2015 Annual Bowl Prediction Catastrophe

Gildan New Mexico T-Shirt Bowl
Albuquerque, NM - December 19, 2015 - 2:00 PM
#73 Arizona beats #65 New Mexico by 19.797

Team	Arizona	New Mexico
SOS	0.551798	0.269739
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	36.75 (40.557153)	29.333333 (15.824688)
YPG	494.166667 (545.360357)	378.166667 (204.012597)
TCPG	1.5 (1.344606)	1.5 (2.190783)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	36.916667 (33.092248)	32.833333 (47.953806)
YPG	488.583333 (437.968054)	460 (671.84012)
TFPG	1.083333 (1.195562)	1.5 (0.809217)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	84.99%	88.65%
Defense	86.35%	81.57%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	34.791667 (44.255479)	33.125 (24.458468)

Royal Purrple Las Vegas Sin City Bowl
Las Vegas, NV - December 19, 2015 - 3:30 PM
#27 BYU loses to #33 Utah by 8.4072

Team	BYU	Utah
SOS	0.498691	0.698158
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	34.166667 (34.077218)	30.25 (42.238559)
YPG	428 (426.879496)	376.833333 (526.178413)
TCPG	1.25 (1.253273)	1.75 (1.056447)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	28.5 (28.574613)	33 (19.921572)
YPG	401.583333 (402.634679)	458.583333 (276.839421)
TFPG	1.333333 (1.329843)	1.583333 (2.210834)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	91.23%	91.74%
Defense	81.11%	82.24%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	33.583333 (26.999395)	29.375 (35.406586)

Raycom Media Camellia Bowl
Montgomery, AL - December 19, 2015 - 5:30 PM
#48 Ohio beats #13 Appalachian State by 1.3323

Team	Ohio	Appalachian State
SOS	0.368661	0.257387
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	27.416667 (20.214912)	37.166667 (19.132434)
YPG	425.166667 (313.484737)	469.583333 (241.729291)
TCPG	1.166667 (1.473124)	1.583333 (2.351608)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	34.916667 (44.088507)	30.75 (45.6707)
YPG	479.333333 (605.243655)	410.833333 (610.180348)
TFPG	1.166667 (0.860209)	1.666667 (0.857957)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	73.7%	90.46%
Defense	83.25%	85.54%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	29.083333 (32.942806)	36.041667 (31.61047)

Autonation Cure Not-Bowl-Eligible Bowl
Orlando, FL - December 19, 2015 - 7:00 PM
#84 San Jose State beats #41 Georgia Southern by 4.5053

Team	San Jose State	Georgia Southern
SOS	0.36093	0.27898
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	27.1 (19.562406)	34.666667 (19.342613)
YPG	399.1 (288.094326)	417.5 (232.9483)
TCPG	1.4 (1.789396)	1.75 (2.52357)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	31.2 (39.877968)	33.75 (48.66885)
YPG	432.7 (553.051178)	463.5 (668.38554)
TFPG	1.1 (0.794046)	1.583333 (0.883437)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	77.6%	94.9%
Defense	82.41%	83.22%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	30.425 (34.115628)	32.933333 (29.610291)

R+L Carriers New Orleans Bourbon Bowl
New Orleans, LA - December 19, 2015 - 9:00 PM
#30 Arkansas State beats #43 Louisiana Tech by 3.6546

Team	Arkansas State	Louisiana Tech
SOS	0.265531	0.283779
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	41 (21.773542)	36.75 (20.857757)
YPG	448.083333 (237.960031)	465.416667 (264.150953)
TCPG	1.916667 (2.815465)	1.666667 (2.387403)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	24.333333 (35.744158)	29.416667 (42.137669)
YPG	354.416667 (520.61611)	433.583333 (621.082977)
TFPG	1.416667 (0.752338)	2.5 (1.418895)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	104.57%	90.24%
Defense	78.47%	77.54%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	35.208333 (31.955605)	30.541667 (28.300957)

