2014 Annual Bowl Prediction Catastrophe

R+L Carriers New Orleans Bourbon Bowl
New Orleans, LA - December 20, 2014 - 11:00 AM
#58 Nevada beats #44 Louisiana-Lafayette by 7.1967

Team	Nevada	Louisiana-Lafayette
SOS	0.492057	0.373174
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	31.333333 (30.835572)	30.583333 (22.82581)
YPG	413 (406.439082)	416.916667 (311.16492)
TCPG	1.25 (1.269858)	1.083333 (1.358123)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	28.166667 (28.614122)	27.916667 (34.997785)
YPG	450.083333 (457.233357)	421.916667 (528.936673)
TFPG	2 (1.968228)	1.333333 (0.995131)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	86.71%	83.84%
Defense	71.52%	75.62%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	29.625 (32.916679)	29.375 (25.719966)

Gildan New Mexico T-Shirt Bowl
Albuquerque, NM - December 20, 2014 - 2:20 PM
#35 Utah State beats #62 UTEP by 4.2263

Team	Utah State	UTEP
SOS	0.387525	0.391788
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	27.384615 (21.224446)	28.333333 (22.20132)
YPG	381.230769 (295.472908)	357.75 (280.324314)
TCPG	1.461538 (1.790312)	0.916667 (1.115055)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	20.769231 (25.441269)	28.666667 (34.870821)
YPG	362.307692 (443.808808)	370.416667 (450.583723)
TFPG	2.230769 (1.728958)	1.416667 (1.110066)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	82.09%	90.51%
Defense	65.51%	88.45%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	28.025641 (28.047634)	24.551282 (23.821295)

Royal Purple Las Vegas Sin City Bowl
Las Vegas, NV - December 20, 2014 - 3:30 PM
#41 Utah beats #15 Colorado State by 15.3265

Team	Utah	Colorado State
SOS	0.681146	0.342046
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	30.166667 (41.095809)	35.916667 (24.570304)
YPG	374.75 (510.518927)	497.833333 (340.563801)
TCPG	1.25 (0.797135)	1.25 (1.644885)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	26.166667 (16.686693)	23.416667 (30.814179)
YPG	403.166667 (257.102609)	414.75 (545.772843)
TFPG	1.583333 (2.156962)	1.5 (1.026138)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	92%	82.45%
Defense	74.17%	64.53%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	26.791667 (35.954994)	31.041667 (20.628499)

Famous Idaho Potato Smurf-Turf Bowl
Boise, ID - December 20, 2014 - 5:45 PM
#40 Western Michigan loses to #33 Air Force by 7.5983

Team	Western Michigan	Air Force
SOS	0.203638	0.359954
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	34.583333 (14.084962)	30.916667 (22.257156)
YPG	443.333333 (180.559027)	423.5 (304.881038)
TCPG	1.583333 (2.521813)	1.333333 (1.706789)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	23.833333 (37.959922)	24.166667 (30.935557)
YPG	370.416667 (589.971515)	396.333333 (507.343129)
TFPG	1.75 (0.712733)	1.416667 (1.01987)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	89.15%	83.43%
Defense	73.53%	69.69%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	29.375 (22.510259)	27.375 (30.108539)

Raycom Media Camellia Bowl
Monotgomery, AL - December 20, 2014 - 9:15 PM
#81 South Alabama beats #76 Bowling Green by 5.1084

Team	South Alabama	Bowling Green
SOS	0.469718	0.400185
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	22.083333 (20.745878)	29.769231 (23.826399)
YPG	372.75 (350.174769)	428.153846 (342.681494)
TCPG	2 (2.121128)	1.692308 (2.030143)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	25.833333 (27.397903)	33.923077 (40.695141)
YPG	390.5 (414.150242)	499.615385 (599.353604)
TFPG	1.666667 (1.565727)	2.230769 (1.785441)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	67.71%	79.46%
Defense	75.61%	77.6%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	28.003205 (30.72051)	27.801282 (25.612151)

Miami Beach Bowl
Miami, FL - December 22, 2014 - 2:00 PM
#38 BYU beats #18 Memphis by 6.3311

