) | 1.333333 (1.792731) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 36.5 (48.803274) | 32.25 (43.361673) |
YPG | 465.416667 (622.297455) | 400.833333 (538.939657) |
TFPG | 1.083333 (0.718168) | 1.833333 (1.201662) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 80.57% | 74.59% |
Defense | 89.63% | 91.95% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 32.75 (32.701948) | 30.166667 (32.21244) |
Miami Beach Bowl
Miami, FL - December 19, 2016 - 2:30 PM
#71 Central Michigan loses to #28 Tulsa by 8.2972
Team | Central Michigan (6-6) | Tulsa (9-3) |
SOS | 0.458818 | 0.434283 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 27.666667 (25.387929) | 41.416667 (35.973109) |
YPG | 395.083333 (362.54269) | 521.666667 (453.10193) |
TCPG | 1.75 (1.894137) | 1.75 (1.98001) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 29.333333 (31.749344) | 22.75 (25.740124) |
YPG | 396.083333 (428.706341) | 359 (406.184806) |
TFPG | 1.333333 (1.223515) | 1.333333 (1.158088) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 80.03% | 90.73% |
Defense | 84.64% | 72.42% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 25.208333 (25.564026) | 35.375 (33.861226) |
Boca Raton Bowl
Boca Raton, FL - December 20, 2016 - 7:00 PM
#35 Memphis beats #11 Western Kentucky by 1.8472
Team | Memphis (8-4) | Western Kentucky (10-3) |
SOS | 0.524455 | 0.42758 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 39.5 (41.431945) | 45.076923 (38.547982) |
YPG | 461.5 (484.071965) | 517.384615 (442.446628) |
TCPG | 1.5 (1.426635) | 1.384615 (1.585163) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 35.166667 (33.446665) | 29.923077 (34.257135) |
YPG | 463.666667 (440.98873) | 386.846154 (442.876951) |
TFPG | 1.75 (1.835593) | 1.461538 (1.249849) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 97.82% | 99.57% |
Defense | 86.68% | 88.4% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 34.711538 (37.84454) | 40.121795 (35.997323) |
San Diego, CA - December 21, 2016 - 9:00 PM
#34 BYU loses to #56 Wyoming by 27.2353
Team | BYU (8-4) | Wyoming (8-5) |
SOS | 0.356271 | 0.710469 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 30 (21.37626) | 37.076923 (52.684009) |
YPG | 406.333333 (289.529566) | 439.230769 (624.119691) |
TCPG | 1.416667 (1.823899) | 1.692308 (0.979951) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 31 (39.911198) | 28.923077 (16.748255) |
YPG | 413.583333 (532.471171) | 388.769231 (225.121488) |
TFPG | 1.333333 (0.950056) | 1.461538 (2.076756) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 84.38% | 96.47% |
Defense | 85.66% | 85.02% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 29.461538 (19.062257) | 34.038462 (46.297603) |
Boise, ID - December 22, 2016 - 7:00 PM
#51 Idaho loses to #54 Colorado State by 12.5261
Team | Idaho (8-4) | Colorado State (7-5) |
SOS | 0.37356 | 0.643235 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 28.25 (21.10614) | 34.083333 (43.847186) |
YPG | 379.916667 (283.84334) | 451 (580.19797) |
TCPG | 1.416667 (1.774913) | 1 (0.71353) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 22.916667 (28.711833) | 37 (26.40061) |
YPG | 339.25 (425.03954) | 444.416667 (317.104624) |
TFPG | 1.25 (0.9339) | 1 (1.28647) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 84.98% | 86.37% |
Defense | 77.2% | 95.15% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 32.625 (23.753375) | 28.5 (36.27951) |
Nassau, Bahamas - December 23, 2016 - 1:00 PM
#58 Eastern Michigan beats #25 Old Dominion by 22.3464
Team | Eastern Michigan (7-5) | Old Dominion (9-3) |
SOS | 0.469617 | 0.14466 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 30.416667 (28.568368) | 36 (10.41552) |
YPG | 453.916667 (426.333967) | 436.916667 (126.40873) |
TCPG | 1.833333 (1.944738) | 0.75 (1.28301) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 28.333333 (30.055037) | 33.083333 (56.594997) |
YPG | 427 (452.947082) | 440.25 (753.12687) |