Miami Beach Bowl
Miami, FL - December 21, 2015 - 2:30 PM
#8 Western Kentucky beats #36 South Florida by 6.0654

Team	Western Kentucky	South Florida
SOS	0.446646	0.450336
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	44.230769 (39.510992)	33.5 (30.172512)
YPG	519.384615 (463.962122)	428.75 (386.16312)
TCPG	1.230769 (1.362102)	1.25 (1.37416)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	25.538462 (28.26362)	28.25 (31.056016)
YPG	370.615385 (410.163011)	419.25 (460.893264)
TFPG	1.461538 (1.305581)	1.583333 (1.426064)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	97.33%	89.3%
Defense	78.75%	77.01%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	36.240385 (35.283504)	29.519231 (29.218066)

Famous Idaho Potato Smurf-Turf Bowl
Boise, ID - December 22, 2015 - 3:30 PM
#61 Akron loses to #70 Utah State by 12.903

Team	Akron	Utah State
SOS	0.364139	0.556064
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	24 (17.478672)	29.666667 (32.993131)
YPG	363.75 (264.911123)	371.166667 (412.784843)
TCPG	1.416667 (1.801606)	1.75 (1.553776)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	30.666667 (38.999475)	32.333333 (28.707861)
YPG	442.583333 (562.842962)	450.75 (400.208304)
TFPG	1.5 (1.092417)	1.333333 (1.482837)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	75.41%	91.35%
Defense	79.19%	81.98%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	28.166667 (23.093267)	30.166667 (35.996303)

Marmot Boca Raton Old Retired People Bowl
Boca Raton, FL - December 22, 2015 - 7:00 PM
#26 Temple loses to #19 Toledo by 4.9649

Team	Temple	Toledo
SOS	0.505794	0.502283
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	30.769231 (31.125785)	35.272727 (35.433783)
YPG	368.846154 (373.120343)	463.272727 (465.388031)
TCPG	1.384615 (1.36857)	1.272727 (1.266916)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	35.076923 (34.670452)	29.181818 (29.048574)
YPG	472.615385 (467.138718)	446.818182 (444.77801)
TFPG	0.692308 (0.70033)	1.363636 (1.369863)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	95.34%	87.02%
Defense	84.82%	74.64%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	29.975524 (30.087179)	35.174825 (35.052117)

San Diego County Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl
San Diego, CA - December 23, 2015 - 4:30 PM
#38 Boise State loses to #53 Northern Illinois by 6.2104

Team	Boise State	Northern Illinois
SOS	0.290562	0.440821
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	37.545455 (21.818565)	33 (29.094186)
YPG	488.090909 (283.641341)	426.615385 (376.122041)
TCPG	1.818182 (2.579775)	1.846154 (2.064661)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	28.363636 (40.244483)	31.384615 (35.099236)
YPG	437.727273 (621.080722)	423.538462 (473.667627)
TFPG	1.636364 (0.95093)	1.307692 (1.152916)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	87.91%	88.4%
Defense	74.05%	84.69%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	34.465035 (28.4589)	30.681818 (34.669334)

GoDaddy Danica Patrick Bowl
Mobile, AL - December 23, 2015 - 8:00 PM
#41 Georgia Southern loses to #11 Bowling Green by 26.6465

Team	Georgia Southern	Bowling Green
SOS	0.27898	0.5721
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	34.666667 (19.342613)	43.384615 (49.640677)
YPG	417.5 (232.9483)	561 (641.8962)
TCPG	1.75 (2.52357)	1 (0.8558)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	33.75 (48.66885)	30 (25.674)
YPG	463.5 (668.38554)	447 (382.5426)
TFPG	1.583333 (0.883437)	1.538462 (1.760308)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	94.9%	88.38%
Defense	83.22%	76.7%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	32.333333 (22.508307)	38.567308 (49.154763)

Popeyes Bahamas Bowl
Nassau, Bahamas - December 24, 2015 - 12:00 PM
#60 Middle Tennessee loses to #55 Western Michigan by 21.0633