Team	BYU	Memphis
SOS	0.476215	0.28502
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	36.166667 (34.446218)	34.666667 (19.761387)
YPG	462.5 (440.498875)	422.666667 (240.936907)
TCPG	1.916667 (2.007843)	1.25 (1.78745)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	25.25 (26.451143)	17.083333 (24.428483)
YPG	384.25 (402.528773)	343.25 (490.83377)
TFPG	1.583333 (1.508014)	2.083333 (1.187583)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	89.37%	93.74%
Defense	75.1%	56.88%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	26.625 (29.437351)	29.958333 (23.106265)

Boca Raton Old Retired People Bowl
Boca Raton, FL - December 23, 2014 - 6:00 PM
#6 Marshall beats #12 Northern Illinois by 9.3097

Team	Marshall	Northern Illinois
SOS	0.26174	0.192117
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	45.076923 (23.596868)	32.153846 (12.354601)
YPG	563.615385 (295.041382)	442.461538 (170.008767)
TCPG	1.846154 (2.725883)	0.923077 (1.491476)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	20.846154 (30.779763)	23.615385 (38.156936)
YPG	351.846154 (519.507883)	382.923077 (618.714088)
TFPG	1.615385 (0.845622)	1.615385 (0.620686)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	91.4%	83.05%
Defense	67.71%	70.48%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	34.346154 (30.876902)	26.5 (21.567182)

S.D. County Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl
San Diego, CA - December 23, 2014 - 9:30 PM
#59 Navy beats #53 San Diego State by 17.1609

Team	Navy	San Diego State
SOS	0.590863	0.23808
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	33.083333 (39.095435)	25.75 (12.26112)
YPG	431.833333 (510.308678)	400.083333 (190.50368)
TCPG	1.5 (1.227411)	1.583333 (2.412747)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	28.25 (23.116241)	20.083333 (30.603787)
YPG	410.25 (335.696909)	338.666667 (516.073813)
TFPG	1.166667 (1.37868)	1.75 (0.83328)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	87.56%	73.56%
Defense	78.7%	67.77%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	26.583333 (34.849611)	27 (17.68868)

Popeyes Bahamas Bowl
Nassau, Bahamas - December 24, 2014 - 12:00 PM
#65 Central Michigan loses to #51 Western Kentucky by 22.8658

Team	Central Michigan	Western Kentucky
SOS	0.178251	0.571347
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	25.166667 (8.971967)	44 (50.278536)
YPG	380.666667 (135.708428)	525.333333 (600.295248)
TCPG	2.166667 (3.560912)	1.333333 (1.143075)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	23.166667 (38.07437)	39.25 (33.649261)
YPG	331.166667 (544.271754)	501.833333 (430.224728)
TFPG	1.333333 (0.475336)	1.833333 (2.094939)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	75.56%	95.72%
Defense	79.95%	89.39%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	32.208333 (21.310614)	33.583333 (44.176453)

Sheraton Hawaii Aloha Bowl
Honolulu, HI - December 24, 2014 - 8:00 PM
#88 Fresno State beats #64 Rice by 2.0713

Team	Fresno State	Rice
SOS	0.521955	0.46314
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	28.076923 (29.309781)	28.666667 (26.55336)
YPG	418.769231 (437.157388)	394.5 (365.41746)
TCPG	1.923077 (1.838635)	1 (1.07372)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	32.615385 (31.183243)	30.333333 (32.569507)
YPG	455.846154 (435.829949)	396.833333 (426.087887)
TFPG	1.384615 (1.445414)	1.5 (1.38942)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	76.62%	83.05%
Defense	81.77%	87.36%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	29.205128 (30.939644)	30.641026 (28.868302)

Zaxby's Heart of Dallas Bowl
Dallas, TX - December 26, 2014 - 1:00 PM
#85 Illinois beats #37 Louisiana Tech by 1.0147

Team	Illinois	Louisiana Tech
SOS	0.73701	0.555822
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	26.583333 (39.184365)	37.538462 (41.729406)
YPG	360.25 (531.015705)	403.846154 (448.933154)
TCPG	1.666667 (0.876633)	2 (1.776712)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	33.916667 (17.839488)	25.230769 (22.413905)
YPG	464.416667 (244.273878)	355.692308 (315.981396)
TFPG	1.5 (2.21103)	2.846154 (3.16391)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	84.33%	106.23%
Defense	83.46%	81.07%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	25.907051 (30.799135)	35.727564 (29.784447)