TFPG | 1.166667 (1.095773) | 1.583333 (0.45809) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 76.58% | 94.17% |
Defense | 75.83% | 85.88% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 31.75 (42.581682) | 32.166667 (20.235278) |
Fort Worth, TX - December 23, 2016 - 4:30 PM
#46 Louisiana Tech loses to #39 Navy by 17.2576
Team | Louisiana Tech (8-5) | Navy (9-4) |
SOS | 0.296414 | 0.636463 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 44 (26.084432) | 37.384615 (47.587849) |
YPG | 516.076923 (305.94485) | 436.692308 (555.876992) |
TCPG | 1.230769 (1.731904) | 1.153846 (0.838932) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 24.230769 (34.09686) | 29 (21.085146) |
YPG | 361 (507.989092) | 388.692308 (282.608071) |
TFPG | 1.615385 (0.957645) | 2 (2.545852) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 97.44% | 97.84% |
Defense | 76.71% | 85.27% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 36.5 (23.584789) | 30.807692 (40.842354) |
Mobile, AL - December 23, 2016 - 8:00 PM
#53 Ohio loses to #22 Troy by 5.2502
Team | Ohio (8-5) | Troy (9-3) |
SOS | 0.21319 | 0.291002 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 26.538462 (11.315469) | 34.166667 (19.885137) |
YPG | 392.615385 (167.403348) | 438.583333 (255.257254) |
TCPG | 1.538462 (2.420954) | 1.5 (2.126994) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 26.307692 (41.398311) | 27.833333 (39.467555) |
YPG | 366.923077 (577.397492) | 371.916667 (527.376346) |
TFPG | 1.230769 (0.524775) | 0.916667 (0.533504) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 77.25% | 89.03% |
Defense | 81.94% | 85.53% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 27.185897 (25.391512) | 30.237179 (30.641724) |
Honolulu, HI - December 24, 2016 - 8:00 PM
#94 Hawaii beats #47 Middle Tennessee by 10.3956
Team | Hawaii (6-7) | Middle Tennessee (8-4) |
SOS | 0.373642 | 0.134853 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 26.461538 (19.774284) | 40.083333 (10.810716) |
YPG | 382.923077 (286.152289) | 515.666667 (139.078394) |
TCPG | 2.076923 (2.601795) | 1.5 (2.595441) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 30.153846 (37.774206) | 28.666667 (49.601761) |
YPG | 407.692308 (510.722677) | 409.083333 (707.834437) |
TFPG | 1.384615 (1.034701) | 1.416667 (0.382084) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 78.98% | 88.84% |
Defense | 84.53% | 80.09% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 27.564103 (34.688023) | 35.11859 (24.292461) |
St. Petersburg Bowl
St. Petersburg, FL - December 26, 2016 - 11:00 AM
#70 Miami (OH) loses to #78 Mississippi State by 35.8037
Team | Miami (OH) (6-6) | Mississippi State (5-7) |
SOS | 0.201915 | 0.765566 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 23.416667 (9.456353) | 31.5 (48.230658) |
YPG | 361.416667 (145.950893) | 449 (687.478268) |
TCPG | 1.5 (2.394255) | 1.333333 (0.625157) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 29.333333 (46.820987) | 29.833333 (13.987895) |
YPG | 408.916667 (652.700516) | 381.75 (178.990359) |
TFPG | 1.5 (0.605745) | 1.083333 (1.658726) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 74.05% | 80.18% |
Defense | 81.98% | 89.31% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 26.625 (11.722124) | 30.416667 (47.525822) |
Detroit, MI - December 26, 2016 - 2:30 PM
#77 Maryland beats #75 Boston College by 13.3319
Team | Maryland (6-6) | Boston College (6-6) |
SOS | 0.664721 | 0.52333 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 25.416667 (33.789984) | 19.083333 (19.973762) |
YPG | 379.5 (504.523239) | 287.666667 (301.089193) |
TCPG | 1.25 (0.838198) | 1.5 (1.43001) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 31.666667 (21.234337) | 35.75 (34.081905) |
YPG | 405.416667 (271.855389) | 463.25 (441.634755) |
TFPG | 1.333333 (1.772589) | 1.333333 (1.395547) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 76.54% | 75.82% |