Team	Middle Tennessee	Western Michigan
SOS	0.35881	0.672213
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	34.25 (24.578485)	35.25 (47.391017)
YPG	464 (332.97568)	480.583333 (646.108729)
TCPG	2.25 (2.885355)	1.333333 (0.874099)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	33.166667 (42.53227)	35.416667 (23.218246)
YPG	445.416667 (571.193425)	499.75 (327.623107)
TFPG	1.916667 (1.375438)	1.333333 (1.792568)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	84.36%	83.83%
Defense	85.1%	80.99%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	34.833333 (23.898365)	34.208333 (44.961643)

Hawaii Aloha Bowl
Honolulu, HI - December 24, 2015 - 8:00 PM
#84 San Jose State loses to #63 Cincinnati by 20.9104

Team	San Jose State	Cincinnati
SOS	0.36093	0.581886
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	27.1 (19.562406)	36.083333 (41.992773)
YPG	399.1 (288.094326)	559.416667 (651.033453)
TCPG	1.4 (1.789396)	2.5 (2.09057)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	31.2 (39.877968)	24.5 (20.487586)
YPG	432.7 (553.051178)	363.416667 (303.899192)
TFPG	1.1 (0.794046)	1.166667 (1.357734)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	77.6%	73.72%
Defense	82.41%	77.05%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	25.8 (20.024996)	33.641667 (40.935371)

St. Petersburg Bowl
St. Petersburg, FL - December 26, 2015 - 11:00 AM
#72 Connecticut beats #34 Marshall by 11.8516

Team	Connecticut	Marshall
SOS	0.480171	0.187965
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	17.75 (17.046071)	32.583333 (12.249053)
YPG	318.416667 (305.788899)	401.333333 (150.87324)
TCPG	1.25 (1.299573)	1.916667 (3.112801)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	34.666667 (36.041477)	33.833333 (54.947702)
YPG	447.083333 (464.813764)	435.833333 (707.823842)
TFPG	1.666667 (1.60057)	1.25 (0.469913)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	63.71%	92.79%
Defense	88.62%	88.72%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	25.791667 (35.996886)	33.625 (24.145265)

Hyundai Sun Bowl
El Paso, TX - December 26, 2015 - 2:00 PM
#44 Miami (FL) beats #52 Washington State by 11.6101

Team	Miami (FL)	Washington State
SOS	0.680439	0.447608
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	28.916667 (39.352056)	32.416667 (29.019919)
YPG	401.416667 (546.279111)	476.916667 (426.943431)
TCPG	0.916667 (0.585862)	2 (2.209568)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	37.166667 (23.754034)	33.166667 (36.642003)
YPG	486.416667 (310.879593)	452.916667 (500.375087)
TFPG	1.5 (2.041317)	1.333333 (1.193621)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	82.33%	77.68%
Defense	87.32%	83.69%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	31.041667 (37.997029)	34.791667 (26.386977)

Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Bowl
Dallas, TX - December 26, 2015 - 2:20 PM
#64 Washington beats #35 Southern Mississippi by 27.0031

Team	Washington	Southern Mississippi
SOS	0.724105	0.22853
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	29.5 (42.722195)	40.615385 (18.563668)
YPG	388.333333 (562.388217)	519.846154 (237.600883)
TCPG	1.75 (0.965633)	2 (3.08588)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	33.666667 (18.57693)	31.384615 (48.424578)
YPG	481.75 (265.824833)	461.538462 (712.126154)
TFPG	1.833333 (2.655052)	2 (0.91412)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	86.82%	89.29%
Defense	79.87%	77.71%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	30.442308 (45.573387)	37.141026 (18.570299)

New Era Pinstripe Yankee Bowl
Bronx, NY - December 26, 2015 - 3:30 PM
#68 Indiana beats #62 Duke by 23.1668

