Chaos Rankings

Thursday, July 27, 2006

The mission (statement) is go!

Sorry for the long delay. Things have been hectic. Anyway, what it the point of this website, the mission statement if you will. My goal is to produce a formula-based system for ranking college football teams. This is the same idea that is used for other computer-based components of the BCS. It would be nice to be included in that equation, and maybe if things go well this season, I'll send them a letter. But becoming part of the BCS isn't my goal. My goal is simply to provide my own system of rankings in as objective a manner as possible. Naturally, no system is going to be 100% objective as it was designed by a person with their own ideas and motives. But by keeping a formula consistent week in and week out, at the very least the rankings are objective relative to themselves and not influenced by big name players or extra coverage on Sports Center or having your secretary fill out your coaches poll ballot.
That said, how does the system work? This formula attempts to place an emphasis on the things that make one team better than another. Firstly, to be good, a team must win. Secondly, a good team will have outgained and outscored their opponents and collected more turnovers than they've given up. Finally, a good team must have defeated other good teams. Rankings are calculated two different ways (ratio and difference) using the same set of data, then final scores for each method are averaged and quantized to determine the final ranking.
For an example, here is full ranking of all Div. IA teams from last season prior to bowl games. That link will also provide a detailed explanation of how my formula works along with how I am weighting each component.
In my next post I hope to explain some of the advantages, shortcomings, and nuances of my ranking system. Stay tuned!

2 Comments:

  • I like it! Keep up the good work. Thanks for sharing this wonderful site with us.
    »

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 8/11/2006 7:44 PM  

  • Great site loved it alot, will come back and visit again.
    »

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 8/17/2006 2:00 AM  

Post a Comment

<< Home