Defense | 89.27% | 88.2% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 30.583333 (33.935945) | 25.375 (20.604049) |
Shreveport, LA - December 26, 2016 - 5:00 PM
#61 NC State beats #66 Vanderbilt by 1.863
Team | NC State (6-6) | Vanderbilt (6-6) |
SOS | 0.78297 | 0.795527 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 25.833333 (40.45345) | 23.5 (37.389769) |
YPG | 419.75 (657.303315) | 359.166667 (571.453562) |
TCPG | 1.583333 (0.687262) | 1 (0.408946) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 33.333333 (14.468667) | 37 (15.131002) |
YPG | 414.083333 (179.737012) | 475.333333 (194.385665) |
TFPG | 1.666667 (2.6099) | 1.5 (2.386581) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 70.34% | 74.78% |
Defense | 92% | 88.96% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 31.416667 (27.792226) | 28.416667 (25.929218) |
Dallas, TX - December 27, 2016 - 12:00 PM
#52 Army loses to #90 North Texas by 14.6763
Team | Army (7-5) | North Texas (5-7) |
SOS | 0.06752 | 0.39878 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 29.25 (3.94992) | 24.25 (19.34083) |
YPG | 404.25 (54.58992) | 336.166667 (268.113087) |
TCPG | 1.916667 (3.574507) | 1.583333 (1.903863) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 28.333333 (52.840533) | 32.333333 (38.878893) |
YPG | 384.166667 (716.455467) | 445.416667 (535.586817) |
TFPG | 1.583333 (0.213813) | 1.5 (1.19634) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 82.69% | 82.44% |
Defense | 84.29% | 82.96% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 30.791667 (21.414407) | 26.291667 (36.090682) |
Annapolis, MD - December 27, 2016 - 3:30 PM
#10 Temple beats #73 Wake Forest by 4.127
Team | Temple (10-3) | Wake Forest (6-6) |
SOS | 0.45692 | 0.572964 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 32.846154 (30.016129) | 19.25 (22.059114) |
YPG | 416.461538 (380.579212) | 306.75 (351.513414) |
TCPG | 1.307692 (1.420363) | 1.416667 (1.209935) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 26.461538 (28.741465) | 34 (29.038448) |
YPG | 354.615385 (385.169046) | 469 (400.559768) |
TFPG | 1.076923 (0.984135) | 1.666667 (1.90988) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 90.14% | 71.72% |
Defense | 85.28% | 82.85% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 33.423077 (29.527289) | 22.855769 (25.400289) |
San Diego, CA - December 27, 2016 - 7:00 PM
#42 Minnesota loses to #33 Washington State by 11.8299
Team | Minnesota (8-4) | Washington State (8-4) |
SOS | 0.512183 | 0.655207 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 30.333333 (31.072435) | 40.333333 (52.853365) |
YPG | 363.75 (372.613133) | 497.583333 (652.040166) |
TCPG | 1.333333 (1.300845) | 1.333333 (0.919448) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 28.666667 (27.968175) | 37.833333 (26.089337) |
YPG | 393.583333 (383.993282) | 456.25 (314.623613) |
TFPG | 1.416667 (1.451185) | 1 (1.310414) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 95.3% | 92.64% |
Defense | 83.24% | 94.77% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 34.083333 (28.580886) | 34.5 (40.41077) |
Phoeniz, AZ - December 27, 2016 - 10:15 PM
#17 Boise State beats #63 Baylor by 13.0235
Team | Boise State (10-2) | Baylor (6-6) |
SOS | 0.623049 | 0.434153 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 35.583333 (44.340321) | 34.916667 (30.318351) |
YPG | 479.833333 (597.919357) | 523.333333 (454.413473) |
TCPG | 1.25 (0.942378) | 2.166667 (2.452004) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 29.333333 (22.114459) | 30.166667 (34.139436) |
YPG | 396.416667 (298.859318) | 390.583333 (442.020815) |
TFPG | 1.666667 (2.07683) | 0.916667 (0.795947) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 84.75% | 76.25% |
Defense | 84.57% | 88.27% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 32.875 (39.239878) | 32.125 (26.216405) |
Bronx, NY - December 28, 2016 - 2:00 PM
#44 Pittsburgh beats #62 Northwestern by 9.2354
Team | Pittsburgh (8-4) | Northwestern (6-6) |