Team	Indiana	Duke
SOS	0.686404	0.365472
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	36.166667 (49.649889)	30.5 (22.293792)
YPG	490.75 (673.705526)	431.333333 (315.280512)
TCPG	0.916667 (0.574926)	1.5 (1.903584)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	28.083333 (17.613642)	28.833333 (36.591115)
YPG	417.916667 (262.11399)	379.083333 (481.077979)
TFPG	1.666667 (2.288013)	1.083333 (0.791856)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	84.22%	80.81%
Defense	76.8%	86.93%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	32.5 (43.120502)	29.291667 (19.953717)

Camping World Independence Bowl
Shreveport, LA - December 26, 2015 - 5:45 PM
#75 Tulsa beats #66 Virginia Tech by 4.24

Team	Tulsa	Virginia Tech
SOS	0.544473	0.559779
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	35.916667 (39.111311)	29 (32.467182)
YPG	502.75 (547.467602)	367.416667 (411.344269)
TCPG	1.666667 (1.518423)	1.583333 (1.394033)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	33.5 (30.520309)	36.75 (32.356244)
YPG	435.416667 (396.688096)	471.833333 (415.421884)
TFPG	1.583333 (1.724165)	1.5 (1.679337)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	81.65%	90.21%
Defense	87.93%	89.01%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	36.333333 (35.733777)	31.25 (31.493746)

Foster Farms Not-Bowl-Eligible Bowl II
Santa Clara, CA - December 26, 2015 - 2:30 PM
#40 UCLA loses to #79 Nebraska by 13.4518

Team	UCLA	Nebraska
SOS	0.705152	0.903456
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	32.5 (45.83488)	32.5 (58.72464)
YPG	472.416667 (666.251115)	442.5 (799.55856)
TCPG	1.416667 (0.835403)	2.166667 (0.418357)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	33.833333 (19.951381)	30.75 (5.937456)
YPG	429 (252.979584)	445.916667 (86.101157)
TFPG	1.25 (1.76288)	1.25 (2.25864)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	78.62%	83.94%
Defense	90.13%	78.81%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	31.625 (25.886168)	33.166667 (39.338011)

Military Bowl Presented by Northrup Grumman USNA Bowl
Annapolis, MD - December 18, 2015 - 1:00 PM
#45 Pittsburgh loses to #10 Navy by 0.2363

Team	Pittsburgh	Navy
SOS	0.684957	0.593965
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	28.25 (38.700071)	36.166667 (42.963468)
YPG	381 (521.937234)	411.416667 (488.734201)
TCPG	1 (0.630086)	0.583333 (0.473708)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	35.333333 (22.263039)	32.083333 (26.053913)
YPG	464.416667 (292.62244)	426.583333 (346.415528)
TFPG	1.083333 (1.484074)	1.166667 (1.385918)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	84.74%	100.47%
Defense	86.95%	85.95%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	30.166667 (32.376992)	35.75 (32.613254)

Quick Lane Not-Bowl-Eligible Bowl III
Detroit, MI - December 28, 2015 - 5:00 PM
#56 Central Michigan loses to #82 Minnesota by 22.4138

Team	Central Michigan	Minnesota
SOS	0.483715	0.936018
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	26.833333 (25.959372)	22.583333 (42.276813)
YPG	413.833333 (400.354782)	357.083333 (668.472855)
TCPG	1.25 (1.290713)	1.75 (0.223937)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	32 (33.04224)	35.416667 (4.532058)
YPG	457.416667 (472.314728)	455.416667 (58.276938)
TFPG	1.666667 (1.612383)	1.5 (2.808054)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	74.1%	72.28%
Defense	79.95%	88.88%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	31.125 (15.245715)	27.291667 (37.659527)

Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl
Fort Worth, TX - December 19, 2015 - 2:00 PM
#54 California beats #50 Air Force by 22.6987