Quick Lane Oil Bowl
Detroit, MI - December 26, 2014 - 4:30 PM
#70 Rutgers loses to #78 North Carolina by 8.0516

Team	Rutgers	North Carolina
SOS	0.677504	0.742559
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	25.583333 (34.665621)	34.25 (50.865292)
YPG	378.833333 (513.322197)	424.5 (630.432591)
TCPG	1.666667 (1.074987)	1.75 (0.901044)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	30.916667 (19.941003)	38.916667 (20.037491)
YPG	440.333333 (284.011477)	495.916667 (255.338565)
TFPG	1.166667 (1.580843)	1.416667 (2.103917)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	77.18%	92.21%
Defense	80.24%	89.68%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	32.25 (27.351556)	32.583333 (35.403147)

Bitcoin Fictional Currency Bowl
St. Petersburg, FL - December 26, 2014 - 8:00 PM
#50 North Carolina State beats #28 UCF by 16.2583

Team	North Carolina State	UCF
SOS	0.664634	0.269767
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	29.833333 (39.656495)	28.166667 (15.196874)
YPG	402.166667 (534.587281)	363.083333 (195.895803)
TCPG	1.166667 (0.782521)	2.333333 (3.407754)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	27 (18.109764)	17.916667 (26.166683)
YPG	373.083333 (250.23893)	282.833333 (413.068467)
TFPG	1.5 (1.993902)	2 (1.079068)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	84.78%	88.66%
Defense	82.71%	72.4%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	23.875 (32.911589)	27.583333 (16.653319)

Military Bowl Presented By Northrop Grumman USNA Bowl
Annapolis, MD - December 27, 2014 - 1:00 PM
#29 Cincinnati loses to #71 Virginia Tech by 7.3387

Team	Cincinnati	Virginia Tech
SOS	0.490948	0.720593
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	35.416667 (34.775483)	23.333333 (33.627673)
YPG	457.75 (449.462894)	367.916667 (530.236349)
TCPG	1.583333 (1.611998)	2.083333 (1.164196)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	26.75 (27.234282)	20.416667 (11.409119)
YPG	447.25 (455.347014)	331.666667 (185.339977)
TFPG	1.916667 (1.881967)	1.416667 (2.04168)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	88.42%	72.48%
Defense	68.35%	70.35%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	27.916667 (23.092301)	25.041667 (30.430978)

Hyundai Sun Bowl
El Paso, TX - December 27, 2014 - 2:00 PM
#24 Arizona State beats #27 Duke by 16.0866

Team	Arizona State	Duke
SOS	0.588857	0.28087
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	37 (43.575418)	32.5 (18.25655)
YPG	446.5 (525.849301)	398.166667 (223.666143)
TCPG	1.083333 (0.89081)	1.083333 (1.558115)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	27.666667 (22.749913)	20.583333 (29.604185)
YPG	418.5 (344.126691)	399 (573.86574)
TFPG	2.083333 (2.453571)	1.75 (0.983045)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	94.7%	93.28%
Defense	75.55%	58.96%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	28.791667 (36.589802)	30.083333 (20.503231)

Duck Commander Independence Bowl
Shreveport, LA - December 27, 2014 - 3:30 PM
#63 Miami (FL) beats #73 South Carolina by 7.9508

Team	Miami (FL)	South Carolina
SOS	0.84906	0.696807
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	29.916667 (50.80209)	33.333333 (46.4538)
YPG	431 (731.88972)	450.833333 (628.287645)
TCPG	1.833333 (0.553447)	1.75 (1.061176)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	24.333333 (7.345747)	31.166667 (18.89903)
YPG	327.583333 (98.890857)	433.583333 (262.918863)
TFPG	1.75 (2.97171)	1.416667 (1.974287)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	79.33%	84.5%
Defense	84.89%	82.15%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	30.541667 (34.85056)	28.833333 (26.899773)

New Era Pinstripe Yankee Bowl
Bronx, NY - December 27, 2014 - 4:30 PM
#48 Boston College beats #69 Penn State by 1.1707

Team	Boston College	Penn State
SOS	0.648096	0.696973
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	25.916667 (33.592976)	19.75 (27.530434)
YPG	383.833333 (497.521696)	325.5 (453.729423)
TCPG	1.083333 (0.762459)	2 (1.212108)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	20.5 (14.428064)	17.666667 (10.706954)
YPG	312.833333 (220.174603)	269.75 (163.483067)
TFPG	0.916667 (1.188176)	1.666667 (2.323243)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	77.17%	69.34%
Defense	74.89%	74.85%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	21.791667 (22.149965)	20.125 (20.979249)