SOS | 0.72101 | 0.777447 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 42.333333 (61.045513) | 25.583333 (39.779372) |
YPG | 447.5 (645.30395) | 392.916667 (610.943768) |
TCPG | 1.166667 (0.650977) | 1.166667 (0.51929) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 31.666667 (17.669367) | 33.416667 (14.873959) |
YPG | 461 (257.22878) | 452.5 (201.410465) |
TFPG | 2 (2.88404) | 1.583333 (2.461916) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 108.11% | 74.41% |
Defense | 78.5% | 84.4% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 37.875 (37.959736) | 28.625 (28.724369) |
Orlando, FL - December 28, 2016 - 5:30 PM
#14 West Virginia loses to #30 Miami by 5.0215
Team | West Virginia (10-2) | Miami (8-4) |
SOS | 0.483742 | 0.550624 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 32.583333 (31.523854) | 34.583333 (38.084827) |
YPG | 506.916667 (490.433764) | 431.166667 (474.821429) |
TCPG | 1.666667 (1.72086) | 0.833333 (0.74896) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 32.75 (33.814899) | 33.75 (30.33288) |
YPG | 387.333333 (399.927864) | 444.75 (399.719952) |
TFPG | 1.333333 (1.289979) | 1.416667 (1.560101) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 73.46% | 91.67% |
Defense | 96.63% | 86.73% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 33.166667 (30.928367) | 33.666667 (35.949863) |
Santa Clara, CA - December 28, 2016 - 8:30 PM
#68 Indiana beats #41 Utah by 8.9654
Team | Indiana (6-6) | Utah (8-4) |
SOS | 0.72331 | 0.545462 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 25.916667 (37.491568) | 30.166667 (32.909541) |
YPG | 433.083333 (626.507012) | 427.416667 (466.2791) |
TCPG | 2.166667 (1.19899) | 1.75 (1.590883) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 30.5 (16.87809) | 33.25 (30.226777) |
YPG | 415.583333 (229.975505) | 411.583333 (374.16053) |
TFPG | 1.333333 (1.928827) | 1.416667 (1.545476) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 68.39% | 80.66% |
Defense | 83.88% | 92.33% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 29.583333 (33.859173) | 30.333333 (24.893815) |
Houston, TX - December 28, 2016 - 9:00 PM
#36 Texas A&M beats #37 Kansas State by 15.815
Team | Texas A&M (8-4) | Kansas State (8-4) |
SOS | 0.696945 | 0.471811 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 35.416667 (49.366938) | 32.166667 (30.353174) |
YPG | 468.083333 (652.456678) | 386.75 (364.945809) |
TCPG | 1.583333 (0.959674) | 1 (1.056378) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 29.583333 (17.930754) | 28.916667 (30.546931) |
YPG | 351.083333 (212.795119) | 393.916667 (416.124901) |
TFPG | 1.166667 (1.626205) | 1.25 (1.179528) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 86.47% | 95.05% |
Defense | 96.3% | 83.89% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 32.166667 (39.956934) | 30.875 (24.141964) |
Birmingham Bowl
Birmingham, AL - December 29, 2016 - 2:00 PM
#15 South Florida beats #76 South Carolina by 4.1914
Team | South Florida (10-2) | South Carolina (6-6) |
SOS | 0.437627 | 0.581774 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 43.583333 (38.146487) | 19.25 (22.398299) |
YPG | 515.083333 (450.828748) | 336.416667 (391.43694) |
TCPG | 1.25 (1.405933) | 1.25 (1.045565) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 29.416667 (33.086278) | 30.75 (25.720899) |
YPG | 357.25 (401.815509) | 379.916667 (317.782056) |
TFPG | 1.416667 (1.239943) | 1.583333 (1.842284) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 96.7% | 65.4% |
Defense | 94.11% | 92.5% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 37.166667 (31.933693) | 24.333333 (27.742289) |
Charlotte, NC - December 29, 2016 - 5:30 PM
#59 Arkansas beats #31 Virginia Tech by 10.1145
Team | Arkansas (7-5) | Virginia Tech (9-4) |
SOS | 0.741522 | 0.535927 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 30.833333 (45.72719) | 35 (37.51489) |
YPG | 437.916667 (649.449685) | 448.230769 (480.437943) |