Team	California	Air Force
SOS	0.775603	0.418195
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	36.5 (56.619019)	33.615385 (28.115572)
YPG	524 (812.831944)	452.692308 (378.627319)
TCPG	1.833333 (0.822789)	1.538462 (1.790169)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	42.333333 (18.998946)	30.846154 (35.892893)
YPG	526.333333 (236.215242)	421.615385 (490.595878)
TFPG	0.916667 (1.421939)	1.307692 (1.093741)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	79.61%	84.86%
Defense	91.92%	83.61%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	33.673077 (46.255956)	37.974359 (23.557259)

Russell Athletic Tangerine Bowl
Orlando, FL - December 29, 2015 - 5:30 PM
#9 North Carolina loses to #20 Baylor by 5.9406

Team	North Carolina	Baylor
SOS	0.406786	0.464315
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	40.923077 (33.29387)	48 (44.57424)
YPG	486.923077 (396.146982)	604.583333 (561.434221)
TCPG	1.307692 (1.551483)	2.083333 (2.232021)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	26.769231 (31.759765)	29.083333 (31.159011)
YPG	387.076923 (459.2389)	387.416667 (415.066594)
TFPG	1.307692 (1.063902)	1.25 (1.160788)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	96.05%	90.74%
Defense	79.04%	85.79%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	35.003205 (32.22644)	37.384615 (38.167002)

Nova Home Loans Arizona Bowl
Tucson, AZ - December 29, 2015 - 7:30 PM
#74 Nevada loses to #67 Colorado State by 3.1291

Team	Nevada	Colorado State
SOS	0.2246	0.290926
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	26.083333 (11.716633)	30.166667 (17.552535)
YPG	377.583333 (169.610433)	417 (242.632284)
TCPG	1 (1.5508)	2.166667 (3.072654)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	32.583333 (50.530233)	35.333333 (50.107896)
YPG	451.583333 (700.315433)	451.916667 (640.884717)
TFPG	1.416667 (0.636367)	1.5 (0.872778)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	78.95%	82.68%
Defense	82.46%	89.35%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	30.708333 (30.912265)	31.375 (34.041384)

Advocare V100 Texas Bowl
Houston, TX - December 29, 2015 - 9:00 PM
#31 LSU beats #59 Texas Tech by 7.3663

Team	LSU	Texas Tech
SOS	0.906371	0.609627
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	30.727273 (55.700618)	46.583333 (56.796916)
YPG	419.727273 (760.857256)	594.5 (724.846503)
TCPG	0.818182 (0.153211)	1.833333 (1.431368)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	27 (5.055966)	26.75 (20.884956)
YPG	423.636364 (79.329298)	387.583333 (302.604137)
TFPG	2 (3.625484)	1.083333 (1.320859)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	83.67%	89.55%
Defense	72.84%	78.88%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	28.738636 (38.292787)	36.791667 (30.926441)

Birmingham Belay My Last, Welcome Back UAB! Bowl
Birmingham, AL - December 30, 2015 - 12:00 PM
#71 Auburn beats #23 Memphis by 0.0839

Team	Auburn	Memphis
SOS	0.785189	0.620822
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	27.166667 (42.661936)	42.666667 (52.976811)
YPG	367.25 (576.721321)	510.416667 (633.755792)
TCPG	1.166667 (0.501226)	1.083333 (0.821552)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	41.5 (17.829313)	37.333333 (28.311957)
YPG	499.833333 (214.739396)	485.75 (368.371427)
TFPG	1.583333 (2.486432)	1.416667 (1.758996)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	84.54%	95.53%
Defense	94.89%	87.84%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	32.25 (35.486947)	42.083333 (35.403062)

Belk Queen City Bowl
Charlotte, NC - December 30, 2015 - 3:30 PM
#49 NC State loses to #42 Mississippi State by 12.3309