National University Holiday Bowl
San Diego, CA - December 27, 2014 - 8:00 PM
#25 Nebraska loses to #31 USC by 10.5598

Team	Nebraska	USC
SOS	0.546794	0.739622
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	37.416667 (40.918418)	35.083333 (51.89681)
YPG	446.25 (488.013645)	452.75 (669.727721)
TCPG	2 (1.812824)	0.916667 (0.47736)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	24.833333 (22.509231)	23.75 (12.367955)
YPG	372.75 (337.865073)	400.166667 (208.389193)
TFPG	1.833333 (2.004911)	1.5 (2.218866)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	95.82%	88.56%
Defense	76.14%	67.83%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	30.583333 (26.643186)	29.958333 (37.203021)

AutoZone Liberty Bowl
Memphis, TN - December 29, 2014 - 2:00 PM
#60 Texas A&M beats #54 West Virginia by 5.5299

Team	Texas A&M	West Virginia
SOS	0.79036	0.709688
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	34.416667 (54.403113)	33.166667 (47.075971)
YPG	449.25 (710.13846)	502.083333 (712.645033)
TCPG	1.583333 (0.66386)	2.333333 (1.354789)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	27.333333 (11.46032)	26.166667 (15.192995)
YPG	449 (188.25672)	388.583333 (225.620809)
TFPG	0.916667 (1.448993)	1 (1.419376)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	87.55%	75.49%
Defense	69.57%	76.96%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	30.291667 (34.798054)	30.25 (29.268145)

Russell Athletic Tangerine Bowl
Orlando, FL - December 29, 2014 - 5:30 PM
#34 Oklahoma beats #17 Clemson by 8.0191

Team	Oklahoma	Clemson
SOS	0.689408	0.602235
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	38.916667 (53.658923)	30.083333 (36.234473)
YPG	480.5 (662.521088)	410.083333 (493.933073)
TCPG	1.583333 (0.983541)	1.416667 (1.127001)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	24.75 (15.374304)	17.583333 (13.988069)
YPG	382.25 (237.447584)	259.833333 (206.705212)
TFPG	1.5 (2.068224)	1.583333 (1.907078)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	92.56%	83.84%
Defense	74%	77.34%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	28.25 (33.823496)	27.416667 (25.804388)

Advocare V100 Texas Bowl
Houston, TX - December 29, 2014 - 9:00 PM
#52 Arkansas beats #72 Texas by 18.4855

Team	Arkansas	Texas
SOS	1	0.802134
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	32 (64)	22.583333 (36.229719)
YPG	410.583333 (821.166667)	360.583333 (578.472303)
TCPG	1.416667 (0)	1.916667 (0.758486)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	20.25 (0)	23.25 (9.200769)
YPG	345.416667 (0)	348.333333 (137.846647)
TFPG	1.75 (3.5)	1.5 (2.406402)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	89.07%	71.58%
Defense	67%	76.28%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	27.625 (36.600385)	21.416667 (18.11486)

Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl
Nashville, TN - December 30, 2014 - 3:00 PM
#55 Notre Dame beats #32 LSU by 2.3601

Team	Notre Dame	LSU
SOS	0.798495	0.784384
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	33 (52.70067)	27.583333 (43.271851)
YPG	444.833333 (710.394385)	383.75 (602.01472)
TCPG	2.166667 (0.873188)	1.333333 (0.574976)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	29.25 (11.788043)	16.416667 (7.079392)
YPG	401 (161.60701)	305.833333 (131.88512)
TFPG	1.666667 (2.66165)	1.5 (2.353152)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	84.78%	82.15%
Defense	83.36%	61.35%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	24.708333 (29.890031)	28.416667 (27.529947)

Belk Charlotte Bowl
Charlotte, NC - December 30, 2014 - 6:30 PM
#11 Georgia beats #20 Louisville by 9.6718