TCPG | 1.75 (0.904673) | 1.846154 (1.7135) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 26.75 (13.828573) | 27.846154 (25.845296) |
YPG | 364.166667 (188.258143) | 356.230769 (330.634164) |
TFPG | 1.166667 (1.730218) | 1.538462 (1.649006) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 80.47% | 89.24% |
Defense | 83.95% | 89.34% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 29.339744 (35.786243) | 30.875 (25.671732) |
San Antonio, TX - December 29, 2016 - 9:00 PM
#23 Oklahoma State loses to #12 Colorado by 15.8752
Team | Oklahoma State (9-3) | Colorado (10-3) |
SOS | 0.524474 | 0.793745 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 38.666667 (40.559323) | 32.846154 (52.142941) |
YPG | 492.083333 (516.169828) | 446.307692 (708.508998) |
TCPG | 1.166667 (1.109561) | 1.461538 (0.602899) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 33.916667 (32.256514) | 29.307692 (12.089716) |
YPG | 403.5 (383.749482) | 382.923077 (157.959598) |
TFPG | 1.5 (1.573422) | 1.076923 (1.709605) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 89.8% | 84.11% |
Defense | 96.06% | 87.47% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 33.987179 (26.324519) | 33.38141 (42.199727) |
Memphis, TN - December 30, 2016 - 12:00 PM
#55 Georgia beats #65 TCU by 1.2266
Team | Georgia (7-5) | TCU (6-6) |
SOS | 0.669129 | 0.547178 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 24 (32.118192) | 31.666667 (34.654607) |
YPG | 382.416667 (511.772164) | 475 (519.8191) |
TCPG | 1.5 (0.992613) | 1.5 (1.358466) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 37.166667 (24.594744) | 32.666667 (29.584371) |
YPG | 486 (321.606612) | 431.416667 (390.709916) |
TFPG | 1.333333 (1.784344) | 1.333333 (1.459141) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 71.72% | 76.19% |
Defense | 87.4% | 86.54% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 28.333333 (30.851281) | 34.416667 (29.624676) |
El Paso, TX - December 30, 2016 - 2:00 PM
#32 Stanford beats #45 North Carolina by 16.9183
Team | Stanford (9-3) | North Carolina (8-4) |
SOS | 0.755051 | 0.403481 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 26.416667 (39.891861) | 33.083333 (26.696993) |
YPG | 374.083333 (564.90399) | 442.416667 (357.013438) |
TCPG | 1.5 (0.734847) | 1.083333 (1.292458) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 32.75 (16.04416) | 30.75 (36.685919) |
YPG | 421.5 (206.492007) | 400.666667 (478.010559) |
TFPG | 1.25 (1.887628) | 1.416667 (1.143196) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 80.71% | 85.46% |
Defense | 88.8% | 87.71% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 28.583333 (38.28889) | 32.916667 (21.370576) |
Nashville, TN - December 30, 2016 - 3:30 PM
#29 Nebraska loses to #48 Tennessee by 24.9612
Team | Nebraska (9-3) | Tennessee (8-4) |
SOS | 0.692317 | 0.92163 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 26.75 (37.03896) | 36.25 (66.818175) |
YPG | 386.083333 (534.58411) | 437.25 (805.965435) |
TCPG | 1.083333 (0.666647) | 2.083333 (0.326542) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 39.25 (24.153116) | 25.583333 (4.009932) |
YPG | 470.5 (289.529703) | 377.166667 (59.117103) |
TFPG | 1.166667 (1.615406) | 1.25 (2.304075) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 79.18% | 94.75% |
Defense | 95.34% | 77.52% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 26.166667 (20.524446) | 37.75 (45.485645) |
Tucson, AZ - December 30, 2016 - 5:30 PM
#72 South Alabama loses to #27 Air Force by 6.4517
Team | South Alabama (6-6) | Air Force (9-3) |
SOS | 0.170885 | 0.342827 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 25.75 (8.800578) | 34.333333 (23.540787) |
YPG | 394.583333 (134.856746) | 451.5 (309.572781) |
TCPG | 1.583333 (2.625531) | 1.416667 (1.86199) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 24.916667 (41.317564) | 32.833333 (43.15436) |
YPG | 342.166667 (567.391032) | 430.5 (565.825953) |