Team	NC State	Mississippi State
SOS	0.522678	0.764847
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	33.666667 (35.193652)	33 (50.479902)
YPG	412.416667 (431.122237)	451.416667 (690.529367)
TCPG	0.916667 (0.87509)	1.416667 (0.666267)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	25.75 (24.582083)	32.333333 (15.206561)
YPG	355.666667 (339.535049)	461.583333 (217.085411)
TFPG	1 (1.045356)	1.5 (2.294541)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	93.29%	83.55%
Defense	82.74%	80.06%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	33 (25.200106)	29.375 (37.530993)

Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl
Nashville, TN - December 30, 2015 - 7:00 PM
#46 Texas A&M loses to #58 Louisville by 0.3106

Team	Texas A&M	Louisville
SOS	0.652808	0.635625
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	28.333333 (36.992453)	28.833333 (36.654375)
YPG	423 (552.275568)	406.25 (516.445313)
TCPG	1.833333 (1.273037)	2.25 (1.639688)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	32.166667 (22.336019)	29.333333 (21.376667)
YPG	437.416667 (303.735135)	429.083333 (312.694479)
TFPG	1.416667 (1.849623)	1.666667 (2.11875)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	76.55%	81.11%
Defense	84.04%	78.13%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	28.833333 (29.18456)	30.5 (29.495197)

Holiday Bowl
San Diego, CA - December 30, 2015 - 10:30 PM
#39 USC beats #25 Wisconsin by 35.2161

Team	USC	Wisconsin
SOS	0.973699	0.517889
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	34.923077 (68.00913)	27.083333 (28.052321)
YPG	449.615385 (875.580101)	377.333333 (390.833565)
TCPG	0.923077 (0.048556)	1.5 (1.446333)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	37.769231 (1.986737)	33.666667 (32.462141)
YPG	470.846154 (24.767449)	399.25 (384.965634)
TFPG	0.923077 (1.797598)	1.5 (1.553667)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	88.77%	82.03%
Defense	91.68%	96.37%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	34.294872 (50.235635)	32.426282 (15.019529)

Chick-Fil-A Peach Bowl
Atlanta, GA - December 31, 2015 - 12:00 PM
#4 Houston loses to #12 Florida State by 9.6782

Team	Houston	Florida State
SOS	0.346643	0.55842
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	40.615385 (28.158078)	32.333333 (36.11116)
YPG	486.923077 (337.576952)	424.916667 (474.56393)
TCPG	1 (1.306714)	0.833333 (0.735967)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	30.692308 (40.106068)	32.5 (28.7027)
YPG	432.769231 (565.505613)	429.75 (379.53801)
TFPG	1.615385 (1.119924)	1.083333 (1.20991)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	95.33%	86.96%
Defense	81.05%	86.43%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	36.557692 (28.430389)	31.512821 (38.108614)

Capital One Orange Bowl (SEMI)
Miami, FL - December 31, 2015 - 4:00 PM
#3 Oklahoma beats #1 Clemson by 11.4562

Team	Oklahoma	Clemson
SOS	0.739222	0.643832
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	45.75 (67.638813)	38.461538 (49.525538)
YPG	542.666667 (802.302277)	510.692308 (657.6001)
TCPG	1.333333 (0.695408)	1.923077 (1.369877)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	36.5 (19.036794)	33.461538 (23.835858)
YPG	492.75 (256.996719)	434.384615 (309.427799)
TFPG	1.25 (1.848055)	1.153846 (1.485766)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	96.35%	86.07%
Defense	84.66%	88.04%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	39.605769 (45.737336)	37.480769 (34.281166)

Goodyear Cotton Bowl (SEMI)
Arlington, TX - December 31, 2015 - 8:00 PM
#5 Michigan State loses to #2 Alabama by 0.9983

Team	Michigan State	Alabama
SOS	0.845468	0.826806
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	32.076923 (54.240024)	34.076923 (56.350009)
YPG	396.769231 (670.911376)	422.538462 (698.71467)
TCPG	0.923077 (0.28529)	1.307692 (0.452969)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	32.307692 (9.985145)	29.153846 (10.098542)
YPG	470.615385 (145.450273)	388.230769 (134.47848)
TFPG	1.769231 (2.991656)	0.769231 (1.272009)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	92.39%	92.17%
Defense	78.46%	85.82%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	30.615385 (32.169283)	33.192308 (33.167577)