Team	Georgia	Louisville
SOS	0.637168	0.55887
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	41.666667 (53.097333)	32.583333 (36.419695)
YPG	454.916667 (579.716685)	396.25 (442.904475)
TCPG	0.916667 (0.665192)	1.916667 (1.690998)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	21.25 (15.42036)	20.5 (18.08633)
YPG	334 (242.371776)	294.083333 (259.457962)
TFPG	2.083333 (2.654867)	2.083333 (2.328625)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	104.68%	93.98%
Defense	72.71%	79.67%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	31.083333 (35.591832)	26.916667 (25.920028)

Foster Farms 49ers Bowl
Santa Clara, CA - December 30, 2014 - 10:00 PM
#66 Maryland loses to #45 Stanford by 4.3162

Team	Maryland	Stanford
SOS	0.640506	0.685173
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	29.083333 (37.256099)	25.666667 (35.172214)
YPG	352.083333 (451.022975)	386.416667 (529.524534)
TCPG	1.75 (1.258229)	1.666667 (1.049423)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	28.916667 (20.790736)	16 (10.074464)
YPG	438.083333 (314.97666)	287.416667 (180.973054)
TFPG	1.5 (1.921518)	1 (1.370346)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	94.4%	75.91%
Defense	75.44%	63.62%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	22.541667 (23.665282)	27.291667 (27.981475)

Chick-Fil-A Peach Bowl
Atlanta, GA - December 31, 2014 - 12:30 PM
#13 Ole Miss beats #3 TCU by 16.8763

Team	Ole Miss	TCU
SOS	0.918609	0.450702
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	30.416667 (55.882048)	46.833333 (42.215754)
YPG	443.5 (814.806183)	542.166667 (488.711202)
TCPG	1.75 (0.284869)	1.5 (1.647894)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	13.833333 (2.251818)	20.333333 (22.338119)
YPG	321.583333 (52.347978)	359.5 (394.945262)
TFPG	2 (3.674436)	2.833333 (2.553978)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	78.38%	98.72%
Defense	49.16%	64.64%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	25.375 (39.110083)	30.333333 (22.233786)

VIZIO Fiesta Bowl
Glendale, AZ - December 31, 2014 - 4:00 PM
#9 Boise State loses to #21 Arizona by 2.3926

Team	Boise State	Arizona
SOS	0.697069	0.795894
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	39.846154 (55.551037)	34.846154 (55.46769)
YPG	496.076923 (691.599689)	461.461538 (734.548939)
TCPG	1.692308 (1.025305)	1.230769 (0.502415)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	26.538462 (16.078645)	27.461538 (11.21013)
YPG	366.461538 (222.025121)	449.461538 (183.475594)
TFPG	2 (2.788276)	1.769231 (2.81624)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	91.8%	86.3%
Defense	82.76%	69.83%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	33.653846 (33.380583)	30.692308 (35.773167)

Capital One Orange Bowl
Miami, FL - December 31, 2014 - 8:00 PM
#10 Mississippi State loses to #16 Georgia Tech by 5.1812

Team	Mississippi State	Georgia Tech
SOS	0.654746	0.771449
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	37.166667 (48.669453)	37 (57.087226)
YPG	506.166667 (662.821201)	468.769231 (723.263109)
TCPG	1.75 (1.208389)	1.307692 (0.597749)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	19.416667 (13.407364)	25.076923 (11.462712)
YPG	411.666667 (284.259127)	396.384615 (181.1882)
TFPG	1.583333 (2.073362)	2.076923 (3.20448)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	83.92%	90.21%
Defense	53.9%	72.3%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	31.121795 (30.066082)	28.208333 (35.247295)

Outback Bowl
Tampa, FL - January 1, 2015 - 12:00 PM
#30 Auburn beats #14 Wisconsin by 19.1738

Team	Auburn	Wisconsin
SOS	0.949518	0.614001
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	35.833333 (68.04879)	34.615385 (42.507762)
YPG	489.416667 (929.419869)	464.846154 (570.832007)
TCPG	1.666667 (0.168273)	1.769231 (1.365843)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	26.083333 (2.633478)	20 (15.43996)
YPG	389.25 (39.300237)	283.538462 (218.891125)
TFPG	1.916667 (3.639819)	1.230769 (1.511387)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	83.68%	85.1%
Defense	76.58%	80.61%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	27.916667 (41.744375)	30.349359 (22.57062)

Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic
Arlington, TX - January 1, 2015 - 12:30 PM
#8 Michigan State beats #4 Baylor by 9.0287