TFPG | 1.083333 (0.370251) | 1.416667 (0.971343) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 74.58% | 86.91% |
Defense | 83.22% | 87.16% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 29.291667 (25.977469) | 29.625 (32.429176) |
Miami, FL - December 30, 2016 - 8:00 PM
#6 Michigan beats #18 Florida State by 4.0509
Team | Michigan (10-2) | Florida State (9-3) |
SOS | 0.866551 | 0.887343 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 41 (71.057182) | 35.25 (62.557682) |
YPG | 439.333333 (761.409479) | 474.333333 (841.792726) |
TCPG | 0.916667 (0.244657) | 1.5 (0.337971) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 30.333333 (8.095906) | 34.166667 (7.698228) |
YPG | 393.666667 (105.068846) | 437.333333 (98.537323) |
TFPG | 1.083333 (1.877527) | 1.083333 (1.922577) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 106.66% | 84.93% |
Defense | 88.06% | 89.29% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 37.583333 (39.377705) | 32.791667 (35.326794) |
Orlando, FL - December 31, 2016 - 11:00 AM
#38 LSU beats #13 Louisville by 7.7258
Team | LSU (7-4) | Louisville (9-3) |
SOS | 0.924542 | 0.622489 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 28.272727 (52.278648) | 45.333333 (56.439003) |
YPG | 425.727273 (787.205488) | 558.75 (695.631458) |
TCPG | 1.454545 (0.219514) | 2.583333 (1.950474) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 34.727273 (5.240901) | 32.916667 (24.852808) |
YPG | 445.272727 (67.198779) | 426.416667 (321.953965) |
TFPG | 1.636364 (3.025774) | 1.25 (1.556223) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 75.9% | 92.72% |
Defense | 89.13% | 88.22% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 30.594697 (38.565728) | 40.030303 (30.839952) |
Jacksonville, FL - December 31, 2016 - 11:00 AM
#50 Georgia Tech loses to #60 Kentucky by 9.5173
Team | Georgia Tech (8-4) | Kentucky (7-5) |
SOS | 0.665323 | 0.746894 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 27.833333 (37.036314) | 31 (46.307428) |
YPG | 388.583333 (517.066858) | 428.25 (639.714711) |
TCPG | 1.25 (0.836693) | 2.25 (1.138977) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 36.833333 (24.654539) | 29.416667 (14.89107) |
YPG | 468.5 (313.592349) | 383.083333 (193.92138) |
TFPG | 1.25 (1.663308) | 1.25 (1.867235) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 81.86% | 82.73% |
Defense | 89.85% | 87.76% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 28.625 (25.963692) | 33.916667 (35.480984) |
Atlanta, GA - December 31, 2016 - 3:00 PM
#4 Washington loses to #1 Alabama by 20.7591
Team | Washington (12-1) | Alabama (13-0) |
SOS | 0.536846 | 0.86379 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 44.461538 (47.737998) | 40.538462 (70.033435) |
YPG | 477.153846 (512.316267) | 471.307692 (814.221743) |
TCPG | 0.923077 (0.855054) | 1.461538 (0.398152) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 29.846154 (27.646731) | 30.923077 (8.424065) |
YPG | 390.384615 (361.616392) | 396.538462 (108.025008) |
TFPG | 1.846154 (1.982201) | 1.461538 (2.524925) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 106.49% | 98.3% |
Defense | 87.38% | 89.12% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 37.692308 (28.081031) | 35.192308 (48.840083) |
Glendale, AZ - December 31, 2016 - 7:00 PM
#3 Ohio State beats #5 Clemson by 11.1642
Team | Ohio State (11-1) | Clemson (12-1) |
SOS | 0.988941 | 0.861552 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 42.666667 (84.389632) | 40.153846 (69.189253) |
YPG | 479.5 (948.394419) | 505.692308 (871.360438) |
TCPG | 0.75 (0.016589) | 1.846154 (0.511193) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 35 (0.77413) | 28.538462 (7.902186) |
YPG | 440.75 (9.748509) | 415.384615 (115.018338) |
TFPG | 1.166667 (2.307529) | 1.461538 (2.518383) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 101.69% | 90.75% |