Outback Bowl
Tampa, FL - January 1, 2016 - 12:00 PM
#24 Northwestern loses to #37 Tennessee by 11.7534

Team	Northwestern	Tennessee
SOS	0.653976	0.702532
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	20.666667 (27.031008)	34.333333 (48.240531)
YPG	332.583333 (435.003036)	422.5 (593.63954)
TCPG	1.333333 (0.922731)	1 (0.594936)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	28.25 (19.550356)	29 (17.253144)
YPG	449.75 (311.248588)	408.666667 (243.130512)
TFPG	1.75 (2.288916)	1.083333 (1.522153)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	71.02%	92.87%
Defense	71.79%	81.1%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	24.833333 (22.142076)	31.291667 (33.895443)

Buffalo Wild Wings Citrus Bowl
Orlando, FL - January 1, 2016 - 1:00 PM
#28 Michigan beats #21 Florida by 6.7677

Team	Michigan	Florida
SOS	0.794762	0.768185
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	30.583333 (48.612942)	24.461538 (37.581974)
YPG	387 (615.145788)	338.769231 (520.474883)
TCPG	1.333333 (0.547301)	1.153846 (0.534958)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	33.083333 (13.579914)	34.692308 (16.084395)
YPG	442.416667 (181.601424)	435.230769 (201.786042)
TFPG	1.166667 (1.854445)	0.846154 (1.300005)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	90.32%	82.52%
Defense	85.46%	91.1%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	32.637821 (32.348668)	28.772436 (25.580944)

Battlefrog Fiesta Bowl
Glendale, AZ - January 1, 2016 - 1:00 PM
#18 Notre Dame beats #6 Ohio State by 8.7035

Team	Notre Dame	Ohio State
SOS	0.809537	0.685041
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	34.75 (56.262822)	35 (47.95287)
YPG	471.916667 (764.068005)	428.916667 (587.651005)
TCPG	1.5 (0.571389)	1.416667 (0.892384)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	30 (11.42778)	32.583333 (20.524828)
YPG	389.083333 (148.211958)	446.916667 (281.520853)
TFPG	1.166667 (1.88892)	1.25 (1.712603)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	84.16%	93.26%
Defense	88.12%	83.32%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	33.666667 (38.393825)	32.5 (29.690325)

Rose Bowl Game Presented by Northwest Mutual
Pasadena, CA - January 1, 2016 - 5:00 PM
#14 Stanford beats #7 Iowa by 23.3319

Team	Stanford	Iowa
SOS	0.763095	0.471978
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	37.230769 (56.821228)	32.076923 (30.279204)
YPG	435.923077 (665.301441)	393.769231 (371.700828)
TCPG	0.923077 (0.437363)	1.076923 (1.137278)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	31.769231 (15.052579)	33.307692 (35.174389)
YPG	459.384615 (217.661025)	447.461538 (472.539073)
TFPG	1.230769 (1.878388)	1.307692 (1.234404)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	97.61%	93.1%
Defense	79.04%	85.07%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	35.269231 (45.997808)	31.923077 (22.665892)

Allstate Sugar Bowl
New Orleans, LA - January 1, 2016 - 8:30 PM
#16 Oklahoma State loses to #22 Ole Miss by 16.9814

Team	Oklahoma State	Ole Miss
SOS	0.536703	0.735341
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	41.166667 (44.188547)	40.25 (59.194951)
YPG	489.083333 (524.984985)	514.75 (757.03356)
TCPG	1.166667 (1.081026)	1.833333 (0.970416)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	39.166667 (36.291598)	32.75 (17.335165)
YPG	501.5 (464.686891)	415.083333 (219.71108)
TFPG	1.083333 (1.162857)	1.583333 (2.32858)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	96.2%	89.36%
Defense	89.26%	90.17%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	36.958333 (30.761856)	39.708333 (47.743274)