Team	Michigan State	Baylor
SOS	0.524968	0.387593
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	43.083333 (45.234743)	48.833333 (37.854916)
YPG	496.5 (521.293224)	581.333333 (450.641461)
TCPG	1.083333 (1.029236)	1 (1.224814)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	19.916667 (18.922108)	24.166667 (29.599672)
YPG	293.5 (278.843784)	367.666667 (450.323281)
TFPG	2.5 (2.62484)	1.75 (1.356576)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	99.17%	96%
Defense	77.55%	75.12%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	33.625 (37.417207)	34.375 (28.388512)

Buffalo Wild Wings Citrus Bowl
Orlando, FL - January 1, 2015 - 1:00 PM
#23 Missouri beats #39 Minnesota by 0.6438

Team	Missouri	Minnesota
SOS	0.681099	0.656017
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	27.384615 (37.303268)	29.333333 (38.486331)
YPG	361.461538 (492.382185)	355.833333 (466.865432)
TCPG	1.076923 (0.686864)	1.416667 (0.974619)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	21.384615 (13.63915)	23.416667 (16.109871)
YPG	344.769231 (219.894505)	362.666667 (249.502336)
TFPG	1.461538 (1.990905)	2.083333 (2.733404)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	86.58%	94.21%
Defense	70.89%	73.79%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	25.400641 (26.706569)	25.358974 (26.062741)

Rose Bowl Game presented by Northwesten Mutual Semifinal (SEMI) Rose Bowl
Pasadena, CA - January 1, 2015 - 5:00 PM
#2 Oregon beats #7 Florida State by 7.8159

Team	Oregon	Florida State
SOS	0.655367	0.654183
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	46.307692 (60.697067)	34.769231 (45.490879)
YPG	546.230769 (715.963241)	434.769231 (568.837279)
TCPG	0.615385 (0.424164)	2.076923 (1.436471)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	22.461538 (15.481975)	23 (15.907582)
YPG	413.769231 (285.197063)	378.307692 (261.650462)
TFPG	1.846154 (2.419817)	1.692308 (2.214158)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	96.89%	91.4%
Defense	62.04%	69.48%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	34.653846 (38.302324)	28.615385 (30.486427)

Allstate (SEMI) Sugar Bowl
New Orleans, LA - January 1, 2015 - 8:30 PM
#5 Alabama loses to #1 Ohio State by 4.7898

Team	Alabama	Ohio State
SOS	0.763395	0.757958
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	37.076923 (56.608675)	45.230769 (68.566047)
YPG	488.384615 (745.660747)	507.615385 (769.502283)
TCPG	1.461538 (0.691615)	1.538462 (0.744745)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	16.615385 (7.862566)	21.153846 (10.240238)
YPG	311.923077 (147.605119)	328 (158.779552)
TFPG	1.384615 (2.114017)	2.153846 (3.26505)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	86.76%	101.83%
Defense	60.88%	73.71%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	29.115385 (33.424457)	30.923077 (38.214306)

Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl
Fort Worth, TX - January 2, 2015 - 12:00 PM
#46 Houston loses to #67 Pittsburgh by 12.6682

Team	Houston	Pittsburgh
SOS	0.216939	0.512584
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	29.333333 (12.727088)	31.666667 (32.463653)
YPG	408.666667 (177.311476)	434.25 (445.179204)
TCPG	1.833333 (2.871224)	1.583333 (1.543484)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	19.5 (30.539379)	25.583333 (24.939452)
YPG	334.916667 (524.52036)	348.666667 (339.891424)
TFPG	2.416667 (1.048539)	0.916667 (0.939737)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	82.03%	83.34%
Defense	66.54%	83.86%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	27.458333 (18.83327)	25.583333 (31.501516)

TaxSlayer.com Gator Bowl
Jacksonville, FL - January 2, 2015 - 3:20 PM
#61 Iowa loses to #68 Tennessee by 20.844

Team	Iowa	Tennessee
SOS	0.414044	0.823193
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	28.25 (23.393486)	27.583333 (45.412814)
YPG	398.333333 (329.855053)	363 (597.638118)
TCPG	1.666667 (1.953187)	1.75 (0.618825)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	24 (28.125888)	23.916667 (8.457268)
YPG	334.333333 (391.809245)	359.916667 (127.271572)
TFPG	1.083333 (0.897095)	1.583333 (2.606778)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	81.05%	86.84%
Defense	82.04%	75.94%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	26.083333 (15.925377)	25.791667 (36.769351)