Defense | 90.75% | 78.52% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 35.602564 (46.145909) | 37.576923 (34.981691) |
Arlington, TX - January 2, 2017 - 1:00 PM
#2 Western Michigan loses to #9 Wisconsin by 39.6096
Team | Western Michigan (13-0) | Wisconsin (10-3) |
SOS | 0.192128 | 0.916908 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 43.538462 (16.729915) | 28.692308 (52.616413) |
YPG | 495.923077 (190.561418) | 383.692308 (703.621093) |
TCPG | 0.538462 (0.870016) | 1.230769 (0.204534) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 29.461538 (47.602304) | 25.692308 (4.26965) |
YPG | 368.692308 (595.712384) | 325.076923 (54.022583) |
TFPG | 1.153846 (0.443372) | 1.076923 (1.974879) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 100.33% | 85.46% |
Defense | 91.32% | 90.33% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 34.615385 (10.499783) | 29.076923 (50.109358) |
Outback Bowl
Tampa, FL - January 2, 2017 - 1:00 PM
#40 Florida beats #43 Iowa by 14.5106
Team | Florida (8-4) | Iowa (8-4) |
SOS | 0.889472 | 0.588356 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 23.416667 (41.656939) | 26.75 (31.477046) |
YPG | 345.083333 (613.883925) | 333.25 (392.139274) |
TCPG | 1.666667 (0.368427) | 0.75 (0.617466) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 32.083333 (7.092213) | 31.5 (25.933572) |
YPG | 432.5 (95.60672) | 402.166667 (331.098991) |
TFPG | 1.25 (2.22368) | 1.25 (1.47089) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 77.55% | 91.74% |
Defense | 84.78% | 89.52% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 27.458333 (33.795255) | 29.416667 (19.28463) |
Rose Bowl
Pasadena, CA - January 2, 2017 - 5:00 PM
#21 USC loses to #7 Penn State by 5.4373
Team | USC (9-3) | Penn State (11-2) |
SOS | 0.891441 | 0.913181 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 32.916667 (58.686533) | 36.692308 (67.013436) |
YPG | 468.916667 (836.023085) | 430.076923 (785.476149) |
TCPG | 1.583333 (0.34377) | 1.307692 (0.227065) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 34.25 (7.436292) | 28.153846 (4.888578) |
YPG | 464.25 (100.797032) | 392.692308 (68.186307) |
TFPG | 1.416667 (2.52575) | 1.769231 (3.231256) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 80.23% | 97.5% |
Defense | 84.31% | 81.94% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 30.535256 (31.787555) | 35.471154 (37.224864) |
New Orleans, LA - January 2, 2017 - 8:30 PM
#26 Auburn loses to #8 Oklahoma by 4.9721
Team | Auburn (8-4) | Oklahoma (10-2) |
SOS | 0.875953 | 0.793898 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 32.25 (56.498969) | 44.666667 (70.921555) |
YPG | 449.25 (787.043771) | 557.333333 (884.931637) |
TCPG | 1.083333 (0.268769) | 1.416667 (0.583956) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 27.916667 (6.925958) | 27.666667 (11.404311) |
YPG | 380.166667 (94.317069) | 367.166667 (151.347569) |
TFPG | 1.583333 (2.773851) | 1.583333 (2.51401) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 82.04% | 91.59% |
Defense | 83.92% | 86.12% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 29.958333 (33.95164) | 36.291667 (38.923756) |
Tampa, FL - January 9, 2017 - 8:30 PM
#1 Alabama loses to #3 Ohio State by 11.0031
Team | Alabama (13-0) | Ohio State (11-1) |
SOS | 0.86379 | 0.988941 |
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 40.538462 (70.033435) | 42.666667 (84.389632) |
YPG | 471.307692 (814.221743) | 479.5 (948.394419) |
TCPG | 1.461538 (0.398152) | 0.75 (0.016589) |
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled) | ||
PPG | 30.923077 (8.424065) | 35 (0.77413) |
YPG | 396.538462 (108.025008) | 440.75 (9.748509) |
TFPG | 1.461538 (2.524925) | 1.166667 (2.307529) |
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds) | ||
Offense | 98.3% | 101.69% |
Defense | 89.12% | 90.75% |
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled) | ||
Score | 37.769231 (35.403783) | 36.794872 (46.406848) |
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