Taxslayer Gator Bowl
Jacksonville, FL - January 2, 2016 - 12:00 PM
#57 Penn State beats #29 Georgia by 19.5395

Team	Penn State	Georgia
SOS	0.854372	0.486409
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	23.666667 (40.440275)	26.5 (25.779677)
YPG	344 (587.807936)	381.666667 (371.292203)
TCPG	1.416667 (0.412613)	1.416667 (1.455175)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	32.25 (9.393006)	32.916667 (33.811408)
YPG	419.416667 (122.157621)	429.916667 (441.602662)
TFPG	1.75 (2.990302)	1.333333 (1.297091)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	78.63%	79.35%
Defense	87.88%	87.5%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	28.291667 (37.125841)	29.375 (17.586342)

Autozone Liberty Bowl
Memphis, TN - January 2, 2016 - 3:20 PM
#78 Kansas State loses to #51 Arkansas by 16.3111

Team	Kansas State	Arkansas
SOS	0.623086	0.849006
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	30.5 (38.008246)	35.166667 (59.713422)
YPG	340.583333 (424.425414)	456.833333 (775.708482)
TCPG	1.5 (1.130742)	0.833333 (0.251657)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	26.333333 (19.850804)	29.583333 (8.933812)
YPG	389.916667 (293.930101)	411.5 (124.268062)
TFPG	1.25 (1.557715)	1.25 (2.122515)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	102.35%	87.98%
Defense	77.18%	82.16%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	30.041667 (23.471029)	30.75 (39.782113)

Valero Alamo Bowl
San Antonio, TX - January 2, 2016 - 6:45 PM
#32 Oregon beats #15 TCU by 20.9571

Team	Oregon	TCU
SOS	0.706166	0.499279
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	43.166667 (60.965665)	41.666667 (41.606583)
YPG	548.333333 (774.428713)	564.333333 (563.519565)
TCPG	1.333333 (0.783557)	1.5 (1.502163)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	33.333333 (19.588933)	42.083333 (42.144018)
YPG	436.583333 (256.566054)	487.5 (488.202975)
TFPG	1.333333 (1.883109)	1.166667 (1.164984)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	89.97%	84.38%
Defense	87.26%	98.66%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	42.625 (51.554841)	37.5 (30.597758)

Motel 6 Cactus Bowl
Tempe, AZ - January 2, 2016 - 10:15 PM
#47 West Virginia loses to #69 Arizona State by 9.5669

Team	West Virginia	Arizona State
SOS	0.602096	0.729395
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	33.25 (40.039384)	34 (49.59886)
YPG	463.416667 (558.042643)	473.833333 (691.223328)
TCPG	1.666667 (1.326347)	1.583333 (0.856916)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	34.416667 (27.389059)	32.916667 (17.814829)
YPG	430.583333 (342.661661)	439.416667 (237.816694)
TFPG	1.333333 (1.605589)	1.916667 (2.796014)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	82%	82.01%
Defense	91.35%	85.61%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	33.083333 (28.927107)	34.208333 (38.493959)

CFP National Championship Game (FINAL) presented by AT&T
Glendale, AZ - January 11, 2016 - 8:30 PM
#2 Alabama* loses to #3 Oklahoma* by 1.1753

Team	Alabama	Oklahoma
SOS	0.826806	0.739222
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	34.076923 (56.350009)	45.75 (67.638813)
YPG	422.538462 (698.71467)	542.666667 (802.302277)
TCPG	1.307692 (0.452969)	1.333333 (0.695408)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	29.153846 (10.098542)	36.5 (19.036794)
YPG	388.230769 (134.47848)	492.75 (256.996719)
TFPG	0.769231 (1.272009)	1.25 (1.848055)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	92.17%	96.35%
Defense	85.82%	84.66%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	35.288462 (37.693401)	37.451923 (38.868678)

*Prediction based on winners of semi-final games