Valero Alamo Bowl
San Antonio, TX - January 2, 2015 - 6:45 PM
#19 Kansas State loses to #26 UCLA by 15.9907

Team	Kansas State	UCLA
SOS	0.622753	0.953394
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	35.833333 (44.630632)	32.916667 (62.765105)
YPG	426 (530.585556)	467.916667 (892.217885)
TCPG	0.916667 (0.69162)	1.25 (0.116515)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	21.75 (16.410245)	27.5 (2.56333)
YPG	361.333333 (272.623832)	401 (37.378012)
TFPG	1.583333 (1.972051)	0.916667 (1.747889)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	96.13%	80.4%
Defense	68.79%	78.38%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	31.666667 (23.596981)	27.333333 (39.587675)

Ticketcity Cactus Bowl
Tempe, AZ - January 2, 2015 - 10:15 PM
#43 Washington loses to #84 Oklahoma State by 5.9891

Team	Washington	Oklahoma State
SOS	0.483417	0.678328
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	30.846154 (29.82311)	27.416667 (37.194985)
YPG	390.230769 (377.288376)	371.083333 (503.432431)
TCPG	1.153846 (1.192115)	1.666667 (1.07224)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	24.384615 (25.193356)	32 (20.587008)
YPG	405.769231 (419.226973)	437.25 (281.302164)
TFPG	2.076923 (2.00804)	0.833333 (1.130547)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	90.34%	84.44%
Defense	68.68%	83.64%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	31.423077 (25.205059)	25.900641 (31.19417)

Birmingham Farewell UAB Blazers Bowl
Birmingham, AL - January 3, 2015 - 12:00 PM
#36 East Carolina loses to #49 Florida by 23.7243

Team	East Carolina	Florida
SOS	0.261615	0.69094
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	37.166667 (19.446715)	30.454545 (42.084527)
YPG	532.166667 (278.445565)	370.181818 (511.546851)
TCPG	1.666667 (2.461283)	1.909091 (1.180047)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	25.666667 (37.903763)	21.181818 (13.092905)
YPG	369.666667 (545.912643)	308.545455 (190.718116)
TFPG	1.25 (0.654038)	2.454545 (3.391887)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	79.82%	94.02%
Defense	79.35%	78.46%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	29.174242 (16.26981)	28.060606 (39.994145)

GoDaddy Danica Patrick Bowl
Mobile, AL - January 4, 2015 - 9:00 PM
#42 Toledo beats #47 Arkansas State by 3.5383

Team	Toledo	Arkansas State
SOS	0.308793	0.228155
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	34.416667 (21.255252)	36.083333 (16.465186)
YPG	486.333333 (300.352658)	477.166667 (217.735922)
TCPG	1.333333 (1.843219)	1.666667 (2.572817)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	29.333333 (40.550811)	27.75 (42.837398)
YPG	402.916667 (556.997641)	411.25 (634.842513)
TFPG	0.916667 (0.566121)	2.083333 (0.950646)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	80.88%	86.42%
Defense	83.2%	77.12%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	31.083333 (32.046325)	32.708333 (28.507998)

CFP National Championship Game presented by AT&T (FINAL) CFP Championship Bowl
Arlington, TX - January 12, 2015 - 8:30 PM
#2 Oregon* loses to #1 Ohio State* by 6.5554

Team	Oregon	Ohio State
SOS	0.655367	0.757958
OFFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	46.307692 (60.697067)	45.230769 (68.566047)
YPG	546.230769 (715.963241)	507.615385 (769.502283)
TCPG	0.615385 (0.424164)	1.538462 (0.744745)
DEFENSE raw (sos-scaled)
PPG	22.461538 (15.481975)	21.153846 (10.240238)
YPG	413.769231 (285.197063)	328 (158.779552)
TFPG	1.846154 (2.419817)	2.153846 (3.26505)
EFFICIENCY (ref: 7pts/80yds)
Offense	96.89%	101.83%
Defense	62.04%	73.71%
PREDICTION raw (sos-scaled)
Score	33.730769 (35.468653)	33.846154 (42.024011)

*teams shown based on predicted winners of the SEMI games